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FC Porto v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Moreirense pay Liga NOS competitors FC Porto a visit on Sunday morning, as Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa leads his side into an away clash with Francesco Farioli & co. at the Estádio do Dragão. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
53%
--
Draw
25%
--
Moreirense
22%
--
Porto 1-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Porto 2-0
10%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Moreirense 1-0
8%
--
Moreirense 2-1
5%
--
Porto 3-0
5%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Moreirense 2-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Porto 4-0
2%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
Moreirense 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
78%
--
Away/draw
47%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
71%
--
Away DNB
40%
--
Porto win to nil
32%
--
Moreirense win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 17 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 12 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Moreirense are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 34 points having played 24 matches so far this season. Moreirense are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Moreirense have conceded 20 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
2
S. Lisbon2419415061 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2417703758 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
4
Braga2413652745 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao241068836 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
7
Moreirense2410410-434 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
-
-
8
Estoril24969433 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Apr 19
d
 
3-3F
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Alverca247611-1527 
May 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Arouca247512-2026 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
14
Nacional245613-821 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
l
 
3-2F
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela244713-1919 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 10
18
AVS241617-399 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
May 17
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
15
Porto have not lost in 15 consecutive home league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto3 - 1Arouca
Porto1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
Moreirense 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
Rio Ave1 - 2Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
AVS0 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
Gil Vicente2 - 0Moreirense
Santa Clara0 - 1Moreirense
AVS0 - 3Moreirense
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
Gil Vicente0 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara1 - 1Moreirense
Famalicao2 - 0Moreirense
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMoreirense1 - 1Casa Pia
HMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
AMoreirense2 - 1Rio Ave
HMoreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
AMoreirense0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
AMoreirense1 - 2Alverca
HMoreirense1 - 0Tondela
AMoreirense2 - 0AVS
AMoreirense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HMoreirense0 - 4Benfica
AMoreirense3 - 3Estoril
HMoreirense2 - 2Famalicao
AMoreirense1 - 2Braga
AMoreirense2 - 0Arouca
HMoreirense1 - 2Porto
AMoreirense2 - 3Nacional
HMoreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
AMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Porto have beaten Moreirense in 9 consecutive home league meetings
15
Porto have not lost to Moreirense in 15 consecutive league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
34
4
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
PTO
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto3 - 1
Porto5 - 0
Porto5 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto6 - 1
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 2
League games at Moreirense since 2015
Moreirense
Porto
Goals: Scored
11
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
3 / 10
PTO
5
D
4
MOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
1 - 2Porto
0 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Moreirense3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 16 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Moreirense on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Porto 1st Moreirense 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Moreirense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Moreirense have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
31%
better
PTO
MOR
view stats
Games scored23
18
Failed to score1
6
Scored first21
12
Goals scored47
30
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
62%
better
PTO
MOR
view stats
Games conceded7
17
Clean sheets17
7
Conceded first2
11
Goals conceded8
34
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
7
Conversion rate against6%
15%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+62%

Porto v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK24
1
-
V. Froholdt MID2434
2
-
J Bednarek DEF231
7
-
G Veiga MID2215
3
-
B Sainz FWD2252
5
-
A Baio DEF216
4
-
A Varela MID212
5
-
Pepê FWD2124
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2011
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2061
3
1
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
D Gül FWD192
1
-
J Kiwior DEF171
1
-
F Moura DEF1722
3
-
P Rosario MID1721
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF141
2
1
Zaidu  DEF1111
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23969
D PintoG SchettineD PintoM Maracás
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Pinto DEF2316
8
-
Alanzinho MID2335
6
-
M Stjepanovic MID231
6
-
M Maracás DEF213
8
1
K Bondoso FWD213
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF1942
1
-
G Batista DEF19
2
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1811
4
-
R Alonso MID1722
3
-
A Ferreira GLK15
1
-
C Teguia FWD15
1
-
G Schettine FWD1591
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF14
1
1
Bernardo MID1411
1
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD1411
4
-
L Semedo FWD1411
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID131
3
-
Marcelo DEF121
5
-
C Secco GLK9
2
-
V Sousa MID91
2
1
Michel DEF4
1
-
J. Gower MID4
-
L Ofori MID41
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-