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FC Porto v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 9th Feb, 20:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Monday night, as Francesco Farioli and his FC Porto side host Rui Manuel Gomes Borges’s Sporting Lisbon at the Estádio do Dragão. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
40%
--
Draw
26%
--
S. Lisbon
34%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Porto 1-0
10%
--
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
S. Lisbon 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Porto 2-0
7%
--
S. Lisbon 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Porto 3-1
4%
--
S. Lisbon 3-1
3%
--
Porto 3-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
S. Lisbon 3-0
2%
--
S. Lisbon 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
66%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Porto win to nil
21%
--
S. Lisbon win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten in 19 games against teams below them in the league and kept 15 clean sheets out of 19 games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 52 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

S. Lisbon are in 2nd position in the Liga NOS on 48 points having played 19 matches so far this season. S. Lisbon have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. S. Lisbon have conceded 2 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1918103655 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Feb 9
2
S. Lisbon1915314248 
Feb 9
w
 
1-2F
-
-
3
Benfica1913603145 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga199641933 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
5
Gil Vicente19874831 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
6
Moreirense20938-130 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
7
Famalicao198561029 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Estoril20857829 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
9
V. Guimaraes20848-628 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 3
w
 
1-4F
10
Alverca207310-1424 
May 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
11
Nacional19559-220 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
12
Estrela Amadora20488-1320 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
13
Rio Ave20488-1620 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
May 10
14
Arouca205510-2120 
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
Santa Clara204511-917 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
16
Casa Pia193610-1815 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 2
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela193313-2112 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS190514-335 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
5
Porto have won 5 consecutive home league games
12
Porto have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
20
S. Lisbon have not lost in 20 consecutive away league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
4 / 20
Clean sheets
16 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
D
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
20
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Porto have not lost to S. Lisbon in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
9 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
1 / 10
PTO
5
D
4
SCL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Porto3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Porto2 - 0
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
1 - 3S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Porto
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
PTO
3
D
4
SCL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
1 - 2Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is to be admired, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 15 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for FC Porto makes sense in this context.

Porto 1st S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that S. Lisbon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
S. Lisbon have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
PTO
SCL
20%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score1
0
Scored first17
15
Goals scored40
52
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.7
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
50%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games conceded4
9
Clean sheets15
10
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded4
10
Avg. goals conceded0.2
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded30
12
Conversion rate against3%
9%
Avg. XG against0.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+50%

Porto v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191356
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK19
1
-
V. Froholdt MID1923
1
-
J Bednarek DEF18
6
-
B Sainz FWD1852
5
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD18131
2
-
G Veiga MID1714
3
-
A Varela MID172
4
-
A Baio DEF165
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1611
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD165
3
-
Pepê FWD1624
1
-
F Moura DEF1522
3
-
J Kiwior DEF151
1
-
P Rosario MID1411
5
-
D Gül FWD142
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF121
2
1
Zaidu  DEF811
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191776
G InácioL SuárezF TrincãoM Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF193
3
1
F Trincão MID1947
-
L Suárez FWD19174
4
-
R Silva GLK17
1
-
M Hjulmand MID1722
6
-
A Santos FWD171
-
H Morita MID161
1
-
I Fresneda DEF151
5
-
M Vilches DEF1542
5
1
G Catamo  MID1443
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD1495
4
-
G Kochorashvili MID131
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
G Vagiannidis DEF123
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID121
2
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
R Mangas DEF1021
3
-
Z Debast DEF10
2
-
M Reis DEF92
2
E Quaresma DEF611
1
-
O Diomande DEF6
1
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
D Bragança  MID11
-