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Vitoria Guimaraes v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Vitoria Guimaraes and Rio Ave on Sunday evening, as bosses Massimo Pavanel and Armando Evangelista battle it out at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our extensive database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Sporting Farense at 18:00 on Sunday 11th May
Rio Ave's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Saturday 10th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Rio Ave was on Sunday 27th April 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 27th 2025
V. Guimaraes 3
0 Rio Ave
 
T. Bakoulas (OG) 15'
J. Mendes Neto Saraiva 31'
T. Gomes Arcanjo 44'
 
GUI
RIO
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
10
4
Corners
9
1
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
16
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
V. GuimaraesRio Ave
 
B. Semedo Varela
M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
T. Borevković
João Mendes
J. Mendes Neto Saraivafootball icon
T. Gomes Arcanjofootball icon (N. Valente Santos 63')
T. Maia da Silva (F. Amorim Silva 63')
T. Pereira Santos Händel (B. Mambuene Mukendi 67')
J. Ramírez Díaz (N. Castro Oliveira 68')
G. da Silva Cunha
C. Miszta
A. Ntoi
M. Vrousai
(K. Kostoulas 80') J. Panzo
(J. Reginaldo 36') J. Esteves Baptista
(M. Carvalho Neto 81') football iconT. Bakoulas
D. Tıknaz
(J. Salazar da Graça 58') O. Pohlmann
(J. Barradas Novais 58') T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais
Clayton
A. Inácio da Silva

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of V. Guimaraes and Rio Ave scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga NOS match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
54%
12/25
11%
-
Draw
24%
16/5
12%
-
Rio Ave
22%
6/1
47%
-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
7%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
10%
6/1
7%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
26%
-
Rio Ave 1-0
7%
16/1
42%
-
Rio Ave 2-1
6%
20/1
40%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
9/1
23%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Rio Ave 2-0
3%
33/1
48%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
18/1
27%
-
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
20/1
28%
-
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3/4
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
21/20
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/3
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/5
16%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/4
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
12/1
30%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/10
4%
-
Away/draw
46%
13/8
22%
-
Home/away
76%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/1
23%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
7/4
21%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/5
12%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
35%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
26%
-
Home DNB
71%
1/7
12%
-
Away DNB
39%
9/2
57%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
30%
11/8
9%
-
Rio Ave win to nil
12%
10/1
38%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
39%
6/5
20%
-
V. Guimaraes / Rio Ave
2%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
20%
10/3-
Draw / Rio Ave
6%
12/1
30%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
18%
-
Rio Ave / V. Guimaraes
4%
20/1
9%
-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
7%
11/1
41%
-
Rio Ave / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 9 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Rio Ave have conceded 40 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3224625978 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica3225345678 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
3
Porto3220573165 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga3219852665 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
V. Guimaraes H32141261354 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
6
Santa Clara3215611251 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao32111110544 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Casa Pia3211912-542 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril3211912-942 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
10
Moreirense329914-1136 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
11
Rio Ave Away329914-1636 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
-
-
12
Arouca3281014-1734 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
13
Nacional329617-1533 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 10
14
Gil Vicente328816-1332 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora327817-2129 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
16
Sporting Farense325918-2124 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
17
Boavista326620-3124 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS3241216-3324 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Rio Ave 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
GUI
5
D
1
RIO
2
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
GUI
3
D
3
RIO
3
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Rio Ave on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, Massimo Pavanel's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Rio Ave makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 5th Rio Ave 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Rio Ave have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285316/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.7
1
Attack rating
9%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games scored22
21
Failed to score8
9
Scored first14
13
Goals scored41
33
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
26%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games conceded18
26
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first14
17
Goals conceded32
48
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+26%

V. Guimaraes v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32649
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK32
4
-
Maga DEF162
2
-
T Borevkovic DEF25
5
-
F Relvas DEF10
1
-
J Mendes DEF301
9
-
T Silva MID2954
5
1
T Händel  MID3121
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2752
7
-
J Mendes MID3041
3
-
G. da Silva Cunha MID196
4
-
Chuchu FWD2332
2
-
Subs
Charles GLK
-
M Villanueva DEF18
7
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
B Gaspar DEF11
2
-
Samu MID3121
3
-
N Santos MID3134
5
-
Beni MID5
1
-
N Oliveira FWD2934
4
-
V. Félix FWD14
2
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2914312
ClaytonClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miszta GLK24
2
-
J Tomé DEF14
2
-
A Ndoj DEF15
1
-
J Panzo DEF161
4
1
M Vrousai  DEF3113
5
-
D Tıknaz MID2622
6
1
T. Bakoulas MID8
3
-
A Luiz MID1411
1
-
O Pohlmann MID2712
-
T Morais MID304
1
-
Clayton FWD29143
11
1
Subs
M Teixeira GLK
-
J Pedro DEF31
-
K. Kostoulas DEF2
1
-
J Novais MID28
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
J Graça MID151
1
-
T. Medina MID2
-
M Neto MID2221
6
1
K. Zoabi FWD122
1
-