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Estoril v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Ian Cathro’s Estoril will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia are their opponents at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. We have the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
59%
--
Draw
21%
--
Casa Pia
20%
--
Estoril 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Estoril 2-0
9%
--
Estoril 1-0
9%
--
Estoril 3-1
7%
--
Estoril 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
5%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Estoril 3-2
4%
--
Estoril 4-1
3%
--
Estoril 4-0
3%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
Estoril win to nil
28%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Estoril have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Estoril have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 17 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 22 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 33 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2320213762 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon2318414758 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 27
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2316703655 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga2312652642 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
5
Gil Vicente2311751340 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
6
Famalicao231058835 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Estoril23968733 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
8
Moreirense2310310-433 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
9
V. Guimaraes239410-731 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
10
Alverca237511-1526 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
11
Arouca237511-1826 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
12
Estrela Amadora235810-1523 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
13
Casa Pia235711-1822 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
-
-
14
Nacional235612-721 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Rio Ave234811-2120 
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
May 17
l
 
3-1A
16
Santa Clara234613-1118 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
17
Tondela234613-1918 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS231517-398 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
Estoril2 - 2Tondela
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Casa Pia 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2023
Estoril
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
EST
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril4 - 0
Estoril2 - 0
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
Estoril
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
EST
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Estoril
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Estoril in their clash with Casa Pia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 45 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Estoril 7th Casa Pia 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Estoril will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+42
Estoril have scored 42% more goals at home than predicted
-24
Casa Pia have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2
1.1
Attack rating
30%
better
EST
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score6
9
Scored first10
6
Goals scored46
25
Avg. goals scored2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
18
Avg. XG for1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
1%
better
EST
view stats
Games conceded20
18
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded39
41
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%

Estoril v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2317105
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK23
2
-
F Bacher DEF231
2
-
J Carvalho MID23610
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD23171
1
-
J Holsgrove MID2216
5
-
R Guitane FWD2035
2
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
Ferro DEF181
2
-
P Amaral DEF182
3
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF172
4
-
A Marqués FWD174
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1623
5
-
Pizzi MID164
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
A Tsoungui DEF13
4
-
J Orellana MID121
2
-
G Costa DEF9
1
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID2
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
234711
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Livolant FWD2337
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF2233
5
-
Cassiano FWD224
5
-
P Sequeira GLK18
2
1
A Geraldes DEF18
5
-
S Pérez MID18
4
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
D Sousa  DEF172
11
-
J Fonte DEF161
3
-
R Brito MID1511
2
-
T Morais FWD15
1
-
J Goulart DEF141
3
-
A Conté DEF142
1
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD14
2
-
I Mohamed MID121
4
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
O Osundina FWD112
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
K. Prieto Machado MID7
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
D. Bandeira DEF6
3
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
Claudio FWD61
1
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-