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Benfica v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica are in Liga NOS action on Sunday night, as José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho looks to get one over on Custódio André Gune and his Alverca side at the Estádio da Luz. This preview has odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
60%
--
Draw
21%
--
Alverca
19%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Benfica 1-0
10%
--
Benfica 2-0
10%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
--
Benfica 3-0
6%
--
Alverca 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Alverca 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Benfica 4-1
3%
--
Benfica 4-0
3%
--
Alverca 2-0
3%
--
Alverca 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
81%
--
Away/draw
40%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
75%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Benfica win to nil
31%
--
Alverca win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 16 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 16 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Alverca are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica1812602742 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
5
Braga188641430 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
6
Moreirense19937030 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
7
Famalicao18756726 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
May 17
8
Estoril19757626 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
May 10
l
 
4-1A
9
V. Guimaraes19748-725 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
10
Alverca18729-923 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
-
-
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
Jan 31
d
 
2-2F
13
Nacional18459-617 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
14
Santa Clara194510-717 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
15
Arouca194510-2417 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela183312-1812 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
18
AVS190514-335 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Alverca 12TH
8 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
6 / 8
Conceded
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
Failed to score
2 / 8
Won
2
D
1
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 18
Conceded
13 / 18
Clean sheets
5 / 18
Failed to score
5 / 18
Won
7
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

Benfica 3rd Alverca 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
2
1
Attack rating
%
better
BEF
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BEF
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171746
S DahlV PavlidisV PavlidisR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF181
2
-
F Aursnes MID1833
-
V Pavlidis FWD18174
2
-
N Otamendi DEF172
5
-
L Barreiro MID1713
1
-
A Trubin GLK16
-
R Ríos MID16
6
-
A Dedic DEF1513
2
1
H Sudakov MID1542
2
-
E Barrenechea MID15
5
-
F Ivanovic FWD153
1
-
T Araújo DEF141
1
-
G Prestianni FWD1421
3
1
A Schjelderup FWD1212
1
-
A Silva DEF11
2
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
Manu MID5
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18525
A FilhoM MilovanovicZoubdiK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF1812
4
-
A Filho MID182
3
-
A Gomes GLK17
3
-
K Naves DEF17
4
1
D. Gui MID1711
3
-
M Milovanovic FWD175
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD171
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF16
3
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF16
3
-
Lincoln MID1522
4
-
S Abdulai MID151
4
1
S Gómez DEF14
1
-
L Figueiredo FWD1111
2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF8
1
-
I. James DEF71
1
-
S Baseya DEF5
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
Chiquinho FWD51
2
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
M Mendes GLK1
-
S Lima FWD1
-