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Santos v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 01:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Cléber Márcio Serpa Xavier's Santos side are on home soil in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo arrive at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Santos and Flamengo both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 25%	29/10 42%	-
Draw 28%	5/2 8%	-
Flamengo 47%	10/11 24%	-
Flamengo 1-0 15%	11/2 28%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 11%	8/1 10%	-
Flamengo 2-0 10%	15/2 35%	-
Santos 1-0 10%	9/1 5%	-
Flamengo 2-1 8%	8/1 10%	-
Santos 2-1 6%	12/1 18%	-
Flamengo 3-0 4%	16/1 26%	-
Santos 2-0 4%	18/1 46%	-
Flamengo 3-1 4%	16/1 19%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 31%	-
Flamengo 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Santos 3-1 2%	33/1 62%	-
Flamengo 4-0 1%	33/1 33%	-
Flamengo 4-1 1%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	43/40 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	8/11 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 40%	13/8 25%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	4/7 14%	-
No 1st Goal 8%	8/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	19/20 15%	-
BTTS - No 58%	4/5 12%	-
BTTS - Home Win 9%	7/1 33%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 15%	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	10/3 4%	-
Home/draw 53%	5/6 22%	-
Away/draw 75%	1/4 11%	-
Home/away 72%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	4/11 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	11/5 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	11/4 10%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	7/1 23%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/12 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	16/1 31%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/40 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/14 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	8/1 10%	-
Home DNB 44%	7/4 44%	-
Away DNB 67%	2/5 22%	-
Santos win to nil 15%	11/2 18%	-
Flamengo win to nil 31%	9/4 19%	-
Santos / Santos 13%	11/2 44%	-
Santos / Flamengo 4%	22/1 12%	-
Santos / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-
Draw / Santos 10%	15/2 31%	-
Draw / Flamengo 17%	15/4 21%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 9%	-
Flamengo / Santos 2%	33/1 17%	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 27%	21/10 23%	-
Flamengo / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Santos	0 - 2	CRB
Santos	3 - 0	Vila Nova
Santos	1 - 0	Ceara
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Operario
Santos	1 - 1	Novorizontin
Santos	2 - 1	America
Santos	2 - 2	Ponte Preta
Santos	0 - 0	Amazonas
Santos	0 - 1	Avai
Santos	1 - 1	S. Recife
Santos	4 - 0	Cortiba
Santos	2 - 0	Ituano
Santos	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Santos	2 - 0	Goias

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Santos	3 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Santos	1 - 0	Vitoria
A	Santos	0 - 1	Corinthians
H	Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Santos	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Santos	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
A	Santos	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Santos	1 - 2	S. Recife
H	Santos	0 - 2	CRB
A	Santos	2 - 0	Cortiba
H	Santos	3 - 0	Vila Nova
A	Santos	2 - 0	Ituano
H	Santos	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Santos	2 - 3	Chapecoense
H	Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Flamengo
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Criciuma	0 - 3	Flamengo
Fortaleza	0 - 0	Flamengo
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo
Internacional	1 - 1	Flamengo
Bahia	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	3 - 2	Flamengo
Corinthians	2 - 1	Flamengo
Botafogo	4 - 1	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Flamengo
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
A Mineiro	2 - 4	Flamengo
Juventude	2 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Flamengo
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Criciuma
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo have beaten Santos in 4 consecutive away league meetings

Santos

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

STS

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
	2 - 3	Flamengo
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	0 - 4	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Santos	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Flamengo

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

STS

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
	1 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	4 - 1
Flamengo	1 - 0
Flamengo	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Santos look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long morning for C. Serpa Xavier's men.

	Santos 18th	Flamengo 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Flamengo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 Flamengo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

STS

FLA

42%

better

view stats

Games scored	7		9
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	4		7
Goals scored	11		24
Avg. goals scored	0.9		2.2
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	11		20
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+42%

STS

FLA

58%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		3
Clean sheets	3		8
Conceded first	7		2
Goals conceded	14		4
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		17
Conversion rate against	11%		6%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+58%

Santos v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	2	4
G Brazão	Álvaro Barreal	T Soares	Z Ivaldo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	12			-
B Rollheiser FWD	12		1	3 -
G Escobar DEF	11			2 1
Z Ivaldo DEF	11	1		4 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	11		1	-
T Soares FWD	11	1	2	2 -
D Eugênio FWD	11	1		-
Thaciano MID	10	1		-
J Schmidt MID	9			3 -
G Augusto FWD	9	2		-
Álvaro Barreal FWD	9	3		-
D Pituca MID	8	1		2 -
Gil DEF	6			2 -
L Godoy DEF	6			1 -
T Rincón MID	6			2 -
G Veron FWD	6			-
L Peres DEF	5			3 -
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	5			2 -
Z Rafael MID	5			1 -
Y Soteldo FWD	5			1 -
Neymar MID	4			2 1
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD	4			-
J Basso DEF	3			-
L Doria DEF	3			1 -
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	3		1	-
M. de Sousa FWD	3			-
Aderlan DEF	2			-
Kevyson DEF	1			-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
Álvaro Barreal	G Augusto	T Soares	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Álvaro Barreal FWD	3	6		2
G Augusto FWD	2	7
D Pituca MID	1	1
Z Ivaldo DEF	1	1
T Soares FWD	1	5	2	2
D Eugênio FWD	1	1
Thaciano MID	1	2
G Brazão GLK				1
J. de Souza Menezes DEF			1	1
Y Soteldo FWD		1		1
Neymar MID		3
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF		1		1
L Peres DEF		1
G Veron FWD		1
B Rollheiser FWD			1	3
J Schmidt MID		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID			1	1
G Escobar DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
495	48	79
Z Ivaldo	G Escobar	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Z Ivaldo DEF	495	14	46
G Escobar DEF	459	48	79
B Rollheiser FWD	373	8	43
J Schmidt MID	360	12	31
G Augusto FWD	272	19	70
G Brazão GLK	269	1	6
T Rincón MID	228	6	20
L Peres DEF	224	5	23
Gil DEF	223	13	28
G. Silva Bontempo MID	214	12	37
Álvaro Barreal FWD	185	10	31
D Pituca MID	148	5	12
Y Soteldo FWD	141	3	21
T Soares FWD	139	6	42
L Godoy DEF	112	4	15
Z Rafael MID	108	15	32
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	92	10	17
J Basso DEF	84	4	10
Neymar MID	75	1	22
Thaciano MID	68	8	23
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	55	7	16
D Eugênio FWD	51	1	17
Aderlan DEF	40	1	3
L Doria DEF	39	4	9
G Veron FWD	35	7	14
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD	12	1	2
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	10		1
M. de Sousa FWD	4	1	3
Kevyson DEF	3		3

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	9	4	3
A Rossi	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta	Wesley

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	11			1 -
B Henrique FWD	11	1		-
Éverton FWD	11	1	1	-
L Pereira DEF	10	1		1 -
L Ortiz DEF	10		1	1 -
L Araújo FWD	10	2	1	-
Michael FWD	10	1	3	-
A Sandro DEF	9			1 -
Gerson MID	9		2	1
G Arrascaeta MID	9	9	4	-
E Farfán MID	9	1		2 -
Wesley DEF	8		1	3 -
Pedro FWD	8	4	2	-
N Cruz MID	7			3 -
G Varela DEF	6		2	-
G Plata FWD	6	1		-
Juninho FWD	6			-
Ayrton DEF	5	1		1 -
Allan MID	5			-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	5	1		-
Danilo DEF	4	1		-
W Barreto FWD	3		1	1 -
M Gonçalves FWD	3			-
M Viña DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	11	4	4
G Arrascaeta	Pedro	G Arrascaeta	Michael

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Arrascaeta MID	9	10	4	4
Pedro FWD	4	11	2	2
L Araújo FWD	2	6	1	2
G Plata FWD	1	1
Éverton FWD	1	5	1
L Pereira DEF	1	1		1
Michael FWD	1	4	3	4
Danilo DEF	1	1
E Farfán MID	1	3		1
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	1	4
B Henrique FWD	1	6		1
Ayrton DEF	1	2
M Gonçalves FWD		1
W Barreto FWD			1	1
Juninho FWD		2
G Varela DEF		1	2	1
N Cruz MID		2		1
Wesley DEF			1	2
Gerson MID		4	2	4
A Sandro DEF				2
L Ortiz DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
788	20	55
L Pereira	Wesley	Wesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	788	10	27
L Ortiz DEF	766	9	38
A Sandro DEF	551	10	34
E Farfán MID	471	10	29
N Cruz MID	449	10	35
Gerson MID	415	17	47
Wesley DEF	354	20	55
G Arrascaeta MID	347	11	44
A Rossi GLK	295		3
Danilo DEF	254	4	10
L Araújo FWD	184	18	38
Éverton FWD	169	7	18
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	164	8	16
G Varela DEF	160	8	17
Michael FWD	144	5	22
Ayrton DEF	131	8	16
B Henrique FWD	114	5	37
Allan MID	101		2
G Plata FWD	88	5	8
Pedro FWD	47	2	12
M Gonçalves FWD	40	1	5
Juninho FWD	24	4	10
W Barreto FWD	10		5
M Viña DEF	2

Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Santos v Palmeiras

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Bragantino v Sao Paulo

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Fluminense v Cruzeiro

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Santos v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santos v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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