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Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

BayArena, Leverkusen

Merlin Polzin will be hoping for a precious away win in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Hamburger SV side to the BayArena to visit Bayer Leverkusen and Kasper Hjulmand. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our expansive database and pulled out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Leverkusen and Hamburg was on Saturday 16th May 2026
German Bundesliga
May 16th 2026
Leverkusen 1
1 Hamburg
 
J. Quansah 78'61' F. Ferreira Vieira
 
B04
HSV
Shots On
9
6
Shots Off
12
8
Corners
8
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
8
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
LeverkusenHamburg
 
M. Flekken
J. Quansahfootball icon
E. Tapsoba
R. Andrich (E. Ben Seghir 62')
M. Tillman (J. Hofmann 62')
P. Schick
A. Grimaldo García
A. García Serrano (L. Vázquez Iglesias 84')
E. Palacios
I. Maza
M. Amare Culbreath (A. de Matos Soares 62')
S. Tangvik
(S. Nandja 77') W. Omari
A. Sambi Lokonga
(M. Muheim 63') R. Philippe
(F. Uri Baldé 77') football iconF. Ferreira Vieira
N. Capaldo
(W. Mikelbrencis 89') J. Torunarigha
L. Vušković
N. Remberg
A. Erlykke
(Y. Yurary Poulsen 77') O. Emerson Stange

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Leverkusen to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Leverkusen. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Hamburg too. The odds point towards Kasper Hjulmand's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
62%
2/77/1
Draw
19%
11/21/11
Hamburg
19%
7/128/1
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
9/112/5
Draw 1-1
8%
12/13/5
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
9/117/4
Leverkusen 3-1
7%
9/112/1
Leverkusen 1-0
7%
14/111/4
Leverkusen 3-0
6%
9/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/118/1
Hamburg 2-1
5%
22/19/1
Leverkusen 3-2
5%
18/150/1
Leverkusen 4-1
4%
12/150/1
Leverkusen 4-0
4%
12/120/1
Hamburg 1-0
3%
33/129/20
Draw 0-0
3%
33/119/5
Leverkusen 4-2
3%
22/1150/1
Hamburg 3-2
2%
40/1100/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1/42/1
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
3/17/20
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/310/21
Away 1st Goal
43%
9/410/3
No 1st Goal
1%
33/119/5
BTTS - Yes
64%
8/157/10
BTTS - No
36%
11/819/20
BTTS - Home Win
36%
6/59/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/18/15
BTTS - Away Win
12%
10/117/2
Home/draw
81%
1/121/40
Away/draw
38%
5/22/9
Home/away
81%
1/921/10
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/141/2
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
8/129/20
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
4/614/1
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
6/51/80
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
6/455/1
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
8/151/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
10/380/1
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
2/91/200
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/1502/13
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
25/14/1
Home DNB
75%
1/92/11
Away DNB
32%
11/217/5
Leverkusen win to nil
26%
7/4-
Hamburg win to nil
7%
18/1-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
47%
8/117/1
Leverkusen / Hamburg
2%
40/155/1
Leverkusen / Draw
5%
18/128/1
Draw / Leverkusen
18%
10/37/10
Draw / Hamburg
5%
18/16/1
Draw / Draw
8%
10/13/1
Hamburg / Leverkusen
5%
14/128/1
Hamburg / Hamburg
6%
14/125/1
Hamburg / Draw
5%
20/133/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 67 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 37 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 11th position in the Bundesliga on 37 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Hamburg have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3428518689 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund3422753673 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
3
RB Leipzig3420591965 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
4
Stuttgart3418882262 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
Hoffenheim3418791361 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-1A
6
Leverkusen3417892159 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Freiburg3413813-647 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
8
E.Frankfurt34111112-444 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
9
Augsburg3412715-1643 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Mainz34101014-940 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Union Berlin3410915-1439 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
12
B. M'gladbach3491114-1138 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
13
Hamburg3491114-1438 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
14
Köln3471116-1432 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
15
W.Bremen348818-2332 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
3-1A
16
Wolfsburg347819-2429 
w
 
6-3A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
17
Heidenheim346820-3126 
w
 
6-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
St. Pauli346820-3126 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Leverkusen 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen4 - 1RB Leipzig
Leverkusen1 - 2Augsburg
Leverkusen6 - 3Wolfsburg
Leverkusen1 - 1Bayern
Leverkusen1 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen4 - 0St. Pauli
Leverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen1 - 4Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 0Köln
Leverkusen1 - 2Dortmund
Leverkusen6 - 0Heidenheim
Leverkusen2 - 0Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 0Augsburg
Leverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen3 - 1VfL Bochum
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen1 - 3Stuttgart
HLeverkusen4 - 1RB Leipzig
ALeverkusen2 - 1Köln
HLeverkusen1 - 2Augsburg
ALeverkusen1 - 0Dortmund
HLeverkusen6 - 3Wolfsburg
ALeverkusen3 - 3Heidenheim
HLeverkusen1 - 1Bayern
ALeverkusen3 - 3Freiburg
ALeverkusen1 - 0Hamburg
HLeverkusen1 - 1Mainz
ALeverkusen0 - 1Union Berlin
HLeverkusen4 - 0St. Pauli
ALeverkusen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
ALeverkusen3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
ALeverkusen0 - 1Hoffenheim
HLeverkusen1 - 4Stuttgart
ALeverkusen3 - 1RB Leipzig
HLeverkusen2 - 0Köln
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Hamburg
W.Bremen3 - 1Hamburg
Stuttgart4 - 0Hamburg
Dortmund3 - 2Hamburg
Wolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leverkusen have beaten Hamburg in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Leverkusen have not lost to Hamburg in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leverkusen since 2012
Leverkusen
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
14
1
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
B04
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Leverkusen3 - 0
Leverkusen3 - 1
Leverkusen1 - 0
Leverkusen4 - 0
Leverkusen3 - 0
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
B04
3
HSV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
0 - 1Leverkusen
1 - 2Leverkusen
Hamburg1 - 0
Hamburg2 - 1
0 - 1Leverkusen
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Bayer Leverkusen in their meeting with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 38 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

Leverkusen 6th Hamburg 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Leverkusen have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
37%
better
B04
HSV
view stats
Games scored29
23
Failed to score4
10
Scored first22
11
Goals scored67
39
Avg. goals scored2
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
14%
better
B04
HSV
view stats
Games conceded25
27
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first11
18
Goals conceded46
53
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+14%

Leverkusen v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311688
A GarcíaP Schick A GarcíaJ Quansah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK24
1
-
J Quansah DEF284
8
-
R Andrich DEF322
5
1
E Tapsoba DEF2953
7
-
M. Amare Culbreath MID121
-
A García MID3338
5
-
E Palacios MID181
2
-
A Grimaldo MID2988
4
-
I Maza FWD2834
2
-
M Tillman FWD2961
2
-
P Schick  FWD28163
1
-
Subs
J Blaswich GLK11
1
-
L Badé DEF23
5
-
Arthur DEF2013
3
-
T Oermann DEF2
-
L Vázquez DEF1212
2
-
E Fernández MID201
3
1
J Hofmann MID2322
3
-
E Seghir FWD10
2
-
E Poku FWD2955
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
337511
D FernandesF VieiraF VieiraN Remberg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tangvik GLK1
-
W Omari DEF201
-
L. Vušković DEF286
6
-
J Torunarigha DEF24
3
-
N Capaldo  MID2613
10
-
F Vieira MID2975
3
2
N Remberg MID322
11
-
A Lokonga MID265
3
-
A Grönbaek MID712
-
R Philippe FWD285
2
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD10
-
Subs
D Fernandes GLK33
3
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF264
3
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF242
2
1
M Muheim DEF294
7
1
S. Nandja DEF2
-
D Elfadli MID21
5
1
B Jatta MID1511
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD151
4
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD1611
1
-
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