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Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 15:30 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Armando Evangelista and Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins meet in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as Rio Ave face Estrela Amadora at the Estadio Dos Arcos. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora 3 goals or less combined during this Liga NOS fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rio Ave are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
39%
13/10-
Draw
28%
23/10-
Estrela Amadora
33%
21/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Rio Ave 1-0
12%
13/2-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1-
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
17/2-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
10/1-
Rio Ave 2-0
7%
10/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
-
Rio Ave 3-0
3%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
33/1-
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
28/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
2%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/5-
BTTS - No
52%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2-
Home/draw
67%
4/11-
Away/draw
61%
4/7-
Home/away
72%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Home DNB
59%
4/6
3%
-
Away DNB
53%
11/10
5%
-
Rio Ave win to nil
23%
11/4-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
19%
4/1-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
22%
11/4-
Rio Ave / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/1-
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Rio Ave
15%
9/2-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Estrela Amadora / Rio Ave
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
16%
4/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Rio Ave have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Rio Ave have played 15 games at home winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 6. Estrela Amadora have conceded 38 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3123625875 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
2
Benfica3124345575 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Braga3119752664 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Porto3119572962 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes31131261251 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Santa Clara3115511250 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao3111119644 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Estoril3111911-842 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-4A
May 17
9
Casa Pia3111812-541 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense319913-936 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
Nacional319616-1433 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Arouca318914-1733 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Rio Ave Home318914-1833 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 4
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
May 17
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
15
Estrela Amadora A317816-1929 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
-
-
16
AVS3141215-3224 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense314918-2221 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista315620-3221 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 2Boavista
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
Rio Ave2 - 2Estoril
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Sporting Farense
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave3 - 0Gil Vicente
Rio Ave0 - 0Braga
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARio Ave0 - 3V. Guimaraes
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave2 - 0Moreirense
HRio Ave0 - 2Boavista
ARio Ave1 - 2Casa Pia
HRio Ave2 - 3Benfica
ARio Ave0 - 1Famalicao
HRio Ave2 - 1Braga
ARio Ave1 - 2Estoril
HRio Ave1 - 1AVS
ARio Ave1 - 1Arouca
HRio Ave2 - 2Porto
ARio Ave2 - 1Sporting Farense
HRio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
ARio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
HRio Ave2 - 1Nacional
ARio Ave0 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave0 - 1Santa Clara
HRio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Vizela4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Boavista1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Goal Statistics
Rio Ave 13th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Rio Ave’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-49
Estrela Amadora have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285326/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
24%
better
RIO
view stats
Games scored21
16
Failed to score10
15
Scored first13
9
Goals scored33
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
RIO
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
24
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first18
20
Goals conceded51
43
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2813311
ClaytonClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF3013
4
-
T Morais FWD294
1
-
Clayton FWD28133
10
1
J Novais MID27
1
-
O Pohlmann MID2612
-
K Bondoso FWD2621
1
-
O Richards DEF251
4
-
D Tıknaz MID2522
6
1
B Aguilera MID2531
4
-
C Miszta GLK23
2
-
M Neto MID2111
6
1
J Panzo DEF151
4
1
J Graça MID151
1
-
A Ndoj DEF14
1
-
J Tomé DEF13
2
-
A Luiz FWD1311
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD111
1
-
N Abby DEF8
1
-
T. Bakoulas MID7
2
-
F. Petrasso DEF5
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD5
-
J Pedro DEF31
-
K. Kostoulas DEF2
1
-
T. Medina FWD2
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
246211
NiltonKikasL BuccaA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD305
6
-
Kikas FWD2961
3
-
L Bucca MID2722
8
-
Nilton DEF252
4
-
A Ruiz MID2512
11
-
R Lima DEF242
3
1
L Cordeiro MID2411
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID231
3
-
J Cabral FWD2321
4
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF221
4
-
M Keliano MID201
7
-
I Dramé DEF181
2
-
Ferro DEF17
6
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
Andorinha GLK11
-
C Banza FWD111
4
-
R Pantalon DEF9
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF9
3
1
F Ronaldo FWD9
-
Amine MID8
2
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD6
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-