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Gremio v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 30th Jul, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

It's a long trek for Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Fortaleza side on Wednesday evening, as they head to the Arena do Grêmio for a Serie A clash with James Rowberry's Gremio. For each and every Serie A fixture, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Gremio and Fortaleza have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
52%
5/45/4
Draw
27%
9/423/10
Fortaleza
22%
11/511/5
Gremio 1-0
15%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Gremio 2-0
11%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
10%
8/17/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Fortaleza 1-0
8%
8/17/1
Gremio 3-0
5%
20/116/1
Fortaleza 2-1
5%
11/19/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Fortaleza 2-0
4%
14/112/1
Gremio 4-0
2%
40/133/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Fortaleza 3-1
1%
25/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
43/4021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/117/10
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/1117/20
Away 1st Goal
39%
13/105/4
No 1st Goal
7%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
44%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
56%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/418/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/25/1
Home/draw
78%
4/117/20
Away/draw
48%
8/138/13
Home/away
73%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/413/5
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/17/1
Home DNB
70%
8/133/5
Away DNB
40%
6/56/5
Gremio win to nil
33%
11/4-
Fortaleza win to nil
13%
9/2-
Gremio / Gremio
22%
11/413/5
Gremio / Fortaleza
3%
28/128/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Gremio
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Fortaleza
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Fortaleza / Gremio
3%
25/122/1
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
16%
4/14/1
Fortaleza / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 3Corinthians
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 2Juventude
Gremio3 - 1Atletico Go
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 2Criciuma
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Gremio2 - 2Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio1 - 1Corinthians
AGremio2 - 0Juventude
HGremio1 - 0Bahia
AGremio1 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio1 - 0Santos
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 4Mirassol
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
AGremio1 - 1Cruzeiro
HGremio2 - 2Juventude
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 1Atletico Go
Fortaleza 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Atletico Go3 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Juventude0 - 3Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
Internacional2 - 1Fortaleza
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Bragantino1 - 2Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 2Fortaleza
Criciuma1 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFortaleza2 - 3Santos
AFortaleza0 - 5Flamengo
HFortaleza0 - 2Cruzeiro
AFortaleza0 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFortaleza5 - 0Juventude
AFortaleza0 - 0Sao Paulo
AFortaleza0 - 0S. Recife
HFortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
AFortaleza1 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 1Mirassol
HFortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 3Atletico Go
AFortaleza0 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Flamengo
AFortaleza2 - 2Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
AFortaleza3 - 0Juventude
AFortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Gremio have not lost to Fortaleza in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2019
Gremio
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
3 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
2 / 5
GRE
2
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gremio1 - 0
League games at Fortaleza since 2019
Fortaleza
Gremio
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
D
2
FOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
Fortaleza1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fortaleza1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fortaleza2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Gremio have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Fortaleza on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Gremio 11th Fortaleza 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294587/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Fortaleza
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
26%
better
GRE
FOR
view stats
Games scored10
6
Failed to score2
6
Scored first9
3
Goals scored12
12
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
4%
better
GRE
FOR
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded15
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

Gremio v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12415
T VolpiM BraithwaiteWagnerM Villasanti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK12
2
-
Wagner DEF121
2
-
M Villasanti MID10
5
-
Dodi MID10
3
-
M Braithwaite FWD1041
2
-
Jemerson DEF91
3
-
F Cristaldo MID91
1
-
Marlon DEF8
2
-
Camilo MID8
-
F Amuzu FWD81
2
-
C Olivera FWD82
1
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD81
-
M Monsalve MID71
2
-
Edenilson MID71
3
-
D Martínez FWD711
1
-
C Pavón FWD7
3
-
J Pedro DEF6
-
A Guzmán FWD61
1
-
André FWD6
-
I. Schlemper MID5
2
-
Ronald MID5
-
L Esteves DEF4
-
W Kannemann DEF4
1
-
G Martins DEF3
1
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
R Ely DEF2
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID2
-
Nathan MID2
-
G Cuéllar MID2
-
G Grando GLK1
1
1
J Lucas DEF1
-
Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12325
J RicardoJ LuceroMarinhoE Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ricardo GLK12
1
-
Y Pikachu FWD122
-
J Lucero FWD1231
2
-
B Kuscevic DEF11
-
E Martínez  MID1011
5
-
Deyverson FWD101
1
-
E Mancuso DEF9
1
-
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF9
2
-
J Welison MID8
2
-
L Sasha MID8
-
Marinho FWD82
1
1
D Luiz DEF7
1
-
M Rossetto MID7
-
P Fernández MID72
1
-
T Pochettino MID711
-
B Lopes FWD71
-
Tinga DEF61
1
-
Calebe MID61
2
-
D Barbosa DEF51
-
K Andrade FWD51
1
-
Titi DEF3
1
1
B Pacheco DEF3
1
-
G Ávila DEF3
-
Allanzinho FWD31
1
-
M Moisés FWD31
1
-
Brenno GLK1
1
1
E Brítez DEF1
1
-
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Juventude v S. Recife
Tue 15th Jul, 00:00
Bahia v Internacional
Wed 16th Jul, 16:00
Palmeiras v Mirassol
Wed 16th Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Corinthians
Wed 16th Jul, 23:30
Santos v Flamengo
Thu 17th Jul, 00:00
Bragantino v Sao Paulo
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Botafogo v Vitoria
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Fluminense v Cruzeiro
Thu 17th Jul, 23:30
Fortaleza v Bahia
Sat 19th Jul, 20:00
Vasco d Gama v Gremio
Sat 19th Jul, 21:30
Vitoria v Bragantino
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Santos
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
Sun 20th Jul, 01:00
Internacional v Ceara
Sun 20th Jul, 15:00
Cruzeiro v Juventude
Sun 20th Jul, 20:00
S. Recife v Botafogo
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Palmeiras v A Mineiro
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Flamengo v Fluminense
Sun 20th Jul, 23:30
Vasco d Gama v Bahia
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Gremio v Botafogo
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v Fortaleza
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Ceara v Mirassol
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Fluminense v Palmeiras
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:30
Santos v Internacional
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Vitoria v S. Recife
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Bragantino v Flamengo
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Sao Paulo
Thu 24th Jul, 23:00
S. Recife v Santos
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Vitoria
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Fortaleza v Bragantino
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Botafogo v Corinthians
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Palmeiras v Gremio
Sun 27th Jul, 01:00
Sao Paulo v Fluminense
Sun 27th Jul, 20:00
Cruzeiro v Ceara
Sun 27th Jul, 20:00
Internacional v Vasco d Gama
Sun 27th Jul, 22:30
Bahia v Juventude
Sun 27th Jul, 22:30
Flamengo v A Mineiro
Mon 28th Jul, 00:30