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CD Nacional v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional side will have home backing in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira's Casa Pia arrive at the Estadio da Madeira. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
43%
--
Draw
23%
--
Casa Pia
34%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
8%
--
Nacional 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
6%
--
Nacional 2-0
6%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
--
Nacional 3-0
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
64%
--
BTTS - No
36%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
66%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
Nacional win to nil
18%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Nacional have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 8 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 34 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Feb 2
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica1812602742 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
5
Braga188641430 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
6
Moreirense19937030 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
7
Famalicao18756726 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
8
Estoril19757626 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
9
V. Guimaraes19748-725 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
10
Alverca18729-923 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
3-1A
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
13
Nacional18459-617 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
14
Santa Clara194510-717 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
15
Arouca194510-2417 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Tondela183312-1812 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS190514-335 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 13th Casa Pia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Nacional have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Nacional v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181246
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID184
4
-
Chuchu FWD1812
4
-
P Bóia FWD1822
4
-
L Santos DEF1721
6
-
M Dias MID17
3
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1613
1
-
Z Vitor DEF164
3
1
C. Abidi MID1611
3
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
Witi FWD15
2
-
K Azarias GLK12
2
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
L João FWD111
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
J Silva MID8
-
M Baeza MID7
-
L França GLK6
1
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
A Sousa MID61
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
A Duarte DEF5
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
D Jr MID3
1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19358
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Larrazabal DEF1923
3
-
Cassiano FWD192
4
-
J Livolant FWD1935
2
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
A Geraldes DEF17
4
-
S Pérez MID17
4
-
J Fonte DEF161
3
-
P Sequeira GLK14
2
1
D Sousa  DEF142
8
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD12
2
-
T Morais FWD12
1
-
R Brito MID111
2
-
A Conté DEF101
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
J Goulart DEF10
3
-
I Mohamed MID91
3
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
O Osundina FWD72
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
K. Prieto Machado MID6
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
D. Bandeira DEF2
-
Claudio FWD21
1