CD Nacional's team badge FC Porto's team badge

CD Nacional v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 00:00 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Francesco Farioli takes his FC Porto side to the Estadio da Madeira in the Liga NOS on Sunday morning, with Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional their challengers. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
21%
--
Draw
22%
--
Porto
57%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 1-0
10%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Porto 2-0
9%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
Porto 3-0
6%
--
Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Nacional 2-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Nacional 2-0
3%
--
Porto 4-0
3%
--
Nacional 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
42%
--
Away 1st Goal
55%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
11%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
27%
--
Home/draw
43%
--
Away/draw
79%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
36%
--
Away DNB
73%
--
Nacional win to nil
10%
--
Porto win to nil
30%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 18 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 55 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 19 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 19 games against teams below them in the league and kept 15 clean sheets out of 19 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 8 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 10 away games, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1918103655 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
Feb 9
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica1913603145 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Braga199641933 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente19874831 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Moreirense20938-130 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
7
Famalicao198561029 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
8
Estoril20857829 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
9
V. Guimaraes20848-628 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca207310-1424 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Nacional19559-220 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
12
Estrela Amadora20488-1320 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Rio Ave20488-1620 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
14
Arouca205510-2120 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
15
Santa Clara204511-917 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
May 17
w
 
0-1F
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Feb 2
17
Tondela193313-2112 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS190514-335 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
4 / 20
Clean sheets
16 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
D
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
NAC
1
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
1
Games: Scored
6 / 6
1 / 6
Clean sheets
5 / 6
0 / 6
PTO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 22 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Nacional on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Nacional 13th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Nacional have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.1
1.9
Attack rating
%
better
NAC
PTO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NAC
PTO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Nacional v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191347
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID194
4
-
Chuchu FWD1913
4
-
P Bóia FWD1922
4
-
L Santos DEF1831
7
-
M Dias MID181
3
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1714
2
-
Z Vitor DEF1741
4
1
C. Abidi MID1711
3
-
Witi FWD161
2
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
K Azarias GLK13
2
-
L João FWD121
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
F Soares MID10
2
-
J Silva MID9
-
M Baeza MID7
-
A Sousa MID71
1
-
L França GLK6
1
-
A Duarte DEF61
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
D Jr MID4
1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191356
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK19
1
-
V. Froholdt MID1923
1
-
J Bednarek DEF18
6
-
B Sainz FWD1852
5
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD18131
2
-
G Veiga MID1714
3
-
A Varela MID172
4
-
A Baio DEF165
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1611
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD165
3
-
Pepê FWD1624
1
-
J Kiwior DEF151
1
-
F Moura DEF1522
3
-
P Rosario MID1411
5
-
D Gül FWD142
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF121
2
1
Zaidu  DEF811
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-