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CD Nacional v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Estoril are away from home on Sunday morning, as manager Ian Cathro takes his team to visit CD Nacional and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido at the Estadio da Madeira in the Liga NOS. Liga NOS statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
42%
--
Draw
23%
--
Estoril
35%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Estoril 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Estoril 1-0
6%
--
Nacional 2-0
6%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
Estoril 2-0
4%
--
Estoril 3-1
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
4%
--
Estoril 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-0
3%
--
Estoril 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
66%
--
BTTS - No
34%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Nacional win to nil
17%
--
Estoril win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 29 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 8th place on 33 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2419415061 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2417703758 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
May 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Braga2413652745 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 3
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao241068836 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
7
Moreirense2410410-434 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 7
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
8
Estoril24969433 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
-
-
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
10
Alverca247611-1527 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
May 10
11
Arouca247512-2026 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
14
Nacional245613-821 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
17
Tondela244713-1919 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS241617-399 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AVS3 - 0Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Estoril
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
NAC
1
D
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Estoril
Nacional4 - 1
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
Nacional
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
NAC
1
D
2
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Draw1 - 1Draw
Estoril1 - 0
0 - 1Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Estoril have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS outings. A PG of 1.8 for T. Carvalho Margarido's side suggests that run should continue.

Nacional 14th Estoril 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Nacional have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+37
Estoril have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.8
1.6
Attack rating
NAC
EST
19%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score7
7
Scored first8
10
Goals scored28
46
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
11%
better
NAC
EST
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded36
42
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%

Nacional v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241349
ChuchuChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Chuchu FWD2413
4
-
P Bóia FWD2432
4
-
M Dias MID231
4
1
Liziero  MID234
5
-
L Santos DEF2231
9
-
Z Vitor DEF2141
6
1
Witi FWD211
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2014
2
-
C. Abidi MID2011
4
1
K Azarias GLK18
3
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD15
2
1
J Silva MID14
-
L João FWD141
-
A Duarte DEF1111
1
-
M Baeza MID10
1
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
L Vallier DEF9
3
-
A Sousa MID92
1
-
D Jr MID8
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF6
2
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2417106
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK24
2
-
F Bacher DEF241
2
-
J Carvalho MID24610
5
-
Y Begraoui FWD24171
1
-
J Holsgrove MID2316
5
-
R Guitane FWD2135
2
-
Ferro DEF191
2
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF182
4
-
P Amaral DEF182
3
-
A Marqués FWD184
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1723
6
-
Pizzi MID174
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
A Tsoungui DEF14
5
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
J Orellana MID131
2
-
G Costa DEF10
1
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID2
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-