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FC Porto v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd May, 20:15 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Moreirense pay Liga NOS competitors FC Porto a visit on Friday night, as Cesar Peixoto guides his side into an away clash with Martin Svedik & co. at the Estádio do Dragão. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Porto. Their latest form stats show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Moreirense too. The odds point towards Martin Svedik's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Friday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
65%
1.30
2%
-
Draw
21%
5.25
5%
-
Moreirense
14%
9.50
6%
-
Porto 1-0
13%
5.50-
Porto 2-0
13%
5.50-
Draw 1-1
10%
10.00-
Porto 2-1
10%
9.50-
Porto 3-0
8%
7.50-
Draw 0-0
7%
9.50
6%
-
Porto 3-1
6%
13.00-
Moreirense 1-0
5%
19.00
27%
-
Porto 4-0
4%
13.00
13%
-
Moreirense 2-1
4%
29.00
12%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
29.00
15%
-
Porto 4-1
3%
23.00
12%
-
Porto 3-2
2%
41.00-
Moreirense 2-0
2%
41.00-
Porto 5-0
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.95
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.85
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.22-
Away 1st Goal
37%
5.50
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9.50
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.50
5%
-
BTTS - No
54%
1.50
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4.00
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
8.00-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
21.00-
Home/draw
86%
1.07-
Away/draw
35%
3.40
5%
-
Home/away
79%
1.17-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.30
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.40
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.50
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.29
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7.00
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.03
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
22%
-
Home DNB
80%
1.08
2%
-
Away DNB
29%
8.00
14%
-
Porto win to nil
40%
1.80
2%
-
Moreirense win to nil
8%
15.00
15%
-
Porto / Porto
43%
1.91
2%
-
Porto / Moreirense
2%
51.00-
Porto / Draw
4%
19.00-
Draw / Porto
23%
3.60
4%
-
Draw / Moreirense
4%
21.00
24%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
8%
-
Moreirense / Porto
4%
23.00
12%
-
Moreirense / Moreirense
4%
19.00-
Moreirense / Draw
4%
23.00-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Porto have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 15 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Moreirense are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 36 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Moreirense have conceded 29 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3123625875 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica3124345575 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
3
Braga3119752664 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
4
Porto Home3119572962 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
May 2
5
V. Guimaraes31131261251 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
6
Santa Clara3115511250 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
7
Famalicao3111119644 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
8
Estoril3111911-842 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
May 11
d
 
2-2F
9
Casa Pia3111812-541 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1F
10
Moreirense Away319913-936 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
-
-
11
Nacional319616-1433 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
Arouca318914-1733 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Rio Ave318914-1833 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
15
Estrela Amadora317816-1929 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
16
AVS3141215-3224 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
17
Sporting Farense314918-2221 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
18
Boavista315620-3221 
w
 
4-0F
May 11
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Porto 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Moreirense 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Porto have beaten Moreirense in 8 consecutive home league meetings
13
Porto have not lost to Moreirense in 13 consecutive league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Moreirense
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
31
3
Games: Scored
8 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
0 / 8
PTO
8
League games at Moreirense since 2015
Moreirense
Porto
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
PTO
4
D
4
MOR
1
Goal Statistics
Porto 4th Moreirense 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Moreirense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Moreirense have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285323/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
27%
better
PTO
MOR
view stats
Games scored27
23
Failed to score4
8
Scored first19
13
Goals scored57
36
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
31%
better
PTO
MOR
view stats
Games conceded16
25
Clean sheets15
6
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded28
45
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%

Porto v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301699
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraA Varela
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK30
-
A Varela MID292
9
-
S Eustaquio MID28
6
-
Pepê FWD2832
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD27163
3
1
D Namaso FWD2631
2
-
G Borges FWD2522
6
1
F Moura DEF2419
2
-
J Mário DEF243
5
-
N Pérez DEF2311
9
-
F Vieira MID2343
6
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF225
5
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2083
3
-
O Silva DEF192
8
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF17
2
-
A Franco MID151
4
-
D Gül FWD141
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
T Djaló DEF8
2
-
I Marcano DEF8
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD7
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
T Pérez MID3
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
C Ramos GLK1
1
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30647
MarceloAlanzinhoAlanzinhoMarcelo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Marcelo DEF30
7
-
Kewin GLK29
4
-
Ismael MID2911
6
-
Bernardo FWD2933
5
-
M Maracás DEF2811
5
-
G Frimpong DEF2813
6
-
Alanzinho MID2864
5
-
L Nlavo FWD2853
1
-
S Tavares MID2711
6
1
G Schettine FWD2753
5
1
J Antonisse FWD26
4
-
L Ofori MID2511
1
-
D Pinto DEF2421
6
-
P. Costa Santos FWD20
4
-
C Teguia FWD101
1
-
I Rodrigues FWD101
1
-
J Jorquera FWD9
-
L Buta DEF6
2
-
G Batista DEF4
1
-
G. Liberato Tomas Aquino MID4
-
Michel DEF3
-
C Secco GLK2
-
D Morer DEF1
-