CD Nacional's team badge Alverca's team badge

CD Nacional v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga NOS, and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Custódio André Gune’s Alverca are their opponents at the Estadio da Madeira. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
48%
--
Draw
24%
--
Alverca
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Nacional 1-0
10%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Nacional 2-0
8%
--
Alverca 1-0
7%
--
Alverca 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Alverca 2-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
3%
--
Alverca 3-1
3%
--
Alverca 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Nacional win to nil
25%
--
Alverca win to nil
13%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Alverca lay in 10th place on 32 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Alverca have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Alverca have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2823414373 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon2721515568 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica2819904166 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga2714762749 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
5
Famalicao2813781146 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
6
Gil Vicente2812971445 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
7
Estoril2810711337 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
4-1A
8
V. Guimaraes2810513-835 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
9
Moreirense2810513-935 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca288812-1732 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
-
-
11
Arouca289514-2032 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
12
Rio Ave287912-1930 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
13
Santa Clara287714-928 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Estrela Amadora2861012-1428 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
15
Nacional286715-825 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
16
Casa Pia2751012-2225 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela274815-2520 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
AVS281819-4311 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Famalicao
HNacional0 - 1Estoril
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
Alverca 10TH
14 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 14
Conceded
13 / 14
Clean sheets
1 / 14
Failed to score
3 / 14
Won
3
Draw
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave1 - 2Alverca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Alverca
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
Tondela1 - 1Alverca
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca2 - 1Rio Ave
HAlverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
AAlverca2 - 2Gil Vicente
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Goal Statistics
Nacional 15th Alverca 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
NAC
7%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score9
7
Scored first9
10
Goals scored31
29
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
3%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first18
17
Goals conceded39
46
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+3%

Nacional v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2814411
P BóiaChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Bóia FWD2842
5
-
Chuchu FWD2714
5
-
L Santos DEF2632
11
-
M Dias MID261
5
1
Z Vitor DEF2541
7
1
Liziero  MID254
6
-
C. Abidi MID2311
5
1
K Azarias GLK22
2
-
Witi FWD221
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2114
2
-
L João FWD171
1
-
J Silva MID16
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD16
3
1
A Duarte DEF1512
2
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
M Baeza MID141
1
-
L Vallier DEF13
4
-
D Jr MID12
3
-
F Soares MID12
2
-
A Sousa MID102
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF7
2
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26857
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2713
5
-
M Milovanovic FWD2781
3
-
K Naves DEF261
6
1
A Gomes GLK25
3
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF25
4
1
S Gómez DEF24
1
-
Lincoln MID2425
5
-
D. Gui MID2211
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD221
-
L Figueiredo FWD2142
2
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
I. James DEF152
3
-
Chiquinho FWD1512
3
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
S Baseya DEF9
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
M Mendes GLK3
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-