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Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Kasper Hjulmand welcomes Merlin Polzin to the BayArena on Saturday afternoon, as their Bayer Leverkusen and Hamburger SV troops do battle in the Bundesliga. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
56%
--
Draw
21%
--
Hamburg
23%
--
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
--
Leverkusen 1-0
8%
--
Leverkusen 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Hamburg 2-1
6%
--
Leverkusen 3-0
5%
--
Hamburg 1-0
5%
--
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
--
Hamburg 2-0
3%
--
Leverkusen 4-0
3%
--
Hamburg 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
31%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
44%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
71%
--
Away DNB
37%
--
Leverkusen win to nil
25%
--
Hamburg win to nil
9%
--
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 11th position in the Bundesliga on 34 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 34 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3226518183 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund3120743467 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
3
RB Leipzig3119572462 
May 2
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
4
Stuttgart3217782058 
l
 
1-4A
May 9
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
Hoffenheim3217781658 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-1A
6
Leverkusen3116782055 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 16
7
E.Frankfurt32111011-343 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
8
Freiburg3112712-843 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
May 10
l
 
2-1F
9
Augsburg3211714-1440 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Mainz3181013-1034 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Hamburg3281014-1534 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
-
-
12
Union Berlin328915-2033 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Köln3271114-832 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
14
B. M'gladbach3171113-1432 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
15
W.Bremen328816-2032 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
3-1A
16
St. Pauli316817-2726 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Wolfsburg316718-2525 
w
 
6-3A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Heidenheim325819-3123 
w
 
6-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Leverkusen 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Hamburg 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leverkusen since 2012
Leverkusen
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
14
1
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
B04
5
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
B04
3
HSV
2
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Bundesliga games. This run could continue, with Bayer Leverkusen's PG an impressive 2.1.

Leverkusen 6th Hamburg 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
B04
HSV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
B04
HSV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leverkusen v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281378
A GarcíaP Schick A GrimaldoJ Quansah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A García MID3026
5
-
R Andrich MID292
5
1
E Poku FWD2755
-
C. Kofane FWD2753
3
-
A Grimaldo DEF2687
4
-
E Tapsoba DEF2653
7
-
M Tillman MID2661
1
-
J Quansah DEF253
8
-
I Maza MID2533
2
-
P Schick  FWD25133
1
-
L Badé DEF23
5
-
J Hofmann MID2222
3
-
M Flekken GLK21
1
-
E Fernández MID191
3
1
M Terrier  FWD1841
-
Arthur DEF1713
2
-
N Tella FWD163
2
-
E Palacios MID151
1
-
J Blaswich GLK11
1
-
L Vázquez DEF1112
2
-
J Belocian DEF8
-
E Seghir FWD8
2
-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF6
1
-
C Echeverri MID6
-
A. Sarco FWD3
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
315511
D FernandesR KönigsdörfferF VieiraN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK31
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD3152
2
-
N Remberg MID291
11
-
M Muheim DEF284
7
1
F Vieira MID2655
3
2
R Philippe FWD265
2
-
L. Vušković DEF255
5
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF254
3
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF232
2
1
A Lokonga MID235
3
-
N Capaldo  MID2312
7
-
J Torunarigha DEF22
2
-
D Elfadli DEF20
5
1
M Dompé FWD203
-
R Glatzel FWD1832
-
W Omari DEF17
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD141
1
-
B Jatta FWD131
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD121
4
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
G Ramos DEF8
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-