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Portugal v Denmark : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 19:45 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Portugal and Denmark take on one another at the Estádio José Alvalade on Sunday evening, with both Roberto Martínez Montoliú and Jakup a Borg aiming for victory in the UEFA Nations League. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for Portugal to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Portugal to win

We're predicting Portugal will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when that final whistle blows at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
66%
-1.50
Draw
19%
-4.00
Denmark
15%
-7.00
Portugal 2-0
10%
-6.50
Portugal 2-1
10%
-7.50
Portugal 1-0
9%
-6.00
Draw 1-1
9%
-7.00
Portugal 3-0
8%
-9.50
Portugal 3-1
7%
-11.00
Draw 2-2
5%
-15.00
Portugal 4-0
4%
-15.00
Denmark 2-1
4%
-17.00
Draw 0-0
4%
-9.00
Portugal 4-1
4%
-17.00
Denmark 1-0
4%
-13.00
Portugal 3-2
3%
-19.00
Portugal 4-2
2%
-29.00
Denmark 2-0
2%
-26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
-1.80
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
-1.91
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
-1.95
BTTS - No
45%
-1.75
BTTS - Home Win
32%
-3.30
BTTS - Draw
15%
-5.25
BTTS - Away Win
8%
-11.00
Home/draw
85%
-1.10
Away/draw
34%
-2.50
Home/away
81%
-1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
-1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
-3.50
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
-2.90
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
-1.36
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
-5.25
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
-1.13
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
-10.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
-1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1.05
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-9.00
Home DNB
79%
-1.14
Away DNB
28%
-5.00
Portugal win to nil
34%
--
Denmark win to nil
7%
--
Portugal / Portugal
35%
-2.25
Portugal / Denmark
2%
-34.00
Portugal / Draw
5%
-15.00
Draw / Portugal
20%
-3.90
Draw / Denmark
7%
-12.00
Draw / Draw
15%
-5.25
Denmark / Portugal
4%
-19.00
Denmark / Denmark
7%
-11.00
Denmark / Draw
5%
-15.00
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Win / draw / win form
Portugal
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal5 - 1Poland
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Portugal4 - 2Finland
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
Portugal2 - 0Iceland
Portugal3 - 2Slovakia
Portugal9 - 0Luxembourg
Portugal3 - 0Bosnia
Portugal4 - 0Liechtenstein
Portugal6 - 1Switzerland
Portugal2 - 0Uruguay
Portugal3 - 2Ghana
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 0Czech Rep
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortugal0 - 1Denmark
APortugal1 - 1Croatia
HPortugal5 - 1Poland
APortugal0 - 0Scotland
APortugal3 - 1Poland
HPortugal2 - 1Scotland
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
Denmark
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Serbia0 - 0Denmark
Switzerland2 - 2Denmark
Spain1 - 0Denmark
Germany2 - 0Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
N Ireland2 - 0Denmark
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
Finland0 - 1Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
Kazakhstan3 - 2Denmark
Australia1 - 0Denmark
France2 - 1Denmark
Croatia2 - 1Denmark
Austria1 - 2Denmark
France1 - 2Denmark
Netherlands4 - 2Denmark
Scotland2 - 0Denmark
Moldova0 - 4Denmark
Faroes 0 - 1Denmark
England2 - 1Denmark
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDenmark1 - 0Portugal
ADenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 2Spain
ADenmark2 - 2Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 1Spain
HDenmark2 - 0Serbia
HDenmark2 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2Germany
HDenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 1England
ADenmark1 - 1Slovenia
HDenmark3 - 1Norway
HDenmark2 - 1Sweden
HDenmark2 - 0Faroes
HDenmark0 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2N Ireland
HDenmark2 - 1Slovenia
ADenmark2 - 1San Marino
HDenmark3 - 1Kazakhstan
ADenmark1 - 0Finland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portugal since 2010
Portugal
Denmark
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Portugal1 - 0
Portugal3 - 1
League games at Denmark since 1996
Denmark
Portugal
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
POR
2
D
1
DEN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Denmark
Denmark1 - 0
0 - 1Portugal
2 - 3Portugal
Denmark2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is to be admired, R. Martínez Montoliú's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Denmark makes sense in this context.

Portugal Denmark
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Denmark scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Portugal have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-53
Denmark have scored 53% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288851/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Denmark
2.2
1
Attack rating
14%
better
POR
DEN
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score6
6
Scored first11
11
Goals scored40
25
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
POR
DEN
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded17
16
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Denmark will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1341042723
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD14210420
23
-
B Silva MID991327
6
-
B Fernandes MID772522
9
-
J Cancelo DEF60105
10
-
J Félix FWD4594
4
-
N Semedo DEF414
4
-
R Leão FWD3857
3
-
N Mendes  DEF344
3
-
D Costa GLK33
-
D Dalot DEF2834
3
-
Vitinha MID274
2
-
O Otávio MID2232
1
-
A Silva DEF171
-
P Neto FWD1522
2
-
J Neves MID14
1
-
F Trincão FWD9
-
F Conceição FWD812
2
-
R Veiga DEF4
1
-
J Sá GLK3
-
S Costa MID2
-
R Silva GLK1
-
T Djaló DEF1
-
N Tavares DEF1
1
-
T Araújo DEF1
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-
Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10937219
K SchmeichelC EriksenC EriksenP Höjbjerg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Eriksen MID1123721
3
-
K Schmeichel GLK109
6
-
Y Poulsen FWD861410
7
-
P Höjbjerg MID841110
9
-
K Dolberg FWD54112
2
-
J Vestergaard DEF4931
3
-
J Andersen DEF403
8
-
A Olsen FWD3889
-
J Wind FWD3587
3
-
C Nörgaard MID3311
7
-
M Damsgaard MID3149
1
-
R Höjlund FWD2381
3
-
A Bah DEF2011
1
-
V Kristiansen DEF173
2
-
V Nelsson DEF16
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1611
6
-
G Isaksen FWD72
1
-
A Grönbaek MID61
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF51
-
M O'Riley MID2
-
M Roerslev DEF1
-
M Frendrup MID1
-