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Albania v Finland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Nov, 19:45 BST, Arena Kombëtare, Tirana

Finland pay UEFA Nations League counterparts Albania a visit on Thursday evening, as Jacob Friis guides his side into an away clash with Rolando Maran & co. at the Arena Kombëtare. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this match will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Albania and Finland have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the UEFA Nations League individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Albania are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Albania 53%	4/5 12%	-
Draw 26%	23/10 2%	-
Finland 21%	10/3 24%	-
Albania 1-0 14%	5/1 8%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Albania 2-0 11%	13/2 17%	-
Albania 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Draw 0-0 9%	13/2 6%	-
Finland 1-0 8%	9/1 5%	-
Albania 3-0 6%	14/1 12%	-
Finland 2-1 5%	14/1 15%	-
Albania 3-1 5%	16/1 11%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	-
Finland 2-0 3%	20/1 24%	-
Albania 4-0 2%	28/1 29%	-
Albania 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Albania 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Finland 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	13/10 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	3/5 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/13 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4 16%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	13/2 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	11/10 10%	-
BTTS - No 54%	4/6 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9/1 25%	-
Home/draw 79%	1/5 7%	-
Away/draw 47%	10/11 10%	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/5 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	7/4 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	10/3 8%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1/5 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/1 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/16 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	11/1 9%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	6/1 13%	-
Home DNB 71%	1/3 11%	-
Away DNB 39%	9/4 30%	-
Albania win to nil 33%	13/8 23%	-
Finland win to nil 12%	11/2 18%	-
Albania / Albania 29%	15/8 11%	-
Albania / Finland 2%	40/1	-
Albania / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw / Albania 18%	7/2 10%	-
Draw / Finland 9%	8/1 20%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4 5%	-
Finland / Albania 3%	28/1	-
Finland / Finland 12%	6/1 27%	-
Finland / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Albania	2 - 1	San Marino
Albania	2 - 0	Belarus
Albania	0 - 1	Luxembourg
Albania	0 - 1	Israel
Albania	0 - 2	England
Albania	4 - 2	Jordan
Albania	1 - 0	Latvia
Albania	0 - 0	Serbia
Albania	3 - 0	Andorra
Albania	1 - 2	Ukraine
Albania	0 - 0	Czech Rep
Albania	0 - 1	Georgia
Albania	0 - 1	Spain
Albania	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Albania	3 - 0	Liechtenstein
Albania	0 - 3	Chile
Albania	0 - 0	Faroes
Albania	2 - 0	Bulgaria
Albania	3 - 0	Czech Rep
Albania	2 - 0	Poland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Albania	2 - 1	San Marino
A	Albania	1 - 2	Finland
A	Albania	3 - 0	San Marino
H	Albania	2 - 0	Belarus
H	Albania	0 - 1	Luxembourg
H	Albania	0 - 1	Israel
A	Albania	0 - 1	Ukraine
A	Albania	1 - 2	Poland
H	Albania	0 - 2	England
A	Albania	1 - 0	Andorra
H	Albania	4 - 2	Jordan
A	Albania	1 - 0	Serbia
H	Albania	1 - 0	Latvia
A	Albania	1 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Albania	1 - 1	Latvia
H	Albania	0 - 0	Serbia
H	Albania	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Albania	0 - 2	England
H	Albania	1 - 2	Ukraine
H	Albania	0 - 0	Czech Rep

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belarus	1 - 0	Finland
San Marino	0 - 7	Finland
Hungary	2 - 1	Finland
Germany	4 - 0	Finland
Cape Verde	1 - 1	Finland
New Zealand	0 - 2	Finland
Netherlands	4 - 0	Finland
Poland	3 - 1	Finland
Norway	1 - 0	Finland
Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
Malta	0 - 1	Finland
Ireland	1 - 0	Finland
England	2 - 0	Finland
Greece	3 - 0	Finland
Scotland	2 - 2	Finland
Portugal	4 - 2	Finland
Wales	4 - 1	Finland
San Marino	1 - 2	Finland
Slovenia	3 - 0	Finland
Kazakhstan	0 - 1	Finland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Finland	0 - 1	Belarus
H	Finland	2 - 1	Albania
H	Finland	0 - 0	Belarus
A	Finland	7 - 0	San Marino
A	Finland	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Finland	0 - 4	Germany
A	Finland	1 - 1	Cape Verde
A	Finland	2 - 0	New Zealand
H	Finland	0 - 1	Malta
A	Finland	0 - 4	Netherlands
H	Finland	2 - 1	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 3	Poland
A	Finland	0 - 1	Norway
H	Finland	2 - 1	Poland
H	Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
A	Finland	2 - 2	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 0	Malta
H	Finland	0 - 2	Greece
A	Finland	0 - 1	Ireland
H	Finland	1 - 3	England

Goal Statistics

Albania have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Finland on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Albania 1st	Finland 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Albania will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Finland scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-31 Albania have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted	-13 Finland have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

10%

better

ALB

FIN

view stats

Games scored	13		11
Failed to score	7		9
Scored first	11		5
Goals scored	22		22
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+10%

38%

better

ALB

FIN

view stats

Games conceded	11		16
Clean sheets	9		4
Conceded first	7		14
Goals conceded	17		30
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		15%
Avg. XG against	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+38%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Albania v Finland will show here when available.

Albania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
86	12	6	15
E Hysaj	R Manaj	E Hysaj	E Hysaj

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Hysaj DEF	93	2	6	15 -
B Djimsiti DEF	70	1		11 1
E Berisha GLK	68			2 2
Y Ramadani MID	51	1	3	6 -
M Uzuni FWD	51	7	6	3 -
A Ismajli DEF	50	3		6 -
Q Laçi MID	47	4		8 -
R Manaj FWD	47	12	3	7 -
K Asllani MID	46	8	4	4 -
M Mitaj DEF	35			7 -
A Ajeti DEF	34	1	1	5 -
A Hoxha FWD	27	2	1	1 -
T Seferi FWD	27	3		1 -
E Muçi MID	21	4		-
M Daku FWD	19	1	1	4 -
N Aliji DEF	16		1	2 -
J Shehu MID	14			1 -
S Pilios DEF	5			1 -
A Sherri GLK	3			1 -
M Dajsinani GLK	3			-
L. Hasa MID	2			-
C. Shpendi FWD	2			-
K Cake DEF	1			-
S. Sina DEF	1			-
K Qefalija MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	38	6	20
R Manaj	R Manaj	E Hysaj	K Asllani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Manaj FWD	12	38	3	4
K Asllani MID	8	17	4	20
M Uzuni FWD	7	22	6	5
Q Laçi MID	4	9		5
E Muçi MID	4	3		1
A Ismajli DEF	3	4
T Seferi FWD	3	10		2
E Hysaj DEF	2	7	6	7
A Hoxha FWD	2	6	1	3
B Djimsiti DEF	1	1		2
Y Ramadani MID	1	5	3	2
A Ajeti DEF	1	1	1
M Daku FWD	1	3	1	5
M Mitaj DEF		2		4
N Aliji DEF			1
J Shehu MID		1
S Pilios DEF		2
S. Sina DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3048	69	211
B Djimsiti	Q Laçi	R Manaj

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Djimsiti DEF	3048	43	208
K Asllani MID	2189	38	117
A Ismajli DEF	2144	45	183
E Hysaj DEF	2018	51	174
M Mitaj DEF	1735	44	135
Y Ramadani MID	1456	68	185
Q Laçi MID	1060	69	126
A Ajeti DEF	809	16	46
J Shehu MID	659	26	73
E Berisha GLK	624		22
R Manaj FWD	615	24	211
M Uzuni FWD	577	23	119
A Hoxha FWD	309	8	56
T Seferi FWD	266	20	52
N Aliji DEF	232	5	17
E Muçi MID	216	5	27
S Pilios DEF	144	1	12
M Daku FWD	98	5	55
S. Sina DEF	87	2	3
A Sherri GLK	76		2
L. Hasa MID	22	1	4
M Dajsinani GLK	21
K Qefalija MID	12		1
C. Shpendi FWD	7	1	1

Finland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
97	22	5	9
L Hradecky	J Pohjanpalo	J Pohjanpalo	R Ivanov

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hradecky GLK	98			2 -
J Pohjanpalo FWD	90	22	5	6 -
R Ivanov DEF	43		1	9 -
B Källman FWD	40	11	4	4 -
F Jensen MID	37	8	2	1 -
K Kairinen MID	31	1	1	4 -
O Antman FWD	31	8	5	1 -
L Walta MID	18	5	4	-
O Valakari MID	18	1	2	1 -
A Suhonen MID	17			1 -
D Håkans FWD	17	4		1 -
M Tenho DEF	16			2 -
T Keskinen FWD	16			1 -
V Koski DEF	13			1 -
A Markhiyev MID	13	1		1 -
A Stahl DEF	10			1 -
J. Lähteenmäki MID	10		1	-
S Väänänen MID	9			-
V Sinisalo GLK	8			-
R Mahuta DEF	7			-
T Miettinen DEF	7	1		-
N Skyttä MID	6	1		-
A. Svanbäck FWD	4	1	2	-
L Bergström GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
22	30	5	11
J Pohjanpalo	J Pohjanpalo	J Pohjanpalo	O Antman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pohjanpalo FWD	22	30	5	8
B Källman FWD	11	25	4	9
F Jensen MID	8	11	2	2
O Antman FWD	8	19	5	11
L Walta MID	5	13	4	6
D Håkans FWD	4	6		2
K Kairinen MID	1	2	1	3
O Valakari MID	1	2	2
A Markhiyev MID	1	3		1
T Miettinen DEF	1	1
N Skyttä MID	1			1
A. Svanbäck FWD	1	1	2	1
R Ivanov DEF		1	1	1
A Suhonen MID		3		1
M Tenho DEF		1		1
T Keskinen FWD		7		1
V Koski DEF		1
A Stahl DEF		1		1
J. Lähteenmäki MID			1
R Mahuta DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2354	45	146
R Ivanov	R Ivanov	J Pohjanpalo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Ivanov DEF	2354	45	142
L Hradecky GLK	1701	1	14
K Kairinen MID	1175	39	65
V Koski DEF	790	10	44
M Tenho DEF	734	15	50
J Pohjanpalo FWD	719	18	146
O Antman FWD	614	22	70
A Markhiyev MID	589	23	78
L Walta MID	579	13	38
J. Lähteenmäki MID	498	13	36
A Suhonen MID	470	24	79
B Källman FWD	414	13	103
F Jensen MID	364	7	45
T Miettinen DEF	344	4	8
A Stahl DEF	298	8	27
V Sinisalo GLK	294		1
D Håkans FWD	262	6	50
O Valakari MID	211	12	26
R Mahuta DEF	203	12	25
T Keskinen FWD	201	13	39
S Väänänen MID	167	16	24
A. Svanbäck FWD	76	2	6
N Skyttä MID	55	1	5