Tondela's team badge Rio Ave's team badge

Tondela v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira welcomes Sotiris Silaidopoulos to the Estadio Joao Cardoso on Sunday morning, as their Tondela and Rio Ave sides do battle in the Liga NOS. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and found the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tondela
40%
--
Draw
27%
--
Rio Ave
33%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Tondela 1-0
11%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Tondela 2-1
8%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
7%
--
Tondela 2-0
7%
--
Rio Ave 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Tondela 3-1
4%
--
Tondela 3-0
3%
--
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
--
Rio Ave 3-0
2%
--
Tondela 3-2
2%
--
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Tondela win to nil
23%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
19%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Tondela have conceded 34 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 15th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 23 matches. Rio Ave are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 2 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tondela
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2320213762 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2318414758 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
May 10
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2316703655 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga2312652642 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
5
Gil Vicente2311751340 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
6
Famalicao231058835 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
7
Estoril23968733 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
8
Moreirense2310310-433 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
9
V. Guimaraes239410-731 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
10
Alverca237511-1526 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca237511-1826 
w
 
3-1A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
12
Estrela Amadora235810-1523 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
13
Casa Pia235711-1822 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
3-1F
May 17
14
Nacional235612-721 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
15
Rio Ave234811-2120 
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
-
-
16
Santa Clara234613-1118 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
17
Tondela234613-1918 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
18
AVS231517-398 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela1 - 1Alverca
Tondela0 - 0Benfica
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela3 - 1Arouca
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela2 - 2Boavista
Tondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Tondela1 - 1Belenenses
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
Tondela2 - 3Vizela
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HTondela1 - 1Alverca
ATondela2 - 2Estoril
HTondela0 - 0Benfica
ATondela0 - 3Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
Rio Ave 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 0Rio Ave
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
Gil Vicente2 - 2Rio Ave
AVS1 - 2Rio Ave
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARio Ave0 - 1Porto
HRio Ave1 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave0 - 3Braga
HRio Ave0 - 3Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 4Nacional
HRio Ave0 - 2Benfica
HRio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 2Gil Vicente
HRio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tondela since 2016
Tondela
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
CDT
1
D
3
RIO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Rio Ave
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Rio Ave
Tondela2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
Tondela
Goals: Scored
15
12
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
CDT
2
D
2
RIO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Rio Ave3 - 0
Rio Ave2 - 1
2 - 4Tondela
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rio Ave3 - 1
2 - 3Tondela
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Rio Ave of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Tondela.

Tondela 17th Rio Ave 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Tondela have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Tondela
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
CDT
RIO
19%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score13
10
Scored first7
7
Goals scored17
23
Avg. goals scored0.7
1
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
15%
better
CDT
RIO
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first14
15
Goals conceded36
44
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+15%

Tondela v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23628
B FontesP HenryqueE MaviramB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK23
2
-
P Henryque FWD2361
4
-
C Marques DEF21
3
-
T. Silva Manso DEF201
5
-
B Medina DEF191
6
2
J. Rodríguez López MID19
3
-
S Sithole MID191
5
-
E Maviram DEF1822
4
-
Bebeto DEF171
4
-
H. Sequeira MID17
1
-
Jordan FWD171
2
-
J Hodge MID16
1
-
C. Alves Santana MID141
3
-
H Tavares MID13
1
1
I Cavaleiro FWD132
1
-
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
J Afonso DEF10
3
-
J. Rodriguez FWD91
1
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD8
-
A Rodrigues FWD7
1
-
R Lopes FWD712
1
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201058
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2111
1
1
O Pohlmann MID211
-
A Ndoj DEF202
6
-
G Liavas MID201
2
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
D Spikic FWD192
1
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
F. Petrasso DEF18
5
-
C Miszta GLK17
5
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
N Abby DEF16
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID161
2
1
J Brabec DEF15
2
-
A. Papakanellos MID15
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
M Gual FWD10
-
J Tomé DEF9
1
-
O Richards DEF8
1
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF5
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
T. Medina FWD1
-