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Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho welcomes Luís Miguel Correia Pinto to the Estádio da Luz on Saturday evening, as their Benfica and Vitoria Guimaraes teams go head to head in the Liga NOS. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
64%
--
Draw
21%
--
V. Guimaraes
15%
--
Benfica 2-0
11%
--
Benfica 1-0
11%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Benfica 3-0
8%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
4%
--
Benfica 4-0
4%
--
Benfica 4-1
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
2%
--
Benfica 5-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
36%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
79%
--
Away DNB
29%
--
Benfica win to nil
37%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
8%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 22 games against teams below them in the league and kept 11 clean sheets out of 22 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 12 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 32 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. V. Guimaraes have conceded 25 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica2417703758 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Mar 21
4
Braga2513752746 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
6
Famalicao251168939 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Estoril25979434 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
-
-
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
11
Arouca257513-2126 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 14
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nacional255713-822 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 17
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
17
Tondela244713-1919 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica3 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
26
3
Games: Scored
9 / 10
2 / 10
Clean sheets
8 / 10
1 / 10
BEF
9
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica5 - 1
Benfica3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 2
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica5 - 0
Benfica1 - 0
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
22
Games: Scored
4 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
7 / 11
BEF
9
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Benfica 3rd V. Guimaraes 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Benfica have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-12
V. Guimaraes have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
2
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
BEF
GUI
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BEF
GUI
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
232146
V PavlidisV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD24214
2
-
S Dahl DEF2311
2
-
N Otamendi DEF232
6
-
A Trubin GLK22
-
F Aursnes MID2233
1
-
L Barreiro MID2213
1
-
E Barrenechea MID201
6
-
H Sudakov MID1942
2
-
G Prestianni FWD1921
5
1
R Ríos MID181
6
-
A Schjelderup FWD1832
2
-
A Silva DEF171
3
-
T Araújo DEF1711
3
-
A Dedic DEF1613
2
1
F Ivanovic FWD153
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
D Lukébakio FWD83
1
-
Manu MID6
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
A Bah DEF21
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22426
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF2212
4
-
J Mendes DEF211
6
-
Beni MID201
6
-
A Ndoye FWD2021
2
-
T Arcanjo FWD201
1
2
O. Camara FWD2041
1
-
N Oliveira FWD203
3
1
Samu MID1942
3
-
Maga DEF18
5
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID1411
3
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
G Nogueira MID132
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1321
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF12
1
-
T Strata DEF121
1
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
Charles GLK9
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF41
1
-