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SV Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 14:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

SV Werder Bremen and their boss Daniel Thioune will be aiming to beat Niko Kovač and his Borussia Dortmund side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Weser-Stadion in the Bundesliga. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Daniel Thioune prepares his side for kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both teams are strong in attack, with goals in plentiful supply of late. With a real favourite to win the game, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
25%
12/523/10
Draw
22%
29/103/1
Dortmund
54%
19/2019/20
Draw 1-1
10%
15/27/1
Dortmund 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Dortmund 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Dortmund 2-0
7%
12/111/1
Dortmund 3-1
6%
12/110/1
W.Bremen 2-1
6%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/117/2
Dortmund 3-0
5%
18/114/1
W.Bremen 1-0
5%
18/112/1
Dortmund 3-2
4%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
22/116/1
Dortmund 4-1
3%
22/116/1
W.Bremen 2-0
3%
22/116/1
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
22/116/1
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
2/52/5
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2/19/5
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/106/5
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/67/10
No 1st Goal
2%
22/116/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
2/52/5
BTTS - No
37%
7/47/4
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
30%
2/119/10
Home/draw
46%
4/54/5
Away/draw
75%
3/101/3
Home/away
78%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/91/9
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
11/219/4
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
1/119/20
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/53/4
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
12/511/5
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/31/3
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
9/29/2
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/71/8
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/801/150
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/116/1
Home DNB
40%
13/829/20
Away DNB
69%
4/910/21
W.Bremen win to nil
10%
8/1-
Dortmund win to nil
24%
7/2-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
16%
9/219/5
W.Bremen / Dortmund
5%
18/114/1
W.Bremen / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / W.Bremen
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Dortmund
14%
9/29/2
Draw / Draw
11%
13/211/2
Dortmund / W.Bremen
4%
22/120/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
27%
2/115/8
Dortmund / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 7 and won 4. W.Bremen have conceded 53 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

W.Bremen have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 2nd place on 70 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 65 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 16 away games, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3327518286 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
2
Dortmund3321753470 
May 16
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
RB Leipzig3320582265 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
4
Stuttgart3318782261 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
5
Hoffenheim3318781761 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
6
Leverkusen3317792158 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
7
Freiburg3312813-944 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
8
E.Frankfurt33111012-443 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
3-3F
9
Augsburg3312714-1243 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Mainz3391014-1137 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
11
Hamburg3391014-1437 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
12
Union Berlin339915-1836 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
13
B. M'gladbach3381114-1535 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Köln3371115-1032 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
W.Bremen338817-2132 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
May 16
16
Wolfsburg336819-2626 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
17
Heidenheim336819-2926 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
18
St. Pauli336819-2926 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
Win / draw / win form
W.Bremen 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Dortmund have not lost to W.Bremen in 9 consecutive away league meetings
League games at W.Bremen since 2013
W.Bremen
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
10
27
Games: Scored
8 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
4 / 12
SVW
1
D
3
BVB
8
League games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
30
19
Games: Scored
13 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
0 / 13
SVW
2
D
2
BVB
9
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Borussia Dortmund in their meeting with SV Werder Bremen, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 64 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

W.Bremen 15th Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
W.Bremen have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+24
Dortmund have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.3
2
Attack rating
SVW
BVB
43%
better
view stats
Games scored21
31
Failed to score12
2
Scored first10
25
Goals scored37
68
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
22
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
SVW
BVB
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
19
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first22
8
Goals conceded58
34
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

W.Bremen v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3310810
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidM Friedl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Schmid MID3348
4
-
M Grüll FWD3231
5
-
J Njinmah FWD325
2
-
M Backhaus GLK31
1
-
Y Sugawara DEF316
2
1
S Lynen MID30
4
-
M Friedl DEF291
9
1
J Stage MID28102
5
-
C Puertas MID2712
6
-
A. Coulibaly DEF261
4
1
S. Mbangula FWD2532
-
K Topp FWD2011
4
-
I Schmidt DEF181
2
-
A Pieper DEF18
4
-
L Bittencourt MID161
5
-
O Deman DEF1512
3
-
N Stark DEF14
6
2
P. Čović MID141
1
-
F Agu DEF111
1
-
J Malatini DEF11
3
-
V Boniface FWD112
1
-
S. Musah FWD71
-
K Hein GLK2
-
M. Schmetgens DEF2
-
M Wöber DEF2
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3316158
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK33
3
-
D Svensson DEF3222
-
S Guirassy  FWD32162
3
-
W Anton DEF312
3
-
J Bellingham MID312
2
1
M Beier FWD3196
3
-
J Ryerson DEF3015
8
-
J Brandt MID2874
-
F Nmecha MID2823
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF2751
8
-
C Chukwuemeka MID272
2
-
F Silva FWD2726
3
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2773
5
-
M Sabitzer  MID2612
3
-
R Bensebaini DEF2152
6
-
Y Couto MID1813
4
-
N Süle DEF111
3
-
S Özcan MID11
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF93
3
-
A Anselmino DEF61
-
F. Mane DEF4
1
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-