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Sporting Lisbon v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Piero Braglia welcomes Vasco Seabra to the Estádio José Alvalade on Saturday night, as their Sporting Lisbon and Arouca sides go head to head in the Liga NOS. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

As training goes on this week and the S. Lisbon players ready themselves for this match, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estádio José Alvalade hasn't been a successful away day for Arouca in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
S. Lisbon avoiding defeat in this match (i.e. either winning or drawing) is the most likely outcome, according to our predictive algorithm. We give a home win or draw a 88% probability.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert double chance tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
70%
1.25
7%
1.25
7%
Draw
18%
5.50
27%
6.00
20%
Arouca
12%
12.00
20%
11.00
35%
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
8.00
20%
7.00
13%
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
9.50
14%
8.00
11%
S. Lisbon 3-0
9%
7.50
7%
7.00
Draw 1-1
9%
11.00
27%
10.00
17%
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
11.009.50
S. Lisbon 4-0
5%
12.00
26%
10.00
18%
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00
29%
13.00
24%
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Arouca 1-0
4%
26.00
24%
19.00
27%
Draw 2-2
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
10%
Arouca 2-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
21%
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
21.00
40%
17.00
31%
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
29.00
26%
23.00
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.57
12%
1.55
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.35
18%
2.30
18%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.18
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
5.00-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.002.05
2%
BTTS - No
51%
1.751.70
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.00
15%
2.90
11%
BTTS - Draw
13%
7.00
22%
7.50
12%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
19.00
10%
15.00
29%
Home/draw
88%
1.05
2%
1.05
3%
Away/draw
30%
3.75
25%
3.75
25%
Home/away
82%
1.14
4%
1.12
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.17
5%
1.18
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.00
23%
4.50
22%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.38
25%
2.38
22%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.53
15%
1.53
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.00
23%
4.00
29%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.22
8%
1.22
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8.00
33%
7.50
43%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.08
4%
1.07
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.02
1%
1.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.00
19%
13.00
24%
Home DNB
83%
1.06
2%
1.06
4%
Away DNB
25%
10.00
23%
8.00
33%
S. Lisbon win to nil
40%
2.00
9%
-
Arouca win to nil
6%
19.00
17%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
45%
1.80
15%
1.75
11%
S. Lisbon / Arouca
2%
51.0046.00
10%
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
19.00
17%
19.00
10%
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
3.75
6%
3.90
3%
Draw / Arouca
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
26%
Draw / Draw
10%
8.50
23%
8.00
16%
Arouca / S. Lisbon
4%
19.00
12%
17.00
11%
Arouca / Arouca
5%
19.00
27%
13.00
38%
Arouca / Draw
4%
21.00
19%
19.00
17%
Double chance Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Home2116324151 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
2
Benfica2115243147 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
3
Porto2113442743 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2113441843 
Apr 6
w
 
2-4A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
5
Santa Clara211227338 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
6
Casa Pia21966233 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
May 4
l
 
3-1A
7
V. Guimaraes21795530 
May 17
d
 
4-4F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
8
Estoril21867-630 
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
9
Famalicao215106-225 
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
10
Rio Ave21678-1225 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
11
Moreirense216510-623 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
12
Arouca Away216510-1323 
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
-
-
13
Gil Vicente21579-922 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 11
14
Nacional216411-922 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
AVS21399-1518 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
16
Estrela Amadora214512-1617 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
17
Sporting Farense213612-1715 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista212613-2212 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Double chance form
8
S. Lisbon have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
64
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
L
1
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Double chance head to head (H2H)
5
S. Lisbon have not lost to Arouca in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Arouca
Goals: Scored
13
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
SCL
4
D
1
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
SCL
5
ARO
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their clash with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 30 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 1st Arouca 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
S. Lisbon have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Arouca have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
3.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285246/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/DC
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
SCL
ARO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
SCL
ARO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

S. Lisbon v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
212295
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Reis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Quenda FWD2113
1
-
F Trincão FWD2179
-
O Diomande DEF201
1
1
V Gyökeres FWD20223
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1921
3
-
G Catamo  FWD1932
2
-
M Reis DEF182
4
1
Z Debast DEF181
1
-
M Vilches MID1711
5
-
H Morita MID1723
1
-
D Bragança  MID1734
3
-
G Inácio DEF1612
3
-
C Harder FWD1643
-
F Israel GLK11
1
-
E Quaresma DEF10
-
I Fresneda DEF92
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID81
-
P Gonçalves FWD844
2
-
J Juste DEF7
1
-
N Santos MID7
-
R Silva GLK4
1
-
R Esgaio DEF3
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21516
N MantlJasonT EsgaioB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK21
4
-
T Esgaio DEF2111
2
-
M Sylla FWD211
3
-
A Trezza FWD2121
3
-
Jason FWD2051
4
-
P Santos MID19
3
-
B Pinto MID191
6
-
T Fukui MID181
2
-
J Fontán DEF171
6
-
C Lamba DEF1511
3
-
Weverson DEF141
4
-
P Gozálbez MID141
1
-
H Araújo FWD143
1
-
M Loum MID13
3
-
M Puche FWD12
-
G Yalcin FWD1231
2
1
B Popovic DEF10
1
A Dante DEF10
1
-
A Pinto DEF4
-
M Rocha DEF4
1
1
D Nandin FWD4
1
-
N Galovic DEF1
-