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Sevilla v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sevilla are in La Liga action on Sunday evening, as Matías Jesús Almeyda looks to get one over on Álvaro Arbeloa Coca and his Real Madrid side at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Sevilla's next match is v Celta at 20:00 on Saturday 23rd May
Real Madrid's next match is v A.Bilbao at 20:00 on Saturday 23rd May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Sevilla and Real Madrid was on Sunday 17th May 2026
Spanish La Liga
May 17th 2026
Sevilla 0
1 Real Madrid
 
15' V. Júnior
 
SEV
RMD
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
4
4
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
18
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
SevillaReal Madrid
 
O. Vlachodimos
José Ángel Carmona (J. Sánchez Velasco 70')
Kike Salas
N. Gudelj (L. Agoume 54')
A. Adams
R. Vargas (C. Ejuke 54')
G. Suazo Urbina
A. López Gallo
J. Martínez Gauna (I. Romero Bernal 78')
D. Sow
N. Maupay (A. Sánchez Sánchez 53')
T. Courtois
D. Carvajal Ramos
(A. Leiva Alemany 87') J. Bellingham
(E. Camavinga 70') A. Tchouaméni
(G. García Torres 77') football iconV. Júnior
K. Mbappé
F. García Torres
A. Rüdiger
D. Huijsen
(F. Mastantuono 70') T. Pitarch Pinar
(T. Alexander-Arnold 77') B. Abdelkader Diaz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Sevilla and Real Madrid 3 goals or less combined during this La Liga fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
27%
5/240/1
Draw
26%
13/511/2
Real Madrid
47%
19/201/9
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
17/21/4
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
15/233/1
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
10/17/1
Sevilla 1-0
8%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
8%
14/19/1
Sevilla 2-1
7%
12/140/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1125/1
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
14/1125/1
Sevilla 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
18/145/1
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
20/1150/1
Sevilla 3-1
2%
25/1150/1
Sevilla 3-2
2%
28/1150/1
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
28/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
8/1318/1
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
13/101/500
Home 1st Goal
44%
5/413/10
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/68/11
No 1st Goal
5%
14/19/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/79/2
BTTS - No
49%
5/41/8
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/133/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/35/1
BTTS - Away Win
21%
5/228/1
Home/draw
53%
4/55/1
Away/draw
73%
2/71/200
Home/away
74%
2/71/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/513/5
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/21/4
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/866/1
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/21/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/21/50
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/51/50
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/141/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/19/1
Home DNB
45%
13/833/1
Away DNB
65%
4/91/500
Sevilla win to nil
15%
6/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
26%
11/4-
Sevilla / Sevilla
16%
9/280/1
Sevilla / Real Madrid
4%
20/1125/1
Sevilla / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Draw / Sevilla
11%
7/125/1
Draw / Real Madrid
15%
9/222/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/120/1
Real Madrid / Sevilla
3%
28/18/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
24%
21/102/5
Real Madrid / Draw
7%
12/110/3
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 7. Sevilla have conceded 30 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sevilla have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 80 points in the La Liga league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 70 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 18 away games, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3731156194 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
5-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
2
Real Madrid3726564083 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
Villarreal37216102269 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid37216102269 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis37141581057 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta37131212451 
l
 
0-1A
May 23
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Getafe3714617-748 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Vallecano37111412-447 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Valencia37121015-1146 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
R.Sociedad37111214-245 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Espanyol3712916-1245 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
A.Bilbao3713618-1345 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
May 23
w
 
0-3F
13
Alaves37111016-1143 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Sevilla3712718-1343 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Osasuna3711917-542 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Elche37101215-842 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
17
Levante3711917-1342 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Girona3791315-1640 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Mallorca3710918-1339 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
20
Real Oviedo3761120-3129 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Sevilla have won 3 consecutive league games
Sevilla 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Sevilla in 4 consecutive league meetings
14
Real Madrid have not lost to Sevilla in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
18
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
SEV
4
D
1
RMD
6
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
33
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
D
1
RMD
11
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Sevilla on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sevilla 14th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Sevilla have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
SEV
RMD
22%
better
view stats
Games scored28
32
Failed to score8
4
Scored first15
25
Goals scored46
72
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.1
2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
SEV
RMD
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
23
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first21
10
Goals conceded58
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%

Sevilla v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3310614
O VlachodimosA AdamsR VargasJ Carmona
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Vlachodimos GLK33
1
-
J Carmona DEF3413
14
-
A Castrín DEF191
4
-
K Salas DEF252
1
-
G Suazo DEF282
6
-
R Vargas MID2336
2
-
D Sow MID3254
6
-
N Gudelj MID332
9
-
J. Martínez Gauna MID2023
1
-
A Adams FWD31104
3
-
N Maupay FWD1121
1
-
Subs
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF161
4
-
T Nianzou DEF12
5
1
F Cardoso DEF4
-
J Jordán MID4
1
1
J Sánchez MID323
5
1
L Agoumé MID3313
11
-
B Mendy MID271
6
-
P Fernández  FWD2521
8
-
C Ejuke FWD2611
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD284
7
-
A Sánchez FWD2742
3
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
322468
V JuniorK MbappéB DíazV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK31
1
-
D Carvajal DEF16
-
A Rüdiger DEF181
-
D. Huijsen DEF2722
6
1
F García DEF1311
1
1
B Díaz MID296
2
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID9
1
-
A Tchouameni MID331
7
-
J Bellingham MID2754
2
-
K Mbappé FWD30245
4
-
V Junior FWD36165
8
-
Subs
J. Navarro Jiménez GLK
-
S Mestre GLK
-
D Alaba DEF10
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF214
4
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF222
4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2722
5
1
E Camavinga MID291
2
-
D. Mesonero Miguel MID
-
G. García Torres FWD2951
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD221
4
1
A. Leiva Alemany FWD1
-