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Estoril v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 18:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Ian Cathro’s Estoril will have the joy of it on Saturday evening. Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira’s Tondela are their opponents at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our expansive database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
58%
--
Draw
22%
--
Tondela
20%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Estoril 2-1
10%
--
Estoril 1-0
9%
--
Estoril 2-0
9%
--
Estoril 3-1
7%
--
Estoril 3-0
6%
--
Tondela 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Tondela 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Estoril 3-2
3%
--
Estoril 4-1
3%
--
Estoril 4-0
3%
--
Tondela 2-0
3%
--
Tondela 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
Estoril win to nil
29%
--
Tondela win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Estoril have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Estoril have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 14 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 12 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Tondela have conceded 28 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Tondela
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
3
Benfica1812602742 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
5
Braga188641430 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
Moreirense19937030 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
May 10
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao18756726 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
8
Estoril19757626 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
9
V. Guimaraes19748-725 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
10
Alverca18729-923 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
13
Nacional18459-617 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
14
Santa Clara194510-717 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 31
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
15
Arouca194510-2417 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
w
 
3-1A
May 17
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 3
17
Tondela183312-1812 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
-
-
18
AVS190514-335 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HEstoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense1 - 0Tondela
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Gil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AVS2 - 2Tondela
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Gil Vicente3 - 0Tondela
P. Ferreira1 - 1Tondela
Moreirense2 - 0Tondela
Maratimo1 - 3Tondela
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Famalicao2 - 1Tondela
Estoril1 - 0Tondela
Portimonense1 - 2Tondela
Santa Clara2 - 2Tondela
Boavista1 - 1Tondela
V. Guimaraes5 - 2Tondela
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
HTondela2 - 2Boavista
ATondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Estoril have beaten Tondela in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Estoril have not lost to Tondela in 9 consecutive league meetings
3
Estoril have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Tondela
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Tondela
Goals: Scored
8
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
EST
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril1 - 0
Estoril3 - 0
Estoril2 - 0
Estoril2 - 1
League games at Tondela since 2015
Tondela
Estoril
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
EST
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Estoril
2 - 3Estoril
0 - 2Estoril
0 - 1Estoril
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Estoril in their clash with Tondela, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 41 consecutive Liga NOS games.

Estoril 9th Tondela 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+36
Estoril have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted
-18
Tondela have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Tondela
2
1.1
Attack rating
49%
better
EST
CDT
view stats
Games scored13
7
Failed to score5
11
Scored first9
5
Goals scored33
12
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
13
Conversion rate for20
8
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
11%
better
EST
CDT
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded29
30
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

Estoril v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191375
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK19
1
-
F Bacher DEF19
2
-
J Carvalho MID1957
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD19131
1
-
K Boma DEF181
4
-
J Holsgrove MID1815
5
-
R Guitane FWD1625
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF152
4
-
P Amaral DEF152
2
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
Ferro DEF14
1
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
A Marqués FWD133
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1222
5
-
Pizzi MID121
-
A Tsoungui DEF10
3
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
J Orellana MID91
2
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
G Costa DEF5
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
Xeka  MID1
-
Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18328
B FontesP HenryqueE MaviramB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK18
1
-
P Henryque FWD1831
4
-
J. Rodríguez López MID17
3
-
C Marques DEF16
2
-
E Maviram DEF1622
3
-
T. Silva Manso DEF161
5
-
B Medina DEF15
6
2
S Sithole MID141
3
-
Jordan FWD141
3
-
H. Sequeira MID13
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD132
1
-
Bebeto DEF12
4
-
J Hodge MID11
1
-
H Tavares MID11
1
1
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
C. Alves Santana MID9
3
-
J. Rodriguez FWD91
1
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD8
-
J Afonso DEF7
2
-
R Lopes FWD712
1
-
A Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-