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FC Porto v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 15th Dec, 20:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu pays counterpart Francesco Farioli a visit on Monday night in the Liga NOS, as their Estrela Amadora and FC Porto teams face each other at the Estádio do Dragão. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
67%
--
Draw
22%
--
Estrela Amadora
11%
--
Porto 1-0
17%
--
Porto 2-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Porto 3-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
5%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Porto 4-0
4%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
3%
--
Draw 2-2
2%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
2%
--
Porto 3-2
1%
--
Porto 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Home 1st Goal
61%
--
Away 1st Goal
32%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
36%
--
BTTS - No
64%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
12%
--
BTTS - Away Win
4%
--
Home/draw
89%
--
Away/draw
33%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
82%
--
Away DNB
26%
--
Porto win to nil
47%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
7%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 9 clean sheets out of 12 games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 25 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 11 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 9 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 8 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 15 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1211102234 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 15
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica138501829 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
4
Gil Vicente127231023 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Famalicao12552620 
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
May 9
Dec 27
6
Braga125431219 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
Jan 3
May 16
7
Moreirense12615119 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
Dec 20
May 2
8
V. Guimaraes12525-317 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
9
Alverca12426-514 
May 2
Dec 22
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
10
Estoril12345113 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
11
Rio Ave12273-513 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
12
Santa Clara12336-412 
May 16
Jan 4
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
13
Nacional12336-512 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
14
Estrela Amadora12255-511 
Dec 15
Apr 25
-
-
15
Casa Pia12237-139 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
16
Tondela12237-139 
Apr 18
Dec 7
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
17
Arouca12237-219 
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
Dec 7
Apr 18
18
AVS12039-213 
Dec 27
May 9
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
9
Porto have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
Estrela Amadora 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday night, not least because Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.8 for F. Farioli's side suggests that run should continue.

Porto 1st Estrela Amadora 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
There is a 83% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Estrela Amadora will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-36
Estrela Amadora have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.8
0.6
Attack rating
49%
better
PTO
view stats
Games scored11
6
Failed to score1
6
Scored first10
2
Goals scored25
13
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
70%
better
PTO
view stats
Games conceded3
9
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first1
8
Goals conceded3
18
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded24
6
Conversion rate against4%
16%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+70%

Porto v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12654
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK12
1
-
J Bednarek DEF12
4
-
V. Froholdt MID1223
1
-
B Sainz FWD1232
4
-
G Veiga MID1114
2
-
A Varela MID11
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1161
2
-
A Baio DEF105
1
-
F Moura DEF1011
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID101
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD93
2
-
Pepê FWD922
1
-
J Kiwior DEF81
-
Zaidu  DEF811
-
P Rosario MID81
4
-
D Gül FWD82
1
-
S Eustaquio MID6
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF5
2
1
D. Prpić DEF5
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12523
R RibeiroS CabralS CabralA Chernev
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK12
1
-
L Patrick DEF12
2
-
S Cabral DEF1252
2
-
A Chernev DEF12
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID112
2
1
Kikas FWD1131
-
A Marcus FWD112
-
I Stoica FWD112
1
-
B Schappo DEF10
3
-
R Pinho FWD101
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID9
2
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD91
-
J Encada DEF8
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF8
1
-
J Cabral FWD7
2
-
J. Gastão FWD71
2
-
O Ngom MID61
2
1
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID3
1
-
L Antonetti FWD3
-
I Dramé DEF1
-