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Casa Pia v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 00:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Casa Pia and Arouca meet at the Estádio Pina Manique on Sunday morning, with both João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and Vasco César Freire De Seabra seeking a win in the Liga NOS. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
41%
--
Draw
23%
--
Arouca
36%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
--
Arouca 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
7%
--
Arouca 1-0
6%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
6%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
--
Arouca 2-0
5%
--
Arouca 3-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
4%
--
Arouca 3-2
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
3%
--
Arouca 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
64%
--
BTTS - No
36%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
17%
--
Arouca win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Casa Pia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 34 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 9 games at home, winning 0, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Arouca lay in 14th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arouca have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Arouca have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1918103655 
Feb 2
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica1913603145 
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
4
Braga199641933 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
5
Gil Vicente19874831 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2F
May 10
6
Moreirense20938-130 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
7
Famalicao198561029 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
8
Estoril20857829 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
9
V. Guimaraes20848-628 
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
10
Alverca207310-1424 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
11
Nacional19559-220 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
12
Estrela Amadora20488-1320 
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
13
Rio Ave20488-1620 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
14
Arouca205510-2120 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
-
-
15
Santa Clara204511-917 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
17
Tondela193313-2112 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
3-1F
18
AVS190514-335 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia3 - 3AVS
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 3Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
Tondela3 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara0 - 0Arouca
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente1 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Braga2 - 1Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Arouca
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Casa Pia3 - 1
Casa Pia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Arouca since 2023
Arouca
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
1 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
3 / 4
2
D
1
ARO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 2Casa Pia
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Arouca have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.6 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Casa Pia 15th Arouca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Arouca have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.7
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ARO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Casa Pia v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19358
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Larrazabal DEF1923
3
-
Cassiano FWD192
4
-
J Livolant FWD1935
2
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
A Geraldes DEF17
4
-
S Pérez MID17
4
-
J Fonte DEF161
3
-
P Sequeira GLK14
2
1
D Sousa  DEF142
8
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD12
2
-
T Morais FWD12
1
-
R Brito MID111
2
-
J Goulart DEF10
3
-
A Conté DEF101
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
I Mohamed MID91
3
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
O Osundina FWD72
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
K. Prieto Machado MID6
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
D. Bandeira DEF2
-
Claudio FWD21
1
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19638
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD2063
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD2051
2
-
T Fukui MID1922
2
1
T Esgaio DEF1811
8
-
H. Lee MID1832
3
-
M Puche FWD181
3
-
Barbero FWD1821
2
-
J Fontán DEF1712
5
3
B Popovic DEF141
2
-
P Gozálbez MID14
1
-
A Dante DEF13
-
E. van Ee MID1311
4
-
B Mansilla FWD131
1
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
D Nandin FWD12
1
1
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
1
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
D Monteiro DEF1
-