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Millwall v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 19:45 BST, The Den, London

John Eustace guides his Derby County troops to The Den in the Championship on Tuesday evening, with Alex Neil's Millwall the opponent. For every Championship preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
36%
--
Draw
25%
--
Derby
39%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Derby 1-0
8%
--
Millwall 2-1
8%
--
Millwall 1-0
8%
--
Derby 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Millwall 2-0
6%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Millwall 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Millwall 3-2
3%
--
Millwall 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
64%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Millwall win to nil
17%
--
Derby win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 49 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Derby are in 11th position in the Championship on 48 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Derby have conceded 24 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3319863265 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro3418971763 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
3
Ipswich3216972257 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
4
Hull3317610757 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 7
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
5
Millwall331689256 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
6
Wrexham3414128854 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Southampton34131110950 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
8
Bristol C3414812550 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
9
Birmingham33131010549 
Feb 25
l
 
4-0A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
10
Preston3412139349 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
11
Derby3413912448 
Mar 10
d
 
1-1F
-
-
12
Watford34121210348 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
13
QPR3413813-647 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
14
Swansea3413714046 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
Sheff Utd3314316145 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
May 2
w
 
1-3F
16
Stoke3312813544 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
17
Charlton34101113-1041 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
18
Norwich3311616-139 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
19
Portsmouth3310914-939 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
20
Blackburn3410816-1138 
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
21
West Brom349817-1735 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
22
Leicester34101014-734 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd3361116-1629 
May 2
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
24
Sheff Wed331824-46-7 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall1 - 3Portsmouth
Millwall1 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall4 - 0Charlton
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Bristol C
Millwall0 - 0Ipswich
Millwall1 - 3Hull
Millwall3 - 2Southampton
Millwall1 - 0Sheff Wed
Millwall1 - 1Preston
Millwall1 - 0Leicester
Millwall2 - 0Stoke
Millwall3 - 0West Brom
Millwall0 - 4Coventry
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Millwall0 - 2Wrexham
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
Millwall3 - 1Norwich
Millwall1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall1 - 3Portsmouth
AMillwall2 - 1Sheff Wed
AMillwall2 - 0Wrexham
HMillwall1 - 1Sheff Utd
HMillwall4 - 0Charlton
AMillwall1 - 2Coventry
AMillwall2 - 0Watford
HMillwall2 - 1Swansea
AMillwall0 - 0Southampton
HMillwall2 - 1Bristol C
HMillwall0 - 0Ipswich
AMillwall0 - 2Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 3Hull
AMillwall1 - 1Derby
AMillwall1 - 0Bristol C
HMillwall3 - 2Southampton
HMillwall1 - 0Sheff Wed
AMillwall1 - 3Portsmouth
HMillwall1 - 1Preston
AMillwall0 - 4Birmingham
Derby 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull4 - 2Derby
Watford2 - 0Derby
Bristol C0 - 5Derby
Charlton1 - 2Derby
Preston0 - 1Derby
Leicester2 - 1Derby
Birmingham1 - 1Derby
Sheff Wed0 - 3Derby
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Blackburn1 - 2Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 0Derby
Wrexham1 - 1Derby
West Brom0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 2Derby
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Hull0 - 1Derby
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Millwall have not lost to Derby in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Millwall since 1993
Millwall
Derby
Goals: Scored
27
20
Games: Scored
13 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
6 / 19
MIL
8
D
7
DER
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Derby
2 - 3Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 5Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 1
Millwall3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall3 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Millwall4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall1 - 0
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Millwall
Goals: Scored
19
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
9 / 20
MIL
9
D
5
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Millwall
1 - 2Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Millwall
Derby2 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Millwall
Goal Statistics
Millwall 5th Derby 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+44
Derby have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
MIL
DER
19%
better
view stats
Games scored26
30
Failed to score7
3
Scored first16
18
Goals scored42
47
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
20
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
6%
better
MIL
DER
view stats
Games conceded21
25
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded40
41
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Millwall v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33759
T CramaM IvanovicA DoughtyT Crama
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Crama DEF3322
9
-
C Neghli FWD3332
3
-
J Cooper DEF3221
7
-
M Ivanovic FWD3171
1
-
A Emakhu FWD2721
-
Z. Norton Sturge DEF251
8
-
T Ballo FWD2514
4
-
M Langstaff FWD2531
2
-
M Crocombe GLK23
-
C Taylor DEF2232
1
-
F Azeez MID2274
1
1
B Mitchell MID211
5
-
A Doughty MID215
4
-
C Norre MID2012
2
-
R Leonard DEF191
3
-
L Cundle MID172
-
J Bryan DEF16
4
1
J Coburn FWD143
1
-
R. Bangura-Williams FWD1411
2
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID12
-
S Benda GLK9
-
D Kelly MID9
-
M Luongo MID9
1
-
D McNamara DEF8
2
-
W Harding DEF8
-
W Smallbone MID6
-
Z Lovelace FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331068
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardC Elder
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF3312
6
1
B Clark MID3332
4
-
P. Agyemang FWD30103
4
-
B Díaz FWD2933
4
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
D Sanderson DEF281
6
-
C Elder DEF2815
8
-
J Ward MID2616
2
1
A Weimann  MID2513
1
-
L Salvesen FWD2532
3
-
R Brewster FWD2451
1
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
D Ozoh MID211
6
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
C Morris FWD1910
4
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
L Thompson MID171
4
-
L Travis MID151
7
1
C Forsyth DEF121
2
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
J Vickers GLK4
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Millwall v Birmingham
Wed 25th Feb, 19:45
Sheff Utd v Coventry
Wed 25th Feb, 19:45
Norwich v Sheff Wed
Wed 25th Feb, 19:45
Stoke v Oxford Utd
Wed 25th Feb, 20:00
Bristol C v Watford
Fri 27th Feb, 20:00
Derby v Blackburn
Sat 28th Feb, 12:30
Leicester v Norwich
Sat 28th Feb, 12:30
Portsmouth v Hull
Sat 28th Feb, 12:30
Ipswich v Swansea
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Southampton
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Coventry v Stoke
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
QPR v Sheff Utd
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Preston v Millwall
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Charlton v Wrexham
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Oxford Utd v West Brom
Sat 28th Feb, 15:00
Birmingham v M'Boro
Mon 2nd Mar, 20:00
Ipswich v Hull
Tue 3rd Mar, 19:45
Preston v Oxford Utd
Fri 6th Mar, 20:00
Hull v Millwall
Sat 7th Mar, 12:30
Blackburn v Portsmouth
Sat 7th Mar, 12:30
Watford v Wrexham
Sat 7th Mar, 12:30
Swansea v Stoke
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
Bristol C v Coventry
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
Charlton v Birmingham
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
Derby v Sheff Wed
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
Sheff Utd v West Brom
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
Ipswich v Leicester
Sat 7th Mar, 15:00
QPR v M'Boro
Sun 8th Mar, 16:30
Wrexham v Hull
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Watford
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Millwall v Derby
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Leicester v Bristol C
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Portsmouth v Swansea
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Stoke v Ipswich
Tue 10th Mar, 20:00
Norwich v Sheff Utd
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Birmingham v QPR
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Blackburn
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
West Brom v Southampton
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
M'Boro v Charlton
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Coventry v Preston
Wed 11th Mar, 20:00