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Stoke City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Watford, led by manager Javier Gracia Carlos, visit Mark Robins and his Stoke City side at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
37%
--
Draw
27%
--
Watford
36%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Stoke 1-0
11%
--
Watford 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Stoke 2-1
8%
--
Watford 2-1
8%
--
Stoke 2-0
7%
--
Watford 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Stoke 3-1
3%
--
Watford 3-1
3%
--
Stoke 3-0
3%
--
Watford 3-0
3%
--
Stoke 3-2
2%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Stoke win to nil
21%
--
Watford win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Stoke have conceded 23 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 17 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 9th place on 51 points in the Championship league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3521863471 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 2
l
 
3-1A
2
M'Boro3418971763 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
3
Millwall351889762 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Ipswich3317972560 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
5
Hull3418610860 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Wrexham3515128957 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
Mar 17
d
 
2-2A
7
Southampton351411101153 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
Derby3514912651 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
9
Watford35131210451 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
Bristol C3514813450 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Birmingham34131011249 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Preston35121310149 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
13
Sheff Utd3515317248 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
14
Stoke3513814547 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
15
QPR3513814-847 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
16
Swansea3513715-346 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
17
Norwich3513616345 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Charlton35101114-1141 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
19
Portsmouth3410915-1039 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
20
Blackburn3510817-1338 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
21
West Brom359818-1835 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
22
Leicester35101015-934 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
23
Oxford Utd3571117-1632 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
24
Sheff Wed351826-50-7 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
Stoke2 - 2Leicester
Stoke0 - 2Southampton
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke0 - 0QPR
Stoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
HStoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
HStoke2 - 2Leicester
AStoke0 - 1Charlton
AStoke0 - 0West Brom
HStoke0 - 2Southampton
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
Watford 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C1 - 2Watford
Preston2 - 2Watford
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Hull0 - 0Watford
Blackburn1 - 1Watford
Norwich0 - 1Watford
Leicester1 - 2Watford
Wrexham2 - 2Watford
Birmingham2 - 1Watford
Derby2 - 3Watford
Ipswich1 - 1Watford
Coventry3 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Portsmouth2 - 2Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Charlton1 - 0Watford
Blackburn2 - 1Watford
Portsmouth1 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford2 - 1Bristol C
HWatford0 - 2Ipswich
HWatford2 - 0Derby
AWatford2 - 2Preston
AWatford0 - 1Southampton
AWatford0 - 0Hull
HWatford0 - 2Swansea
AWatford1 - 1Blackburn
HWatford1 - 1Portsmouth
HWatford0 - 2Millwall
HWatford3 - 0Birmingham
AWatford1 - 0Norwich
AWatford2 - 1Leicester
HWatford1 - 0Stoke
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Watford have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Stoke
League games at Stoke since 2002
Stoke
Watford
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
5 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
7 / 12
STK
3
D
3
WAT
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 4Watford
1 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 0
0 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Watford
0 - 1Watford
Stoke3 - 1
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 2003
Watford
Stoke
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
STK
6
D
2
WAT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford1 - 0
Watford3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
Watford3 - 2
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
1 - 2Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford1 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 2Stoke
Goal Statistics
Stoke 14th Watford 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
STK
WAT
4%
better
view stats
Games scored22
26
Failed to score13
9
Scored first16
11
Goals scored39
45
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
22%
better
STK
WAT
view stats
Games conceded23
29
Clean sheets12
6
Conceded first15
23
Goals conceded34
41
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%

Stoke v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35999
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasB Pearson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas MID3599
8
-
T Seko MID341
3
-
M Manhoef FWD3453
1
-
B Wilmot DEF333
5
-
J. Bae MID3313
1
-
A Phillips DEF301
5
-
T Rigo MID261
1
-
D Mubama FWD2551
3
1
L Cissé FWD2513
3
-
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
B Pearson MID241
8
1
A Cresswell  DEF223
2
-
S Nzonzi MID221
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2011
9
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
E Bocat DEF181
-
M Taloverov DEF13
5
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
S Gallagher FWD101
-
B Gibson DEF51
1
-
J. Donley MID41
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311079
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza N Irankunda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD33101
1
-
I Louza  MID3167
6
1
J Ngakia DEF3034
3
-
M Bola DEF3014
2
-
E Selvik GLK29
1
-
N Irankunda FWD2923
8
1
E Kayembe MID2832
4
-
M Pollock DEF2611
5
-
H Kyprianou MID251
8
-
M. Doumbia FWD2441
4
-
K Baah FWD2311
4
-
J Abankwah DEF22
2
1
K Keben DEF221
3
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
T Ince FWD214
-
M Sissoko MID20
-
O. Maamma FWD2041
1
-
G Chakvetadze MID191
5
-
M. Alleyne DEF16
2
-
N Mendy MID14
-
R Vata FWD1222
-
J Petris DEF11
3
-
N Baxter GLK7
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
F Mendy DEF4
-
J Morris DEF2
1
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-