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Sporting Braga v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Sporting Braga and Sporting Lisbon clash at the Estádio Municipal de Braga on Sunday morning, with both Carlos Vicens and Rui Manuel Gomes Borges hoping for success in the Liga NOS. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
36%
--
Draw
25%
--
S. Lisbon
39%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
--
Braga 2-1
8%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
8%
--
Braga 1-0
8%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
6%
--
Braga 2-0
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
4%
--
Braga 3-1
4%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
3%
--
Braga 3-2
3%
--
Braga 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
64%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Braga win to nil
17%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
19%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Braga are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 2 and won zero. Braga have conceded 5 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Braga have played 11 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 58 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 23 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 21 games against teams below them in the league and kept 12 clean sheets out of 21 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 12 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2320213762 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
2
S. Lisbon2318414758 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
-
-
3
Benfica2316703655 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2312652642 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
5
Gil Vicente2311751340 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
6
Famalicao231058835 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Estoril23968733 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
8
Moreirense2310310-433 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
V. Guimaraes239410-731 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
1-4F
10
Alverca237511-1526 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
11
Arouca237511-1826 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
12
Estrela Amadora235810-1523 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
13
Casa Pia235711-1822 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Nacional235612-721 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
15
Rio Ave234811-2120 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
May 10
16
Santa Clara234613-1118 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
17
Tondela234613-1918 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS231517-398 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
3
Braga have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
Braga have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
22
S. Lisbon have not lost in 22 consecutive away league games
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
22
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
S. Lisbon have not lost to Braga in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
BRG
3
D
2
SCL
5
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Braga
Goals: Scored
25
10
Games: Scored
10 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
1 / 11
BRG
2
D
3
SCL
6
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is to be admired, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 19 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Sporting Braga makes sense in this context.

Sporting Lisbon have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 42 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.5 against Sporting Braga on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Braga 4th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Braga have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+15
S. Lisbon have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
BRG
SCL
23%
better
view stats
Games scored20
23
Failed to score3
0
Scored first16
18
Goals scored48
59
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.6
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
19
Avg. XG for1.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
BRG
SCL
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets9
12
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded22
12
Avg. goals conceded1
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+29%

Braga v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231245
L HornicekR HortaL LeloR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK23
1
-
V Gómez DEF2313
1
-
L Lelo DEF224
1
-
P Victor FWD2263
3
-
R Zalazar  MID21113
5
-
J Moutinho MID2111
3
-
R Horta FWD20124
3
1
G Martínez FWD203
2
-
G Lagerbielke DEF192
3
1
Gorby MID19
3
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF18
3
-
F Navarro FWD184
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1612
1
-
F Grillitsch  MID1511
2
-
G Salles MID13
2
-
M Dorgeles MID111
-
P Oliveira DEF10
1
-
V Carvalho MID102
4
-
S Niakaté DEF9
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID2
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211988
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID2248
-
G Inácio DEF213
3
1
L Suárez FWD21194
5
-
R Silva GLK20
1
-
H Morita MID191
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1922
7
-
M Vilches DEF1842
7
1
I Fresneda DEF181
5
-
A Santos FWD182
-
G Catamo  MID1743
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD17105
5
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID141
2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF133
3
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
R Mangas DEF1121
3
-
Z Debast DEF10
2
-
O Diomande DEF9
2
-
M Reis DEF92
2
E Quaresma DEF711
1
-
D Bragança  MID32
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-