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Vitoria Guimaraes v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques is the setting on Friday night, as Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's Vitoria Guimaraes are visited by Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa's Moreirense in the Liga NOS. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will update as you click through each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 18:00 on Saturday 14th February
Moreirense 's next match is v Rio Ave at 20:15 on Monday 16th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Moreirense was on Friday 30th January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 30th 2026
V. Guimaraes 1
0 Moreirense
 
F. Amorim Silva 66'
 
GUI
MOR
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
5
5
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
19
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
6/0
 
V. GuimaraesMoreirense
 
M. Nóbrega
João Mendes
B. Mambuene Mukendi
N. Castro Oliveira (A. Ndoye 63')
G. da Silva Cunha (Fabio Gomez 69')
O. Camara (F. Amorim Silva 46')
C. da Silva
R. Abascal Barros
T. Strata
D. Lobão Sousa (M. Mitrovic 80')
N. Jose Saviolo
D. Martins Travassos
A. Ribeiro Ferreira
(Y. Farias de Sousa 80') ?. Martínez Navarro
M. Stjepanovic
A. de Souza Guimarães
L. Silva Semedo
(John 73') R. Alonso Martín
G. Dambi Batista
(L. Sousa Santos 80') D. Casals Namura Borges Pinto
A. Cunha Almeida
(F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 58') L. Costa Araujo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither V. Guimaraes or Moreirense are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
43%
10/111/1000
Draw
26%
11/533/1
Moreirense
31%
31/10750/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/113/2
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
11/22/7
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
8/125/1
Moreirense 1-0
8%
9/119/4
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
8/15/1
Moreirense 2-1
7%
12/155/1
Draw 0-0
7%
7/113/10
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1125/1
Moreirense 2-0
5%
18/118/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
16/190/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
4%
16/133/1
Moreirense 3-1
3%
33/1200/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
33/1150/1
Moreirense 3-2
2%
40/1200/1
Moreirense 3-0
2%
40/160/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
6/540/1
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
13/201/1000
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/1129/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/413/5
No 1st Goal
5%
7/113/10
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/2011/1
BTTS - No
46%
4/51/40
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/422/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/213/2
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/245/1
Home/draw
69%
2/91/300
Away/draw
57%
4/511/1
Home/away
74%
4/111/50
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/115/1
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
2/11/10
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3/1100/1
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/141/50
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/1211/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/113/10
Home DNB
61%
2/51/1000
Away DNB
49%
7/440/1
V. Guimaraes win to nil
23%
9/4-
Moreirense win to nil
16%
11/2-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
26%
9/410/1
V. Guimaraes / Moreirense
3%
33/145/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
17%
4/19/5
Draw / Moreirense
10%
7/110/3
Draw / Draw
17%
15/48/5
Moreirense / V. Guimaraes
3%
25/133/1
Moreirense / Moreirense
12%
11/214/1
Moreirense / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 22 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 6th place on 30 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2114703249 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
4
Braga2111642639 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao21957732 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
7
Estoril21867830 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
Apr 19
d
 
3-3F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Alverca217311-1524 
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
12
Arouca216510-2023 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional215610-321 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 16
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 10
18
AVS210516-395 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
May 17
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Moreirense 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
V. Guimaraes have beaten Moreirense in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
V. Guimaraes have not lost to Moreirense in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
GUI
8
D
1
League games at Moreirense since 2016
Moreirense
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
GUI
4
D
3
MOR
3
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.5 against Moreirense on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Moreirense makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 9th Moreirense 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
V. Guimaraes have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Moreirense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
GUI
MOR
28%
better
view stats
Games scored11
15
Failed to score8
4
Scored first7
11
Goals scored20
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
GUI
MOR
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first10
7
Goals conceded27
26
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

V. Guimaraes v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20426
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Charles GLK6
-
T Strata DEF91
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF111
-
R Abascal DEF2012
4
-
J Mendes DEF18
6
-
Beni MID171
6
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID111
2
-
O. Camara MID1741
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha MID1011
1
-
N. Jose Saviolo MID1722
1
-
N Oliveira FWD183
3
1
Subs
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF10
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-
Maga DEF17
5
-
M. Mitrovic MID172
2
-
T Arcanjo MID171
1
2
Samu MID1632
2
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
A Ndoye FWD182
2
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20467
D PintoD. Martins TravassosD PintoD Pinto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ferreira GLK12
1
-
D Pinto DEF2016
7
-
G Batista DEF16
2
-
M Stjepanovic DEF20
5
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF12
1
1
R Alonso MID1412
1
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID111
3
-
Alanzinho MID2025
5
-
D. Martins Travassos FWD1741
1
-
L Semedo FWD1211
-
L. Costa Araujo FWD172
2
-
Subs
Mika GLK
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1611
3
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF1
-
N John MID2
1
-
J. Gower MID3
-
K Bondoso FWD182
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD1311
4
-
C Teguia FWD13
1
-