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Arouca v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 20:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

the Estadio Municipal de Arouca is the stage on Saturday night, as Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca host Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's Vitoria Guimaraes in the Liga NOS. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
35%
--
Draw
26%
--
V. Guimaraes
39%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
--
Arouca 1-0
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
--
Arouca 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
--
Arouca 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
--
Arouca 3-1
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
--
Arouca 3-0
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Arouca 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
65%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
57%
--
Arouca win to nil
19%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
21%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 38 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 9th place on 25 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica1812602742 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
5
Braga188641430 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Moreirense19937030 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
Jan 30
l
 
2-0A
7
Famalicao18756726 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
8
Estoril19757626 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
9
V. Guimaraes19748-725 
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
-
-
10
Alverca18729-923 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
d
 
3-3F
Jan 31
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional18459-617 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 17
14
Santa Clara194510-717 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
15
Arouca194510-2417 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 7
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela183312-1812 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS190514-335 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
V. Guimaraes have not lost to Arouca in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
ARO
2
D
3
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 2Arouca
1 - 3Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

Arouca 16th V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
V. Guimaraes have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
12%
better
ARO
GUI
view stats
Games scored11
10
Failed to score7
8
Scored first8
6
Goals scored19
18
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
ARO
GUI
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded42
23
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against23%
14%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Arouca v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18638
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD1963
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD1951
2
-
T Fukui MID1822
2
1
M Puche FWD181
3
-
T Esgaio DEF171
8
-
H. Lee MID1722
3
-
Barbero FWD1721
2
-
J Fontán DEF1611
5
3
B Popovic DEF131
2
-
A Dante DEF13
-
P Gozálbez MID13
1
-
E. van Ee MID1211
3
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
D Nandin FWD12
1
1
B Mansilla FWD121
1
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
1
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18326
R AbascalN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF1812
3
-
Maga DEF17
4
-
A Ndoye FWD172
2
-
J Mendes DEF16
6
-
T Arcanjo FWD161
1
2
N Oliveira FWD163
3
1
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID152
2
-
Beni MID151
5
-
O. Camara FWD1531
1
-
Samu MID1421
-
F Blanco FWD12
3
1
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
G Nogueira MID112
2
-
O Lebedenko DEF9
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF91
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID91
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD811
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
T Strata DEF71
1
-
Charles GLK4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-