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Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Mar, 20:15 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu’s Estrela Amadora will have the luxury of it on Friday night. João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia are their visitors to the Estádio José Gomes. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
43%
--
Draw
26%
--
Casa Pia
31%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
11%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
9%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
9%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-1
4%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-0
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-2
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
24%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Both Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia have scored 26 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Estrela Amadora have played 12 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 34 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon2419415061 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2417703758 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga2413652745 
d
 
3-3A
May 17
Apr 23
l
 
4-0A
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
6
Famalicao251168939 
May 10
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Moreirense2410410-434 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Estoril24969433 
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 7
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
10
Alverca247611-1527 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
11
Arouca257513-2126 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
-
-
l
 
3-5F
Mar 20
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
Mar 20
w
 
3-5A
-
-
14
Nacional245613-821 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
May 17
l
 
3-1A
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
17
Tondela244713-1919 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS241617-399 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Estrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2024
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
0 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0
0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Estrela Amadora of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday night against Casa Pia.

Estrela Amadora 12th Casa Pia 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Estrela Amadora will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Estrela Amadora have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Casa Pia have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
5%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score11
10
Scored first6
7
Goals scored26
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first14
15
Goals conceded41
44
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24637
R RibeiroKikasA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK24
3
-
L Patrick DEF23
2
1
I Stoica FWD2322
4
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2231
6
1
B Schappo DEF21
4
-
A Marcus FWD2133
1
1
J Encada DEF202
3
-
R Pinho FWD2011
2
-
J Cabral FWD174
5
-
Kikas FWD1761
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD172
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
A Chernev DEF15
4
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID13
3
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID11
1
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
L Antonetti FWD8
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
245712
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Livolant FWD2437
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF2334
5
-
Cassiano FWD235
5
-
P Sequeira GLK19
2
1
S Pérez MID19
4
-
D Sousa  DEF182
12
-
A Geraldes DEF18
5
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
J Fonte DEF161
3
-
R Brito MID1611
3
-
T Morais FWD16
1
-
A Conté DEF152
1
-
J Goulart DEF151
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD15
2
-
I Mohamed MID131
4
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
O Osundina FWD122
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
D. Bandeira DEF7
3
-
K. Prieto Machado MID7
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
Claudio FWD61
1
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-