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Sevilla v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sunday morning sees Matías Jesús Almeyda’s Sevilla and Álvaro Arbeloa Coca’s Real Madrid go up against one another in a La Liga battle at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Analysing both clubs' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
27%
--
Draw
26%
--
Real Madrid
47%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
12%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
--
Sevilla 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Sevilla 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
--
Sevilla 2-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
--
Sevilla 3-1
2%
--
Sevilla 3-2
2%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
53%
--
Away/draw
73%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
45%
--
Away DNB
65%
--
Sevilla win to nil
15%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 8. Sevilla have conceded 47 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sevilla have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 77 points in the La Liga league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 68 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 17 away games, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3429145888 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
5-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid3424553977 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
Villarreal3421582568 
l
 
1-2A
May 13
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid3419692163 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis34131471153 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta34121111447 
l
 
0-1A
May 24
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Getafe3413516-844 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
A.Bilbao3413516-1044 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
May 24
w
 
0-3F
9
R.Sociedad34111013-143 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
10
Osasuna3411914-242 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
12
Valencia3410915-1339 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Espanyol3410915-1439 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Elche3491114-838 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
15
Mallorca3410816-938 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
16
Girona3491114-1538 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
17
Sevilla3410717-1437 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 17
18
Alaves349916-1336 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
19
Levante348917-1733 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo3461018-2828 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 14
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Sevilla 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla1 - 0R.Sociedad
Sevilla2 - 1A.Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Valencia
Sevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Girona
Sevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1Celta
Sevilla0 - 3Levante
Sevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
Sevilla0 - 2Real Betis
Sevilla1 - 0Osasuna
Sevilla1 - 3Mallorca
Sevilla4 - 1Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Sevilla2 - 2Elche
Sevilla1 - 2Getafe
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0Las Palmas
Sevilla2 - 2Leganes
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSevilla1 - 0R.Sociedad
ASevilla1 - 2Osasuna
ASevilla0 - 2Levante
HSevilla2 - 1A.Madrid
ASevilla0 - 1Real Oviedo
HSevilla0 - 2Valencia
ASevilla2 - 5Barcelona
HSevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
ASevilla2 - 2Real Betis
ASevilla1 - 0Getafe
HSevilla1 - 1Alaves
HSevilla1 - 1Girona
ASevilla1 - 4Mallorca
HSevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
ASevilla2 - 2Elche
HSevilla0 - 1Celta
HSevilla0 - 3Levante
ASevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
HSevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
ASevilla1 - 1Valencia
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol0 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca2 - 1Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 1Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Sevilla in 4 consecutive league meetings
14
Real Madrid have not lost to Sevilla in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
18
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
SEV
4
D
1
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sevilla
0 - 2Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
Sevilla3 - 0
Sevilla3 - 2
Sevilla2 - 1
Sevilla3 - 2
2 - 3Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
33
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
D
1
RMD
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 2
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Sevilla on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sevilla 17th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Sevilla have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
SEV
RMD
28%
better
view stats
Games scored26
31
Failed to score8
3
Scored first15
24
Goals scored41
70
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.1
2.1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
SEV
RMD
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
22
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first19
9
Goals conceded55
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%

Sevilla v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
308512
O VlachodimosA AdamsR VargasJ Carmona
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Carmona DEF3113
12
-
O Vlachodimos GLK30
1
-
L Agoumé MID3012
10
-
N Gudelj MID302
8
-
J Sánchez MID293
4
1
D Sow MID2952
5
-
A Adams FWD2884
2
-
B Mendy MID271
6
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD264
7
-
G Suazo DEF252
6
-
P Fernández  FWD2521
8
-
A Sánchez FWD2441
2
-
C Ejuke FWD2411
-
K Salas DEF221
1
-
R Vargas FWD2035
1
-
A Castrín DEF16
3
-
C Azpilicueta DEF151
4
-
M Marcão DEF131
4
1
T Nianzou DEF12
5
1
A Januzaj FWD12
1
-
A González FWD101
-
M Bueno MID8
2
-
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
F Cardoso DEF4
-
J Jordán MID4
1
1
R. Martinez Gil DEF2
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302498
F ValverdeK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Junior FWD33155
8
-
F Valverde MID3258
3
1
A Güler MID3249
1
-
A Tchouameni MID301
7
-
T Courtois GLK28
1
-
K Mbappé FWD28244
4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2622
5
1
D. Huijsen DEF2622
6
1
E Camavinga MID261
1
-
B Díaz FWD265
2
-
G. García Torres FWD2641
2
-
J Bellingham MID2444
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF202
3
-
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD191
4
1
T Alexander-Arnold DEF184
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF161
-
Éder Militão DEF1621
2
-
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
D Carvajal DEF14
-
F García DEF1111
1
1
D Alaba DEF9
1
-
A Lunin GLK7
1
1
F Mendy DEF5
-
Endrick FWD1
1