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Northern Ireland v Ukraine : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Nov, 19:45 BST, Windsor Park, Belfast

Michael O'Neill and Andrea Maldera clash in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday evening, as Northern Ireland face Ukraine at the Windsor Park. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will deliver more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. N Ireland and Ukraine have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in the UEFA Nations League individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think N Ireland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

	N Ireland 1st	Ukraine 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that N Ireland will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Ukraine will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 N Ireland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Ukraine’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.6 conceded

Games scored	15		15
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	12		10
Goals scored	22		27
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+3%

Games conceded	11		15
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	6		9
Goals conceded	22		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+25%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Magennis FWD	88	12	2	8 -
P McNair DEF	85	7	4	12 -
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	53			3 -
S Charles MID	39	2	6	5 -
J Thompson MID	39		2	6 -
I Price MID	36	11	2	4 -
T Hume DEF	35	1	1	6 -
C Brown DEF	34	2		5 -
D Ballard DEF	34	5		6 -
B Spencer DEF	27		2	2 1
P Smyth FWD	25	2	2	3 -
E Galbraith MID	19			4 -
J Devenny MID	18	1	1	2 -
C Marshall FWD	17		1	1 -
P Charles GLK	16		1	-
R. McConville DEF	16			1 -
J. Donley MID	14	2	1	1 -
C Hazard GLK	11			2 -
P Kelly MID	8	1		-
T Devlin DEF	7			-
T. Atcheson DEF	6	1		1
C. O’Neill FWD	4			-
K. Morrison FWD	3		1	-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P McNair DEF	1822	46	191
S Charles MID	1405	74	247
D Ballard DEF	1380	26	165
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	1280		14
T Hume DEF	1238	96	192
C Brown DEF	919	13	101
I Price MID	752	36	114
J Thompson MID	568	16	74
B Spencer DEF	523	43	118
P Charles GLK	472		8
E Galbraith MID	421	17	55
J Magennis FWD	384	5	170
J Devenny MID	378	45	76
R. McConville DEF	363	17	50
C Hazard GLK	165		2
T. Atcheson DEF	163	3	13
J. Donley MID	161	8	43
P Smyth FWD	138	13	58
T Devlin DEF	122	11	35
C Marshall FWD	116	16	22
P Kelly MID	81	7	20
K. Morrison FWD	29	2	2
C. O’Neill FWD	11	3	7

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Matvienko DEF	86		2	9 -
R Yaremchuk FWD	71	19	6	7 -
I Zabarnyi DEF	61	3		5 -
V Mykolenko DEF	54	1	4	10 1
M Shaparenko MID	53	2	3	6 -
H Sudakov MID	37	4	6	1 -
A Trubin GLK	30			1 -
V Vanat FWD	20	2		3 -
V Bondar DEF	11			2 -
O Ocheretko MID	11	1		2 -
Y Nazaryna MID	11			2 -
D Sikan FWD	10	2		2 -
Y Yarmoliuk MID	9			1 -
O Nazarenko FWD	7			1 -
D Riznyk GLK	6			-
M. Ponomarenko FWD	6	1		1 -
E Sarapiy DEF	5			-
T. Mykhavko DEF	3			1 -
I Krupskyi DEF	2			1 -
I. Krasnopir FWD	2			-
I Varfolomeev MID	1			-
O Andriyevskyi MID	1			-
H. Synchuk FWD	1			-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Matvienko DEF	4028	64	174
I Zabarnyi DEF	3364	61	182
V Mykolenko DEF	2073	82	199
M Shaparenko MID	1339	51	104
H Sudakov MID	1184	21	94
R Yaremchuk FWD	791	20	110
A Trubin GLK	741		13
V Bondar DEF	436	11	19
Y Yarmoliuk MID	326	19	34
O Ocheretko MID	270	28	44
E Sarapiy DEF	256	2	9
Y Nazaryna MID	189	5	13
T. Mykhavko DEF	162	5	15
V Vanat FWD	133	4	21
D Riznyk GLK	97		1
I Krupskyi DEF	75	6	10
D Sikan FWD	34	6	16
M. Ponomarenko FWD	23	1	5
O Nazarenko FWD	23	2	5
I. Krasnopir FWD	23		9
I Varfolomeev MID	5

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
N Ireland 41%	2.30 2%	-
Draw 27%	3.25 2%	-
Ukraine 32%	3.00 3%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	-
N Ireland 1-0 12%	7.00	-
Ukraine 1-0 10%	8.00 6%	-
Draw 0-0 9%	8.00 6%	-
N Ireland 2-1 9%	9.50	-
N Ireland 2-0 8%	10.00	-
Ukraine 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Ukraine 2-0 5%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	-
N Ireland 3-1 4%	21.00	-
N Ireland 3-0 3%	21.00	-
Ukraine 3-1 3%	29.00	-
N Ireland 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Ukraine 3-0 2%	34.00	-
Ukraine 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.40 9%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.53 7%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.83	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.20	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8.00 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	2.00 5%	-
BTTS - No 51%	1.73 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50 10%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.75	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	7.00	-
Home/draw 68%	1.36	-
Away/draw 59%	1.57 3%	-
Home/away 73%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.44 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2.63 12%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	4.50 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.18 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11.00 22%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.05 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	23.00 21%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.01 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08 1%	-

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland	0 - 0	Georgia
N Ireland	0 - 0	Hungary
N Ireland	1 - 0	Guinea
N Ireland	1 - 0	Luxembourg
N Ireland	0 - 1	Germany
N Ireland	2 - 0	Slovakia
N Ireland	1 - 0	Iceland
N Ireland	1 - 1	Switzerland
N Ireland	2 - 0	Belarus
N Ireland	5 - 0	Bulgaria
N Ireland	2 - 0	Luxembourg
N Ireland	2 - 0	Andorra
N Ireland	2 - 0	Denmark
N Ireland	0 - 1	Slovenia
N Ireland	3 - 0	San Marino
N Ireland	0 - 1	Kazakhstan
N Ireland	0 - 1	Finland
N Ireland	2 - 1	Kosovo
N Ireland	2 - 2	Cyprus
N Ireland	0 - 1	Greece

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Georgia
A	N Ireland	3 - 0	Ukraine
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Hungary
A	N Ireland	1 - 0	Georgia
A	N Ireland	1 - 3	France
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Guinea
A	N Ireland	1 - 1	Wales
A	N Ireland	0 - 2	Italy
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Luxembourg
A	N Ireland	0 - 1	Slovakia
H	N Ireland	0 - 1	Germany
H	N Ireland	2 - 0	Slovakia
A	N Ireland	1 - 3	Germany
A	N Ireland	3 - 1	Luxembourg
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Iceland
A	N Ireland	1 - 2	Denmark
A	N Ireland	1 - 5	Sweden
H	N Ireland	1 - 1	Switzerland
A	N Ireland	2 - 2	Luxembourg
H	N Ireland	2 - 0	Belarus

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Georgia	0 - 0	Ukraine
Hungary	0 - 1	Ukraine
Poland	0 - 2	Ukraine
France	4 - 0	Ukraine
Iceland	3 - 5	Ukraine
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
New Zealand	1 - 2	Ukraine
Canada	4 - 2	Ukraine
Belgium	3 - 0	Ukraine
Albania	1 - 2	Ukraine
Georgia	1 - 1	Ukraine
Czech Rep	3 - 2	Ukraine
Slovakia	1 - 2	Ukraine
Romania	3 - 0	Ukraine
Moldova	0 - 4	Ukraine
Poland	3 - 1	Ukraine
Germany	0 - 0	Ukraine
Bosnia	1 - 2	Ukraine
Malta	1 - 3	Ukraine
Italy	2 - 1	Ukraine

Northern Ireland v Ukraine : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between N Ireland v Ukraine will show here when available.

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