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Arouca v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 15:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

the Estadio Municipal de Arouca plays host on Saturday afternoon, as Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca host Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional in the Liga NOS. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
31%
--
Draw
26%
--
Nacional
43%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Nacional 1-0
10%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Arouca 1-0
8%
--
Nacional 2-0
8%
--
Arouca 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Arouca 2-0
5%
--
Nacional 3-1
4%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Arouca 3-1
3%
--
Nacional 3-2
3%
--
Arouca 3-2
2%
--
Arouca 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
57%
--
Away/draw
69%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
62%
--
Arouca win to nil
16%
--
Nacional win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 27 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 11 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 23 goals at home.

Nacional are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 23 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
l
 
0-4A
Feb 27
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica2114703249 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
4
Braga2111642639 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
Feb 28
w
 
0-1F
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
Famalicao21957732 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Estoril21867830 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
13
Nacional215610-321 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
-
-
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3A
May 10
17
Tondela213513-2114 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS210516-395 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
3
Nacional have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Nacional have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Arouca
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AVS2 - 2Nacional
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Arouca have beaten Nacional in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Arouca have not lost to Nacional in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Nacional
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Nacional
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca2 - 0
Arouca3 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Arouca
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
0 / 4
ARO
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2Arouca
1 - 2Arouca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Arouca on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Arouca Nacional
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Nacional have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
ARO
NAC
7%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score7
5
Scored first9
8
Goals scored26
27
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
ARO
NAC
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded46
30
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against22%
13%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%

Arouca v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20738
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD2173
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD2152
2
-
T Fukui MID2022
2
1
T Esgaio DEF1911
8
-
H. Lee MID1942
3
-
Barbero FWD1941
2
-
M Puche FWD191
3
-
J Fontán DEF1813
5
3
P Gozálbez MID15
1
-
B Popovic DEF141
2
-
E. van Ee MID1411
4
-
B Mansilla FWD141
1
-
A Dante DEF13
-
D Nandin FWD13
1
1
B Pinto MID12
3
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
1
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
D Monteiro DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211349
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID214
4
-
Chuchu FWD2113
4
-
P Bóia FWD2122
4
-
L Santos DEF2031
9
-
M Dias MID201
3
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1914
2
-
Z Vitor DEF1941
5
1
C. Abidi MID1811
3
-
Witi FWD181
2
-
K Azarias GLK15
2
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
L João FWD131
-
J Silva MID11
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
F Soares MID10
2
-
A Duarte DEF811
1
-
M Baeza MID8
1
-
A Sousa MID81
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
D Jr MID6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-