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Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Marcelino García Toral will be hoping for a precious away win in the La Liga on Sunday evening, as he takes his Villarreal side to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas to visit Rayo Vallecano and Iñigo Pérez Soto. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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Rayo Vallecano's next match is v Alaves at 20:00 on Saturday 23rd May
Villarreal's next match is v A.Madrid at 20:00 on Sunday 24th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between R.Vallecano and Villarreal was on Sunday 17th May 2026
Spanish La Liga
May 17th 2026
R.Vallecano 2
0 Villarreal
 
S. Camello Pérez 28'
A. Zurawski 47'
 
VAL
VIL
Shots On
7
2
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
1
9
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
R.VallecanoVillarreal
 
J. Chavarría Pérez (L. Espino García 81')
P. Ciss
Ó. Trejo (P. Díaz Fanjul 66')
A. Zurawskifootball icon (C. Martín Domínguez 74')
S. Camello Pérezfootball icon (F. Perez Martinez 73')
A. Batalla Barga
A. Ratiu
F. Lejeune
U. López Cabrera (A. Mumin 82')
Ó. Martín Luengo
J. De Frutos Sebastián
R. Marín Zamora
(L. Costa 77') W. Kambwala
S. Cardona Bermúdez
(T. Partey 64') S. Comesaña Veiga
(D. Parejo Muñoz 72') P. Gueye
(A. González Martínez 46') T. Buchanan
A. Moleiro González
(G. Moreno Balaguero 63') T. Oluwaseyi
A. Pérez Gutiérrez
A. Tenas Ureña
?. Mouriño González

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that R.Vallecano and Villarreal will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
50%
19/201/500
Draw
24%
12/5125/1
Villarreal
25%
27/101/50
Draw 1-1
12%
11/24/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
11%
8/116/5
R.Vallecano 2-1
10%
15/217/2
R.Vallecano 2-0
9%
9/11/4
Villarreal 1-0
7%
12/115/2
Draw 0-0
6%
11/16/1
Villarreal 2-1
6%
12/112/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
5%
14/133/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/155/1
R.Vallecano 3-0
5%
16/15/1
Villarreal 2-0
4%
20/114/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
22/1150/1
Villarreal 3-1
2%
28/133/1
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
28/1100/1
R.Vallecano 4-0
2%
33/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
8/117/1
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/101/16
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/63/4
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/106/4
No 1st Goal
4%
11/16/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
8/1314/1
BTTS - No
46%
6/51/100
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/47/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/345/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2100/1
Home/draw
75%
2/71/50
Away/draw
50%
4/590/1
Home/away
76%
3/101/300
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/91/5
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/310/3
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7/455/1
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/12
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/16/1
Home DNB
67%
4/91/1000
Away DNB
42%
13/8100/1
R.Vallecano win to nil
27%
11/4-
Villarreal win to nil
13%
6/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
26%
21/104/11
R.Vallecano / Villarreal
3%
28/19/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
12/117/5
Draw / R.Vallecano
15%
4/122/1
Draw / Villarreal
10%
7/128/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/122/1
Villarreal / R.Vallecano
4%
20/1150/1
Villarreal / Villarreal
15%
5/190/1
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/1100/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 7 and won 3. R.Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 10 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Villarreal lay in 3rd place on 69 points in the La Liga league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 65 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Villarreal have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Villarreal have played 18 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3731156194 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
2
Real Madrid3726564083 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
3
Villarreal37216102269 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
-
-
4
A.Madrid37216102269 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
5
Real Betis37141581057 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
6
Celta37131212451 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
7
Getafe3714617-748 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
8
R.Vallecano37111412-447 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
9
Valencia37121015-1146 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
10
R.Sociedad37111214-245 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
11
Espanyol3712916-1245 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
12
A.Bilbao3713618-1345 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
13
Alaves37111016-1143 
w
 
1-0F
May 23
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Sevilla3712718-1343 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2F
15
Osasuna3711917-542 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
16
Elche37101215-842 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
17
Levante3711917-1342 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Girona3791315-1640 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
19
Mallorca3710918-1339 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
20
Real Oviedo3761120-3129 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
8
R.Vallecano have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
R.Vallecano 8TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
12
L
2
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Villarreal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Villarreal have not lost to R.Vallecano in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
VAL
3
D
2
VIL
2
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
19
6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
VAL
1
D
1
VIL
6
Goal Statistics

Rayo Vallecano have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

R.Vallecano 8th Villarreal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
R.Vallecano have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
VAL
VIL
37%
better
view stats
Games scored24
31
Failed to score12
5
Scored first15
25
Goals scored37
67
Avg. goals scored1
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
20
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
1%
better
VAL
VIL
view stats
Games conceded25
28
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first18
11
Goals conceded43
43
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

R.Vallecano v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3610410
F LejeuneJ FrutosA RațiuP Ciss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK34
6
-
A Rațiu DEF344
9
-
F Lejeune DEF3621
7
-
P Ciss DEF282
8
2
P Chavarría DEF3312
5
1
Óscar Trejo MID71
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID321
3
1
U López MID284
6
1
J Frutos FWD35101
3
-
A Alemão FWD254
3
-
S Camello FWD214
2
1
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK3
-
Juanpe GLK
-
A Mumin DEF2
-
I Balliu DEF13
2
-
A Espino DEF292
2
-
N Mendy DEF232
8
2
J Vertrouwd DEF9
-
P Díaz MID331
3
-
R Nteka MID122
3
-
G Gumbau MID273
4
-
F Pérez MID2921
4
-
C Martín FWD10
1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2912611
A MoleiroG MikautadzeS ComesañaS Mouriño
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Tenas GLK9
-
S Mouriño DEF2712
10
1
W. Kambwala DEF2
-
R Marín DEF221
1
-
S Cardona DEF3014
4
-
T Buchanan MID3471
8
-
S Comesaña MID3436
5
1
P Gueye MID2942
8
-
A Moleiro MID36105
4
-
A Pérez FWD2433
4
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD2722
1
-
Subs
L Júnior GLK281
3
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF22
4
-
A Pedraza DEF2613
8
-
L Costa DEF1
-
A Freeman DEF9
-
D Parejo MID31
3
-
T Partey MID25
1
-
G Moreno FWD2210
-
G Mikautadze FWD31126
1
-
A González FWD101
-
N Pépé FWD3586
4
-