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FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli side are on home soil in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as Dieter Hecking's VfL Wolfsburg arrive at the Millerntor-Stadion. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg was on Saturday 16th May 2026
German Bundesliga
May 16th 2026
St. Pauli 1
3 Wolfsburg
 
A. Ceesay 57'37' K. Koulierakis
64' (OG)N. Vasilj
80' D. Pejcinovic
 
STP
WOB
Shots On
2
10
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
8
9
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
6
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
St. PauliWolfsburg
 
H. Wahl
A. Pyrka
T. Ando
J. Irvine (T. Hara 90')
J. Fujita
N. Vasiljfootball icon
L. Oppie
A. Dźwigała (R. Jade-Jones 77')
C. Metcalfe (M. Rasmussen 90')
M. Kaars
A. Hountondji (A. Ceesay 46')
K. Grabara
D. Vavro
football iconK. Koulierakis
J. Belocian
V. de Souza Costa
(K. Shiogai 88') A. Daghim
J. Mæhle
S. Kumbedi Nseke
(L. Majer 90') C. Dannemann Eriksen
(Y. Gerhardt 67') M. Svanberg
(M. Amoura 90') football iconD. Pejcinovic

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

St. Pauli should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Wolfsburg. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious winner in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
46%
31/201/50
Draw
23%
27/10750/1
Wolfsburg
31%
31/201/1000
Draw 1-1
10%
6/19/5
St. Pauli 2-1
9%
9/119/5
Wolfsburg 2-1
7%
9/110/11
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
10/111/2
Draw 2-2
7%
11/117/5
St. Pauli 2-0
6%
14/110/1
Wolfsburg 1-0
6%
10/129/10
St. Pauli 3-1
5%
18/112/1
Wolfsburg 2-0
4%
14/14/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/19/2
St. Pauli 3-2
4%
22/118/1
St. Pauli 3-0
4%
25/125/1
Wolfsburg 3-1
4%
18/110/21
Wolfsburg 3-2
3%
22/19/2
St. Pauli 4-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/62/5
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
6/59/5
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/115/4
Away 1st Goal
47%
10/1121/20
No 1st Goal
2%
14/19/2
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/77/10
BTTS - No
37%
5/419/20
BTTS - Home Win
26%
7/280/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/325/1
BTTS - Away Win
18%
7/21/500
Home/draw
69%
1/240/1
Away/draw
54%
1/21/200
Home/away
77%
2/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
7/44/5
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/910/11
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4/15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/61/4
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/500
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/8
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/19/2
Home DNB
62%
5/680/1
Away DNB
48%
5/61/1000
St. Pauli win to nil
20%
4/1-
Wolfsburg win to nil
13%
4/1-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
20%
3/150/1
St. Pauli / Wolfsburg
4%
22/1100/1
St. Pauli / Draw
7%
12/170/1
Draw / St. Pauli
13%
11/218/1
Draw / Wolfsburg
13%
11/216/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/114/1
Wolfsburg / St. Pauli
4%
22/115/2
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
20%
3/11/2
Wolfsburg / Draw
7%
12/117/5
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 6. St. Pauli have conceded 57 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Wolfsburg lay in 16th place on 26 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 33 matches. Wolfsburg are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Wolfsburg have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Wolfsburg have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3428518689 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
8-1A
2
Dortmund3422753673 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
RB Leipzig3420591965 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
4
Stuttgart3418882262 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
5
Hoffenheim3418791361 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
6
Leverkusen3417892159 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
6-3F
7
Freiburg3413813-647 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
8
E.Frankfurt34111112-444 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
9
Augsburg3412715-1643 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1A
10
Mainz34101014-940 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
11
Union Berlin3410915-1439 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
12
B. M'gladbach3491114-1138 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
13
Hamburg3491114-1438 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
14
Köln3471116-1432 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
15
W.Bremen348818-2332 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
16
Wolfsburg347819-2429 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
17
Heidenheim346820-3126 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
18
St. Pauli346820-3126 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
St. Pauli have lost 3 consecutive league games
9
St. Pauli have not won in 9 consecutive league games
St. Pauli 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli1 - 2Mainz
St. Pauli1 - 1Köln
St. Pauli0 - 5Bayern
St. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Mainz
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
HSt. Pauli0 - 5Bayern
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
Wolfsburg 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg1 - 1Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 2Wolfsburg
Leverkusen6 - 3Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim1 - 1Wolfsburg
Stuttgart4 - 0Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig2 - 2Wolfsburg
Köln1 - 0Wolfsburg
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Bayern8 - 1Wolfsburg
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Wolfsburg
E.Frankfurt1 - 1Wolfsburg
W.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Augsburg3 - 1Wolfsburg
Dortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
Heidenheim1 - 3Wolfsburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 1Wolfsburg
Dortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWolfsburg0 - 1Bayern
AWolfsburg1 - 1Freiburg
HWolfsburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AWolfsburg2 - 1Union Berlin
HWolfsburg1 - 2E.Frankfurt
AWolfsburg3 - 6Leverkusen
HWolfsburg0 - 1W.Bremen
AWolfsburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
HWolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
AWolfsburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HWolfsburg2 - 3Augsburg
AWolfsburg2 - 2RB Leipzig
HWolfsburg1 - 2Dortmund
AWolfsburg0 - 1Köln
AWolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
HWolfsburg1 - 1Heidenheim
HWolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AWolfsburg1 - 8Bayern
HWolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
AWolfsburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 18th Wolfsburg 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that St. Pauli will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Wolfsburg will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
St. Pauli have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Wolfsburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Wolfsburg
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
STP
WOB
26%
better
view stats
Games scored20
25
Failed to score13
8
Scored first10
17
Goals scored28
42
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
9%
better
STP
WOB
view stats
Games conceded28
31
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first20
15
Goals conceded57
68
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+9%

St. Pauli v Wolfsburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34536
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaJ Fujita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK34
-
T Ando DEF151
3
-
H Wahl DEF3021
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF1911
5
-
A Pyrka MID311
3
-
J Irvine MID241
1
1
J Fujita MID3213
6
-
L. Oppie MID231
-
C Metcalfe FWD252
2
-
M Kaars FWD2931
2
-
A Hountondji FWD214
2
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
L Ritzka DEF21
1
-
K Mets DEF231
3
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
M Rasmussen MID13
-
A. Ceesay FWD203
4
-
D Sinani FWD3053
4
-
T Hara FWD4
-
R Jade-Jones FWD92
1
-
Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34898
K GrabaraD PejčinovićC EriksenM Jenz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Grabara GLK34
1
-
J Belocian DEF141
3
-
D Vavro DEF171
2
-
K Koulierakis DEF2941
5
-
V Souza MID24
5
-
S Kumbedi MID245
2
-
M Svanberg MID2431
5
1
C Eriksen MID3139
4
-
J Maehle MID1612
1
-
A Daghim FWD2723
3
-
D Pejčinović FWD308
1
-
Subs
P Pervan GLK
-
M Jenz DEF221
7
1
A Zehnter DEF202
-
L Majer MID2823
5
-
J Lindström MID13
2
-
Y Gerhardt MID191
1
-
K Paredes MID6
1
-
K. Shiogai FWD121
3
-
M Amoura FWD3083
2
-
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