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Benfica v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Sunday morning sees José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho’s Benfica and Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio da Luz. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
41%
--
Draw
26%
--
Porto
33%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Benfica 1-0
10%
--
Benfica 2-1
9%
--
Porto 1-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
8%
--
Benfica 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Porto 2-0
5%
--
Benfica 3-1
4%
--
Benfica 3-0
3%
--
Porto 3-1
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Porto 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Benfica win to nil
21%
--
Porto win to nil
17%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Benfica are unbeaten in 2 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games. Benfica are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 2 and won zero. Benfica have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 12 games at home, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Porto lay in 1st place on 62 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 44 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 12 away games, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2320213762 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2318414758 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2316703655 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Braga2312652642 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente2311751340 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 2
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Famalicao231058835 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
7
Estoril23968733 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
8
Moreirense2310310-433 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
9
V. Guimaraes239410-731 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca237511-1526 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Arouca237511-1826 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
Feb 27
w
 
0-4F
12
Estrela Amadora235810-1523 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Casa Pia235711-1822 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Nacional235612-721 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Rio Ave234811-2120 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
Santa Clara234613-1118 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela234613-1918 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS231517-398 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
5
Benfica have won 5 consecutive home league games
20
Benfica have not lost in 20 consecutive home league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica3 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Porto
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
BEF
3
D
2
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Porto
Benfica1 - 0
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Benfica
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
BEF
3
D
4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Benfica
Porto5 - 0
0 - 1Benfica
Porto3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto3 - 2
1 - 2Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Benfica's defensive record is to be admired, José Mourinho's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for FC Porto makes sense in this context.

Benfica 3rd Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Benfica have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
BEF
PTO
8%
better
view stats
Games scored21
22
Failed to score2
1
Scored first18
20
Goals scored49
44
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
18
Avg. XG for2.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
BEF
PTO
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
6
Clean sheets12
17
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded13
7
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
20
Conversion rate against10%
5%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.7
KickOff rating
+36%

Benfica v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
212046
S DahlV PavlidisV PavlidisE Barrenechea
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF2211
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD22204
2
-
N Otamendi DEF212
5
-
F Aursnes MID2133
1
-
L Barreiro MID2113
1
-
A Trubin GLK20
-
H Sudakov MID1942
2
-
E Barrenechea MID18
6
-
G Prestianni FWD1821
5
1
T Araújo DEF1611
3
-
R Ríos MID16
6
-
A Schjelderup FWD1622
1
-
A Dedic DEF1513
2
1
A Silva DEF15
3
-
F Ivanovic FWD153
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
Manu MID6
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK23
1
-
V. Froholdt MID2333
2
-
J Bednarek DEF221
7
-
B Sainz FWD2252
5
-
G Veiga MID2115
3
-
A Varela MID212
5
-
A Baio DEF206
4
-
Pepê FWD2024
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1911
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD195
3
1
D Gül FWD182
1
-
F Moura DEF1722
3
-
J Kiwior DEF161
1
-
P Rosario MID1621
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF141
2
1
Zaidu  DEF1011
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-