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Sporting Braga v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Vitoria Guimaraes are their visitors to the Estádio Municipal de Braga. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
62%
--
Draw
22%
--
V. Guimaraes
16%
--
Braga 1-0
13%
--
Braga 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Braga 2-1
10%
--
Braga 3-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Braga 3-1
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Braga 4-0
3%
--
Braga 4-1
3%
--
Braga 3-2
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
2%
--
Braga 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
84%
--
Away/draw
38%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
78%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
Braga win to nil
38%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
9%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 44 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 28 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 2. V. Guimaraes have conceded 22 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica2114703249 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Braga2111642639 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
6
Famalicao21957732 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
7
Estoril21867830 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
-
-
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
Apr 12
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
13
Nacional215610-321 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
w
 
2-1F
May 17
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
17
Tondela213513-2114 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS210516-395 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Braga
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
V. Guimaraes
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
BRG
5
D
3
GUI
2
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Braga
Goals: Scored
8
17
Games: Scored
5 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
6 / 11
BRG
6
D
3
GUI
2
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

With a PG of just 0.8, Vitoria Guimaraes look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Sporting Braga haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for L. Correia Pinto's men.

Braga V. Guimaraes
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Braga have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-14
V. Guimaraes have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
38%
better
BRG
GUI
view stats
Games scored18
13
Failed to score3
8
Scored first14
9
Goals scored44
23
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for21
11
Avg. XG for2
1.2
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
22%
better
BRG
GUI
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded18
30
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+22%

Braga v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20945
L HornicekR Zalazar L LeloR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK20
1
-
V Gómez DEF2012
1
-
L Lelo DEF194
-
Gorby MID19
3
-
P Victor FWD1962
3
-
R Zalazar  MID1892
5
-
J Moutinho MID181
3
-
G Martínez FWD183
2
-
R Horta FWD1783
2
1
G Lagerbielke DEF162
3
1
B Arrey-Mbi DEF15
3
-
F Navarro FWD154
1
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID1312
-
F Grillitsch  MID12
2
-
G Salles MID12
1
-
M Dorgeles MID111
-
V Carvalho MID102
4
-
S Niakaté DEF9
1
-
P Oliveira DEF9
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD92
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20426
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF2012
4
-
J Mendes DEF18
6
-
N Oliveira FWD183
3
1
A Ndoye FWD182
2
-
Maga DEF17
5
-
M. Mitrovic MID172
2
-
Beni MID171
6
-
T Arcanjo FWD171
1
2
O. Camara FWD1741
1
-
Samu MID1632
2
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF111
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID111
2
-
G Nogueira MID112
2
-
O Lebedenko DEF10
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1011
1
-
T Strata DEF91
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
Charles GLK6
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-