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Alaves v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th May, 01:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Home advantage can be vital in the La Liga, and Eduardo Germán Coudet’s Alaves will have the blessing of it on Sunday morning. Iñigo Pérez Soto’s Rayo Vallecano are their opponents at the Mendizorroza. This preview has odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
47%
--
Draw
26%
--
R.Vallecano
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Alaves 1-0
12%
--
Alaves 2-1
9%
--
Alaves 2-0
9%
--
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Alaves 3-1
4%
--
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
--
Alaves 3-0
4%
--
Alaves 3-2
2%
--
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
--
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
--
Alaves 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
Alaves win to nil
27%
--
R.Vallecano win to nil
15%
--
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 9 and won 8. Alaves have conceded 50 goals, scored 38, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

R.Vallecano lay in 11th place on 42 points in the La Liga league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. R.Vallecano have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

R.Vallecano have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3429145888 
May 13
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3424553977 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
3
Villarreal3421582568 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
May 17
l
 
4-0A
4
A.Madrid35196102063 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
5
Real Betis35131571154 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
6
Celta35131111550 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
R.Sociedad35111113-144 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
8
Getafe3413516-844 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
9
A.Bilbao3413516-1044 
l
 
2-4F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Osasuna3511915-342 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
-
-
12
Sevilla3511717-1340 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
13
Elche3591214-839 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
14
Valencia3410915-1339 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 14
15
Espanyol3510916-1539 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
16
Mallorca3410816-938 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
17
Girona3491114-1538 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
May 11
w
 
1-3F
18
Alaves3591016-1337 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 24
19
Levante359917-1636 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
20
Real Oviedo3461018-2828 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
R.Vallecano 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2019
Alaves
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
ALV
2
VAL
2
League games at R.Vallecano since 2018
R.Vallecano
Alaves
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
ALV
1
VAL
4
Goal Statistics

Alaves have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Rayo Vallecano on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Alaves 18th R.Vallecano 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Alaves will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Alaves’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
R.Vallecano have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.5
1
Attack rating
%
better
ALV
VAL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ALV
VAL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Alaves v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351249
A SiveraT MartínezC AleñáV. Parada González
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK35
3
-
J Castro DEF34
7
-
P Ibáñez MID3411
7
-
C Aleñá MID344
5
-
T Martínez FWD34123
2
-
N Tenaglia DEF332
2
-
A Blanco MID3322
8
-
V. Parada González DEF273
8
1
D Suárez MID2712
5
-
L Boyé FWD27111
2
1
A Rebbach FWD2713
6
-
J Guridi MID25
1
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF241
6
-
A Guevara MID2411
3
1
J Pacheco DEF22
4
1
C Vicente FWD215
1
-
Calebe MID19
2
-
F Garcés DEF10
3
-
C Benavídez MID10
1
1
M Díaz FWD10
1
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3310511
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF3311
6
-
J Frutos FWD32101
3
-
A Batalla GLK31
6
-
A Rațiu DEF313
9
-
Álvaro García FWD3145
3
-
I Palazón FWD3133
10
1
P Chavarría DEF3012
5
1
P Díaz MID301
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID291
3
1
A Espino DEF262
2
-
F Pérez FWD2621
4
-
G Gumbau MID252
4
-
P Ciss MID252
8
2
U López MID253
5
1
A Alemão FWD222
3
-
N Mendy DEF212
8
2
S Camello FWD193
2
1
I Balliu DEF12
2
-
R Nteka MID112
2
-
L Felipe DEF10
1
-
J Vertrouwd DEF9
-
Óscar Trejo MID6
2
-
D Cárdenas GLK3
-
A Mumin DEF1
-