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Athletic Bilbao v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 18:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

It's an away match for Claudio Giráldez González's Celta de Vigo side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the San Mamés for a La Liga meeting with Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with La Liga performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this match will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and stats align with our predictive algorithm on this one. A.Bilbao and Celta have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
41%
21/201/1
Draw
27%
9/45/2
Celta
32%
13/511/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
A.Bilbao 1-0
11%
6/16/1
Celta 1-0
10%
9/117/2
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
9%
8/18/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Celta 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Celta 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
16/112/1
A.Bilbao 3-0
3%
18/112/1
Celta 3-1
3%
28/122/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Celta 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Celta 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
11/1010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/115/6
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/114/6
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/1029/20
No 1st Goal
5%
8/18/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
50%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
7/229/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/211/2
Home/draw
68%
2/71/4
Away/draw
59%
8/114/5
Home/away
73%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/33/10
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/523/10
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/411/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/73/10
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/20
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/18/1
Home DNB
60%
1/24/9
Away DNB
51%
6/413/8
A.Bilbao win to nil
24%
5/2-
Celta win to nil
18%
5/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
25%
12/52/1
A.Bilbao / Celta
3%
33/125/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Celta
10%
13/27/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/14/1
Celta / A.Bilbao
4%
25/118/1
Celta / Celta
14%
5/119/4
Celta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 3. A.Bilbao have conceded 25 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A.Bilbao have played 18 games at home, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Celta lay in 6th place on 50 points in the La Liga league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 8 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Celta have conceded 34 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Celta have played 18 away games, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3530146091 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3524563777 
l
 
0-3A
May 23
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
3
Villarreal3521682569 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
A.Madrid36206102166 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
5
Real Betis36141571257 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta36131112450 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
-
-
7
Getafe3513616-845 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
R.Sociedad35111113-144 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
A.Bilbao3513517-1144 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 17
10
R.Vallecano35101312-643 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Osasuna3611916-442 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
12
Valencia3511915-1242 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-3A
13
Sevilla3511717-1340 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
May 23
w
 
0-1F
14
Elche3691215-939 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
Mallorca3510916-939 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Levante3610917-1539 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2F
17
Espanyol3510916-1539 
l
 
1-2F
May 13
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
18
Girona3591214-1539 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
19
Alaves3591016-1337 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4A
l
 
3-4F
w
 
0-1F
20
Real Oviedo3561118-2829 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Celta 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Bilbao have beaten Celta in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
Celta
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
2 / 11
ATH
6
D
3
CEL
2
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
4 / 12
ATH
6
D
1
CEL
5
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 9th Celta 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
A.Bilbao have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Celta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
ATH
CEL
21%
better
view stats
Games scored23
29
Failed to score12
6
Scored first14
17
Goals scored40
49
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
ATH
CEL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
26
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first20
16
Goals conceded51
44
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

A.Bilbao v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35959
U SimónG GuruzetaY BerchicheI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK35
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID332
5
1
G Guruzeta FWD3293
5
1
Y Berchiche DEF315
4
-
I Galarreta MID3112
9
-
D Vivian DEF291
8
1
Álex Berenguer FWD2923
4
-
R Navarro FWD2961
1
-
O Sancet MID284
4
1
I Williams FWD2724
2
-
A. Rego Mora MID2611
6
-
J Areso DEF251
3
-
N Williams FWD2563
3
-
A Laporte DEF231
3
-
U Gómez MID2311
1
1
M Vesga MID22
-
A Gorosabel DEF211
3
-
A Paredes DEF182
4
-
N Serrano  FWD141
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF12
2
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD11
2
-
I Lekue DEF10
2
1
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD91
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF4
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361467
I Radu B IglesiasJ. Rueda GarcíaI Moriba
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK36
1
-
I Moriba MID3412
7
-
B Iglesias FWD33142
7
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF3214
4
-
S Carreira DEF3221
2
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF311
5
-
M Alonso DEF301
5
-
I Aspas FWD3053
4
-
P Durán FWD2822
1
-
F Jutglà FWD2893
4
-
W Swedberg FWD2745
2
-
H Álvarez FWD2642
2
-
J. Rueda García DEF2426
5
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD222
-
H Sotelo MID203
3
-
C Starfelt DEF19
2
1
M. Román González MID191
3
-
B Zaragoza FWD1911
1
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF14
2
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF10
4
-
F Beltrán MID10
-
J Aidoo DEF8
-
C Domínguez DEF8
1
-
M Ristić DEF5
-
D Rodríguez MID2
1
-