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Bulgaria v Iceland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Nov, 19:45 BST, Stadion Hristo Botev,

Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson takes his Iceland troops to the Stadion Hristo Botev in the UEFA Nations League on Friday evening, with Atanas Ribarski's Bulgaria their rivals. UEFA Nations League stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Bulgaria and Iceland 3 goals or less combined during this UEFA Nations League clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Iceland coming away with a win.

	Bulgaria 3rd	Iceland 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Bulgaria scoring 1 goal or less	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Iceland will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-28 Bulgaria have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted	+18 Iceland have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.7 conceded

Games scored	12		14
Failed to score	8		6
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	25		29
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		20
Avg. XG for	0.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+13%

Games conceded	16		15
Clean sheets	4		5
Conceded first	8		7
Goals conceded	40		34
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	19%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+12%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Chochev MID	49	3	3	4 -
I Gruev MID	31			5 -
M Minchev FWD	31			1 -
M Petkov FWD	28	7	1	6 -
I Turitsov DEF	26		1	3 -
G Rusev FWD	25	4	1	4 -
A Kraev MID	22	1		5 -
A Iliev FWD	17	4	2	3 -
D Naumov GLK	16			-
D Velkovski DEF	16		1	4 -
H Petrov DEF	13			1 -
L Petkov FWD	12			4 -
Y Stoyanov MID	11			1 -
E. Tsenov DEF	8		1	2 -
S Velkov DEF	6			1 -
T. Valentinov Ivanov DEF	4			-
R. Bozhinov DEF	3			1 -
A Chandarov MID	3	1		-
K. Balov FWD	2	2		-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Gruev MID	1228	34	80
A Kraev MID	528	16	69
I Chochev MID	495	32	93
M Petkov FWD	457	27	89
I Turitsov DEF	387	23	45
D Velkovski DEF	370	16	32
D Naumov GLK	305		5
H Petrov DEF	302	13	26
G Rusev FWD	189	18	57
M Minchev FWD	182	17	56
S Velkov DEF	182	2	16
Y Stoyanov MID	160	9	11
E. Tsenov DEF	153	1	7
L Petkov FWD	143	7	29
A Iliev FWD	138	4	49
R. Bozhinov DEF	62	1	2
T. Valentinov Ivanov DEF	50		2
A Chandarov MID	35	5	14
K. Balov FWD	23	3	8

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Gunnarsson MID	83	5	4	12 1
D Joksimovic MID	79	28	14	9 -
V Pálsson DEF	57	6	1	6 -
J Thorsteinsson FWD	56	6	8	9 -
H Magnússon DEF	55	2	2	7 -
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	48	6	5	11 -
A Gudjohnsen FWD	43	12	3	3 -
M Anderson FWD	41	2	4	4 -
S Thórdarson MID	39	1	1	7 -
A Sigurdsson FWD	39	2	1	2 -
D Grétarsson DEF	35		1	4 -
H Haraldsson MID	34	3	6	6 -
H Valdimarsson GLK	27			2 -
R Rúnarsson GLK	26			-
A Sampsted DEF	22			1 -
O Óskarsson FWD	22	12	3	2 -
L Tómasson DEF	20	1	1	5 -
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	20	2	1	1 -
B Bjarnason DEF	17	2	1	1 -
A Baldursson MID	14			1 -
B Willumsson FWD	12	1		1 -
I Thorvaldsson FWD	9	1		2 -
A Einarsson GLK	2			-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Pálsson DEF	1933	69	258
D Grétarsson DEF	1360	31	102
H Haraldsson MID	1329	46	118
H Magnússon DEF	1298	42	118
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	1270	49	79
S Thórdarson MID	949	25	62
A Gunnarsson MID	839	29	88
D Joksimovic MID	832	35	124
J Thorsteinsson FWD	682	39	138
H Valdimarsson GLK	663	1	10
A Gudjohnsen FWD	549	13	134
R Rúnarsson GLK	494		7
A Sampsted DEF	452	21	41
A Sigurdsson FWD	413	15	80
B Bjarnason DEF	394	9	31
O Óskarsson FWD	343	2	49
M Anderson FWD	338	40	83
L Tómasson DEF	335	15	43
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	272	14	27
A Baldursson MID	174	7	21
B Willumsson FWD	96	2	28
A Einarsson GLK	47
I Thorvaldsson FWD	22	2	12

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bulgaria 23%	3/1 18%	-
Draw 25%	5/2 3%	-
Iceland 52%	17/20 10%	-
Iceland 1-0 12%	11/2 13%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 8%	-
Iceland 2-0 10%	15/2 11%	-
Iceland 2-1 9%	8/1 5%	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1 5%	-
Bulgaria 1-0 8%	9/1	-
Bulgaria 2-1 6%	14/1 25%	-
Iceland 3-0 5%	14/1 21%	-
Iceland 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	-
Bulgaria 2-0 4%	18/1 12%	-
Iceland 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Iceland 4-0 2%	33/1 17%	-
Iceland 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Bulgaria 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	43/40 1%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	8/11 1%	-
Home 1st Goal 42%	6/4 9%	-
Away 1st Goal 53%	4/6 3%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	10/11 4%	-
BTTS - No 51%	4/5 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 10%	15/2 21%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	7/2	-
Home/draw 48%	5/6 6%	-
Away/draw 77%	2/9 6%	-
Home/away 75%	2/7 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	9/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	11/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/4 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	19/2 5%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/25 1%	-

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bulgaria	0 - 0	Estonia
Bulgaria	1 - 2	Luxembourg
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
Bulgaria	2 - 1	Georgia
Bulgaria	1 - 6	Turkey
Bulgaria	0 - 3	Spain
Bulgaria	2 - 2	Cyprus
Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Belarus
Bulgaria	0 - 0	Luxembourg
Bulgaria	1 - 0	N Ireland
Bulgaria	2 - 2	Hungary
Bulgaria	0 - 2	Lithuania
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Iran
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Serbia
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
Bulgaria	5 - 1	Gibraltar
Bulgaria	2 - 5	Georgia
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Macedonia
Bulgaria	2 - 1	N Ireland

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bulgaria	2 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Bulgaria	0 - 3	Iceland
H	Bulgaria	0 - 0	Estonia
H	Bulgaria	1 - 2	Luxembourg
A	Bulgaria	2 - 2	Moldova
H	Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
A	Bulgaria	1 - 0	Indonesia
A	Bulgaria	10 - 2	Solomon Isl
H	Bulgaria	2 - 1	Georgia
A	Bulgaria	0 - 2	Turkey
A	Bulgaria	0 - 4	Spain
H	Bulgaria	1 - 6	Turkey
A	Bulgaria	0 - 3	Georgia
H	Bulgaria	0 - 3	Spain
A	Bulgaria	0 - 4	Greece
H	Bulgaria	2 - 2	Cyprus
A	Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
H	Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
H	Bulgaria	1 - 1	Belarus
A	Bulgaria	1 - 0	Luxembourg

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia	0 - 0	Iceland
Luxembourg	0 - 3	Iceland
Argentina	3 - 0	Iceland
Japan	1 - 0	Iceland
Haiti	1 - 1	Iceland
Canada	2 - 2	Iceland
Mexico	4 - 0	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 0	Iceland
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
France	2 - 1	Iceland
N Ireland	1 - 0	Iceland
Scotland	1 - 3	Iceland
Kosovo	2 - 1	Iceland
Wales	4 - 1	Iceland
Montenegro	0 - 2	Iceland
Turkey	3 - 1	Iceland
Netherlands	4 - 0	Iceland
England	0 - 1	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 1	Iceland
Israel	1 - 4	Iceland

Bulgaria v Iceland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

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