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Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th May, 01:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Ernesto Valverde Tejedor leads his Athletic Bilbao troops to the Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga on Sunday morning, with Álvaro Arbeloa Coca's Real Madrid the opponent. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
62%
--
Draw
20%
--
A.Bilbao
18%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
A.Bilbao 2-1
5%
--
A.Bilbao 1-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
--
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
--
A.Bilbao 2-0
2%
--
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
31%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
38%
--
Home/away
80%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
76%
--
Away DNB
32%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
31%
--
A.Bilbao win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 70 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 17 games at home winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 39 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 9th position in the La Liga on 44 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 3. A.Bilbao have conceded 25 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3429145888 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
2
Real Madrid3424553977 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
May 24
3
Villarreal3421582568 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Madrid35196102063 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
5
Real Betis35131571154 
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
6
Celta35131111550 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
7
R.Sociedad35111113-144 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
8
Getafe3413516-844 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
9
A.Bilbao3413516-1044 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
-
-
10
Osasuna3511915-342 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Sevilla3511717-1340 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
13
Elche3591214-839 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Valencia3410915-1339 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
15
Espanyol3510916-1539 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 13
16
Mallorca3410816-938 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
17
Girona3491114-1538 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
18
Alaves3591016-1337 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4A
19
Levante359917-1636 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
20
Real Oviedo3461018-2828 
May 14
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
A.Bilbao 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
23
6
Games: Scored
10 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
1 / 11
RMD
8
D
3
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
17
Games: Scored
6 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
6 / 12
RMD
8
D
2
ATH
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Real Madrid in their clash with Athletic Bilbao, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 67 consecutive La Liga games.

Real Madrid 2nd A.Bilbao 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
ATH
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
ATH
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Real Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302498
F ValverdeK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Junior FWD33155
8
-
A Güler MID3249
1
-
F Valverde MID3258
3
1
A Tchouameni MID301
7
-
T Courtois GLK28
1
-
K Mbappé FWD28244
4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2622
5
1
D. Huijsen DEF2622
6
1
E Camavinga MID261
1
-
B Díaz FWD265
2
-
G. García Torres FWD2641
2
-
J Bellingham MID2444
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF202
3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD191
4
1
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF184
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF161
-
Éder Militão DEF1621
2
-
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
D Carvajal DEF14
-
F García DEF1111
1
1
D Alaba DEF9
1
-
A Lunin GLK7
1
1
F Mendy DEF5
-
Endrick FWD1
1
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34959
U SimónG GuruzetaY BerchicheI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK34
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID322
5
1
I Galarreta MID3112
9
-
G Guruzeta FWD3193
5
1
Y Berchiche DEF305
4
-
D Vivian DEF281
8
1
Álex Berenguer FWD2823
4
-
R Navarro FWD2861
1
-
O Sancet MID274
4
1
I Williams FWD2624
2
-
J Areso DEF251
3
-
A. Rego Mora MID2511
5
-
N Williams FWD2463
3
-
A Laporte DEF221
2
-
U Gómez MID2211
1
1
M Vesga MID21
-
A Gorosabel DEF201
3
-
A Paredes DEF182
4
-
N Serrano  FWD141
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF12
2
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD11
2
-
I Lekue DEF10
2
1
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD91
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF3
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1