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Derby County v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

John Eustace welcomes Chris Davies to the Pride Park Stadium on Saturday lunch time, as their Derby County and Birmingham City sides go head to head in the Championship. Championship statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
48%
--
Draw
26%
--
Birmingham
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 1-0
12%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Derby 2-0
9%
--
Birmingham 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Birmingham 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-1
5%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Birmingham 2-0
4%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Birmingham 3-1
2%
--
Derby 4-1
2%
--
Birmingham 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
Derby win to nil
27%
--
Birmingham win to nil
15%
--
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 19 games at home winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Birmingham are in 12th position in the Championship on 49 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Birmingham have conceded 31 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
2
M'Boro3519971966 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
3
Millwall361989965 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-0A
4
Ipswich35181072664 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
5
Hull3618612560 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
6
Wrexham3515128957 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
7
Derby3615912754 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
8
Southampton351411101153 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
Watford35131210451 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
10
Bristol C3614814250 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
Mar 14
l
 
3-0A
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
-
-
13
Swansea3614715-149 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Preston36121311-149 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
15
Stoke3613815347 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
QPR3513814-847 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Mar 11
l
 
2-1A
17
Norwich3513616345 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
w
 
4-0F
May 2
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
21
West Brom369918-1836 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
22
Leicester36101115-935 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
Birmingham 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlton1 - 0Birmingham
Millwall3 - 0Birmingham
Norwich1 - 2Birmingham
Oxford Utd0 - 2Birmingham
Sheff Wed0 - 2Birmingham
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Sheff Utd3 - 0Birmingham
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Coventry3 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 0Birmingham
Blackburn1 - 2Birmingham
Cambridge1 - 2Birmingham
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABirmingham0 - 1Charlton
HBirmingham1 - 3M'Boro
ABirmingham0 - 3Millwall
ABirmingham2 - 1Norwich
HBirmingham0 - 0West Brom
HBirmingham2 - 1Leicester
ABirmingham2 - 0Oxford Utd
HBirmingham1 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham2 - 0Sheff Wed
ABirmingham1 - 1Swansea
HBirmingham3 - 2Coventry
ABirmingham0 - 3Watford
HBirmingham1 - 1Southampton
HBirmingham1 - 1Derby
ABirmingham0 - 3Sheff Utd
HBirmingham1 - 1Charlton
ABirmingham1 - 2QPR
ABirmingham1 - 3Southampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
26
24
Games: Scored
15 / 17
16 / 17
Clean sheets
1 / 17
2 / 17
DER
6
D
7
BIR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Birmingham
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
0 - 1Birmingham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
League games at Birmingham since 1993
Birmingham
Derby
Goals: Scored
24
32
Games: Scored
15 / 18
14 / 18
Clean sheets
4 / 18
3 / 18
DER
6
D
7
BIR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Birmingham2 - 0
0 - 4Derby
1 - 3Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Derby
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Derby
Draw3 - 3Draw
Birmingham3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
1 - 4Derby
Birmingham3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 7th Birmingham 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Birmingham have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
19%
better
DER
BIR
view stats
Games scored32
27
Failed to score3
8
Scored first18
17
Goals scored52
46
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
3%
better
DER
BIR
view stats
Games conceded27
27
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first17
17
Goals conceded46
46
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%

Derby v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351079
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF3532
6
1
B Clark MID3532
5
-
P. Agyemang FWD32103
4
-
B Díaz FWD3153
5
-
D Sanderson DEF301
6
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
C Elder DEF2815
8
-
J Ward MID2817
2
1
R Brewster FWD2662
1
-
A Weimann  MID2513
1
-
L Salvesen FWD2532
3
-
D Ozoh MID231
6
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
C Morris FWD2110
4
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
L Travis MID171
8
1
L Thompson MID171
4
-
C Forsyth DEF131
2
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
J Vickers GLK6
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34968
T IwataJ StansfieldJ StansfieldT Iwata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Iwata MID3521
8
-
J Stansfield FWD3496
8
-
C Klarer DEF332
7
1
S Paik MID334
6
-
T Doyle MID323
1
1
P Roberts FWD3135
2
-
D Gray FWD2854
2
-
M Ducksch FWD2792
1
-
P Neumann DEF262
4
-
K Furuhashi FWD261
1
-
J Beadle GLK25
3
-
L. Koumas FWD231
1
-
L Dykes FWD212
1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF201
5
-
A Cochrane DEF1914
3
-
K Anderson  FWD191
2
-
M Leonard MID15
1
-
R Allsop GLK11
2
-
E Laird DEF111
1
-
J Robinson DEF1111
2
2
E Cashin DEF11
-
W Willumsson MID10
-
A Sampsted DEF6
-
K Fujimoto MID3
-
S Wright FWD3
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
QPR v M'Boro
Sun 8th Mar, 16:30
Portsmouth v Swansea
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Leicester v Bristol C
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Millwall v Derby
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Watford
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Wrexham v Hull
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Stoke v Ipswich
Tue 10th Mar, 20:00
M'Boro v Charlton
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
West Brom v Southampton
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Blackburn
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Birmingham v QPR
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Norwich v Sheff Utd
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Coventry v Preston
Wed 11th Mar, 20:00
Wrexham v Swansea
Fri 13th Mar, 20:00
Coventry v Southampton
Sat 14th Mar, 12:30
M'Boro v Bristol C
Sat 14th Mar, 12:30
Oxford Utd v Charlton
Sat 14th Mar, 12:30
West Brom v Hull
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Stoke v Watford
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Millwall v Blackburn
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Leicester v QPR
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Birmingham v Sheff Utd
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Norwich v Preston
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Ipswich
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Portsmouth v Derby
Mon 16th Mar, 20:00
Watford v Wrexham
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Southampton v Norwich
Wed 18th Mar, 19:45
Preston v Stoke
Fri 20th Mar, 20:00
Ipswich v Millwall
Sat 21st Mar, 12:30
Derby v Birmingham
Sat 21st Mar, 12:30
Blackburn v M'Boro
Sat 21st Mar, 12:30
Hull v Sheff Wed
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Bristol C v West Brom
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Wrexham
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Southampton v Oxford Utd
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Watford v Leicester
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Charlton v Norwich
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
QPR v Portsmouth
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Swansea v Coventry
Sat 21st Mar, 17:15