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Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 00:00 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Sotiris Silaidopoulos welcomes João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu to the Estadio Dos Arcos on Sunday morning, as their Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora sides meet in the Liga NOS. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
40%
--
Draw
26%
--
Estrela Amadora
35%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
9%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
9%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
8%
--
Rio Ave 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
6%
--
Rio Ave 3-1
4%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
--
Rio Ave 3-0
3%
--
Rio Ave 3-2
3%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
20%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Rio Ave have conceded 42 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Estrela Amadora lay in 12th place on 24 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estrela Amadora have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon2419415061 
May 10
l
 
4-0A
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2417703758 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2413652745 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3A
May 17
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao241068836 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
w
 
2-3A
7
Moreirense2410410-434 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
8
Estoril24969433 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
10
Alverca247611-1527 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca247512-2026 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
-
-
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
14
Nacional245613-821 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela244713-1919 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS241617-399 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
Rio Ave1 - 2Moreirense
Rio Ave0 - 3Arouca
Rio Ave0 - 2Benfica
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 2Boavista
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave0 - 1Porto
HRio Ave1 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave0 - 3Braga
HRio Ave0 - 3Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 4Nacional
HRio Ave0 - 2Benfica
HRio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 2Gil Vicente
HRio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS0 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rio Ave since 2023
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
RIO
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Rio Ave2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2024
Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
RIO
1
D
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
1 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Rio Ave of late. It has been 6 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Estrela Amadora.

Rio Ave 15th Estrela Amadora 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Rio Ave will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Rio Ave have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Estrela Amadora have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
RIO
2%
better
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score11
11
Scored first7
6
Goals scored23
26
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
RIO
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
18
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded44
41
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%

Rio Ave v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211058
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2211
2
1
O Pohlmann MID221
-
A Ndoj DEF212
6
-
G Liavas MID201
2
-
D Spikic FWD202
1
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
F. Petrasso DEF18
5
-
C Miszta GLK17
5
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
N Abby DEF17
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID171
2
1
J Brabec DEF16
2
-
A. Papakanellos MID16
1
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
J Tomé DEF10
2
-
M Gual FWD10
-
O Richards DEF9
2
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF5
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
T. Medina FWD1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24637
R RibeiroKikasA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK24
3
-
L Patrick DEF23
2
1
I Stoica FWD2322
4
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2231
6
1
B Schappo DEF21
4
-
A Marcus FWD2133
1
1
J Encada DEF202
3
-
R Pinho FWD2011
2
-
J Cabral FWD174
5
-
Kikas FWD1761
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD172
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
A Chernev DEF15
4
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID13
3
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID11
1
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
L Antonetti FWD8
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-