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Athletic Bilbao v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

Claudio Giráldez González leads his Celta de Vigo charges to the San Mamés in the La Liga on Sunday morning, with Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao the opponent. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both A.Bilbao and Celta's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
44%
-4/5
Draw
26%
-27/10
Celta
31%
-17/5
Draw 1-1
12%
-11/2
A.Bilbao 1-0
10%
-11/2
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
-13/2
Celta 1-0
8%
-9/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
8%
-13/2
Celta 2-1
7%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
7%
-8/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-12/1
Celta 2-0
5%
-16/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
-11/1
A.Bilbao 3-0
4%
-11/1
Celta 3-1
3%
-25/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
3%
-20/1
Celta 3-2
2%
-28/1
Celta 3-0
2%
-33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
-10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
-5/6
Home 1st Goal
50%
-3/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
-17/10
No 1st Goal
5%
-8/1
BTTS - Yes
53%
-17/20
BTTS - No
47%
-17/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
-11/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
-18/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
-13/2
Home/draw
69%
-1/5
Away/draw
56%
-1/1
Home/away
74%
-2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
-3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
-23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
-11/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
-3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
-1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-8/1
Home DNB
62%
-3/10
Away DNB
49%
-21/10
A.Bilbao win to nil
24%
--
Celta win to nil
16%
--
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
29%
-13/8
A.Bilbao / Celta
3%
-28/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
16%
-19/5
Draw / Celta
9%
-8/1
Draw / Draw
15%
-4/1
Celta / A.Bilbao
4%
-18/1
Celta / Celta
12%
-11/2
Celta / Draw
6%
-12/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn zero and won 3. A.Bilbao have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A.Bilbao have played 17 games at home, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Celta lay in 6th place on 47 points in the La Liga league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 7 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Celta have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Celta have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3429145888 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3424553977 
l
 
0-3A
May 24
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
3
Villarreal3421582568 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
A.Madrid3419692163 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 9
5
Real Betis34131471153 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta34121111447 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
-
-
7
Getafe3413516-844 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
A.Bilbao3413516-1044 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 17
9
R.Sociedad33111012043 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
10
Osasuna3411914-242 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Valencia3410915-1339 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-3A
13
Espanyol3410915-1439 
l
 
1-2F
May 13
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
14
Elche3491114-838 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
Mallorca3410816-938 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Girona3491114-1538 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
17
Alaves349916-1336 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4A
l
 
3-4F
w
 
0-1F
18
Sevilla339717-1534 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
0-1F
19
Levante348917-1733 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
May 12
w
 
1-2F
20
Real Oviedo3461018-2828 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao1 - 0Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Betis
A.Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
A.Bilbao2 - 1Elche
A.Bilbao4 - 2Levante
A.Bilbao1 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 2Espanyol
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0Real Oviedo
A.Bilbao0 - 1Getafe
A.Bilbao2 - 1Mallorca
A.Bilbao1 - 1Girona
A.Bilbao0 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 2Sevilla
A.Bilbao0 - 3Barcelona
A.Bilbao1 - 0Alaves
A.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao4 - 2Alaves
AA.Bilbao2 - 3A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Osasuna
HA.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Getafe
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 3Girona
HA.Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
AA.Bilbao1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Elche
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Oviedo
HA.Bilbao4 - 2Levante
HA.Bilbao1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Sevilla
AA.Bilbao2 - 3Mallorca
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Osasuna
HA.Bilbao1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Celta
HA.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal2 - 1Celta
Barcelona1 - 0Celta
Valencia2 - 3Celta
Real Betis1 - 1Celta
Girona1 - 2Celta
Espanyol2 - 2Celta
Getafe0 - 0Celta
R.Sociedad3 - 1Celta
Sevilla0 - 1Celta
Real Oviedo0 - 0Celta
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Levante1 - 2Celta
Osasuna2 - 3Celta
Elche2 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
Mallorca1 - 1Celta
Getafe1 - 2Celta
R.Sociedad0 - 1Celta
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCelta3 - 1Elche
ACelta1 - 2Villarreal
ACelta0 - 1Barcelona
HCelta0 - 3Real Oviedo
ACelta3 - 2Valencia
HCelta3 - 4Alaves
ACelta1 - 1Real Betis
HCelta1 - 2Real Madrid
ACelta2 - 1Girona
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta2 - 2Espanyol
HCelta1 - 2Osasuna
ACelta0 - 0Getafe
ACelta1 - 3R.Sociedad
HCelta3 - 0R.Vallecano
ACelta1 - 0Sevilla
HCelta4 - 1Valencia
ACelta0 - 0Real Oviedo
HCelta2 - 0A.Bilbao
ACelta2 - 0Real Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Bilbao have beaten Celta in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
Celta
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
2 / 11
ATH
6
D
3
CEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao3 - 1
A.Bilbao4 - 3
A.Bilbao2 - 1
0 - 2Celta
0 - 2Celta
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Bilbao3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Bilbao2 - 1
A.Bilbao2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
4 / 12
ATH
6
D
1
CEL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
Celta2 - 0
1 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 1
Celta1 - 0
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Draw0 - 0Draw
Celta1 - 0
1 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta3 - 1
0 - 3A.Bilbao
0 - 1A.Bilbao
1 - 2A.Bilbao
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Celta de Vigo have conceded in each of their last 8 La Liga matches. A PG of 1.5 for E. Valverde's side suggests that run should continue.

A.Bilbao 8th Celta 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
A.Bilbao have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Celta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
ATH
CEL
16%
better
view stats
Games scored23
27
Failed to score11
6
Scored first14
15
Goals scored40
45
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
ATH
CEL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
25
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first19
16
Goals conceded50
43
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%

A.Bilbao v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34959
U SimónG GuruzetaY BerchicheI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK34
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID322
5
1
I Galarreta MID3112
9
-
G Guruzeta FWD3193
5
1
Y Berchiche DEF305
4
-
D Vivian DEF281
8
1
Álex Berenguer FWD2823
4
-
R Navarro FWD2861
1
-
O Sancet MID274
4
1
I Williams FWD2624
2
-
J Areso DEF251
3
-
A. Rego Mora MID2511
5
-
N Williams FWD2463
3
-
A Laporte DEF221
2
-
U Gómez MID2211
1
1
M Vesga MID21
-
A Gorosabel DEF201
3
-
A Paredes DEF182
4
-
N Serrano  FWD141
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF12
2
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD11
2
-
I Lekue DEF10
2
1
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD91
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF3
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341357
I Radu B IglesiasJ. Rueda GarcíaB Iglesias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK34
1
-
I Moriba MID3312
6
-
B Iglesias FWD31132
7
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF3014
4
-
S Carreira DEF3021
2
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF291
5
-
M Alonso DEF281
5
-
I Aspas FWD2853
4
-
P Durán FWD2622
1
-
F Jutglà FWD2673
4
-
W Swedberg FWD2544
2
-
H Álvarez FWD2441
2
-
J. Rueda García DEF2325
5
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD212
-
C Starfelt DEF19
2
1
M. Román González MID191
3
-
H Sotelo MID193
3
-
B Zaragoza FWD1911
1
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF14
2
-
F Beltrán MID10
-
J Aidoo DEF8
-
C Domínguez DEF8
1
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF8
4
-
M Ristić DEF4
-
D Rodríguez MID2
1
-