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Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal take on one another at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas on Sunday morning, with both Iñigo Pérez Soto and Marcelino García Toral hoping for success in the La Liga. La Liga statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% chance of R.Vallecano and Villarreal serving up a minimum of two goals in this La Liga tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
47%
-11/8
Draw
24%
-13/5
Villarreal
29%
-15/8
Draw 1-1
11%
-11/2
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
-15/2
R.Vallecano 1-0
9%
-15/2
R.Vallecano 2-0
8%
-10/1
Villarreal 2-1
7%
-17/2
Villarreal 1-0
7%
-17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-10/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
5%
-12/1
Villarreal 2-0
4%
-12/1
R.Vallecano 3-0
4%
-16/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
-18/1
Villarreal 3-1
3%
-16/1
Villarreal 3-2
2%
-18/1
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
-7/10
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
-21/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
-17/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
-21/20
No 1st Goal
3%
-10/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
-3/5
BTTS - No
42%
-6/5
BTTS - Home Win
24%
-3/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
-16/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
-18/5
Home/draw
71%
-2/5
Away/draw
53%
-4/7
Home/away
76%
-2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
-2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
-3/1
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
-17/10
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
-4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
-19/5
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
-2/13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-10/1
Home DNB
64%
-7/10
Away DNB
46%
-21/20
R.Vallecano win to nil
23%
--
Villarreal win to nil
14%
--
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
22%
-5/2
R.Vallecano / Villarreal
4%
-20/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
7%
-10/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
13%
-5/1
Draw / Villarreal
11%
-6/1
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
Villarreal / R.Vallecano
4%
-18/1
Villarreal / Villarreal
18%
-16/5
Villarreal / Draw
7%
-10/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 8 and won 3. R.Vallecano have conceded 27 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 9 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Villarreal lay in 3rd place on 68 points in the La Liga league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Villarreal have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Villarreal have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3429145888 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
2
Real Madrid3424553977 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
3
Villarreal3421582568 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
-
-
4
A.Madrid3419692163 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
5
Real Betis34131471153 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
6
Celta34121111447 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
7
Getafe3413516-844 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
8
A.Bilbao3413516-1044 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
9
R.Sociedad33111012043 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
10
Osasuna3411914-242 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
May 17
12
Valencia3410915-1339 
d
 
1-1F
May 14
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
13
Espanyol3410915-1439 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Elche3491114-838 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
15
Mallorca3410816-938 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
16
Girona3491114-1538 
May 11
w
 
1-3F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Alaves349916-1336 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
18
Sevilla339717-1534 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 13
w
 
1-2F
19
Levante348917-1733 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Real Oviedo3461018-2828 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
11
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano1 - 0Espanyol
R.Vallecano1 - 0Elche
R.Vallecano1 - 1Levante
R.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
R.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
R.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano2 - 2Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 0Getafe
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Getafe
HR.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Espanyol
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Elche
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
HR.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
Villarreal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Oviedo1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
Girona1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Levante0 - 1Villarreal
Getafe2 - 1Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 0Villarreal
Elche1 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
Espanyol0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal5 - 1Levante
HVillarreal2 - 1Celta
AVillarreal1 - 1Real Oviedo
AVillarreal2 - 1A.Bilbao
AVillarreal0 - 1Girona
HVillarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
AVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
HVillarreal2 - 1Elche
AVillarreal1 - 4Barcelona
HVillarreal2 - 1Valencia
AVillarreal1 - 0Levante
AVillarreal1 - 2Getafe
HVillarreal4 - 1Espanyol
AVillarreal2 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal3 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal3 - 1Elche
HVillarreal0 - 2Barcelona
HVillarreal2 - 0Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Villarreal have not lost to R.Vallecano in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
VAL
3
D
2
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano2 - 1
1 - 5Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
R.Vallecano2 - 1
R.Vallecano2 - 0
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
19
6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
VAL
1
D
1
VIL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Villarreal4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal3 - 0
0 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal2 - 0
Villarreal3 - 1
Villarreal2 - 1
Villarreal4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Rayo Vallecano's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Villarreal have conceded in each of their last 10 La Liga games. A PG of 1.7 for I. Pérez Soto's side suggests that run should continue.

R.Vallecano 11th Villarreal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
R.Vallecano have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
VAL
VIL
42%
better
view stats
Games scored21
29
Failed to score12
5
Scored first12
23
Goals scored33
64
Avg. goals scored1
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
20
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
VAL
VIL
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
26
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first18
11
Goals conceded41
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

R.Vallecano v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3310511
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF3311
6
-
J Frutos FWD32101
3
-
A Batalla GLK31
6
-
A Rațiu DEF313
9
-
Álvaro García FWD3145
3
-
I Palazón FWD3133
10
1
P Chavarría DEF3012
5
1
P Díaz MID301
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID291
3
1
A Espino DEF262
2
-
F Pérez FWD2621
4
-
G Gumbau MID252
4
-
P Ciss MID252
8
2
U López MID253
5
1
A Alemão FWD222
3
-
N Mendy DEF212
8
2
S Camello FWD193
2
1
I Balliu DEF12
2
-
R Nteka MID112
2
-
L Felipe DEF10
1
-
J Vertrouwd DEF9
-
Óscar Trejo MID6
2
-
D Cárdenas GLK3
-
A Mumin DEF1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2811610
L JúniorG MikautadzeN PépéS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moleiro FWD33104
4
-
N Pépé FWD3386
4
-
S Comesaña MID3136
5
1
T Buchanan FWD3171
8
-
R Veiga DEF30
4
1
G Mikautadze FWD29115
1
-
L Júnior GLK281
3
-
S Cardona DEF2814
4
-
D Parejo MID28
3
-
P Gueye MID2742
8
-
S Mouriño DEF2512
9
1
A Pedraza DEF2513
8
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD2522
1
-
T Partey MID22
1
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF21
4
-
A Pérez FWD2123
3
-
R Marín DEF201
1
-
G Moreno FWD199
-
J Foyth DEF13
2
-
I Akhomach FWD9
-
A Tenas GLK6
-
M Solomon FWD611
-
W. Kambwala DEF1
-
A Altimira DEF1
-