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Portugal v Denmark : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Nov, 19:45 BST, Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

the Estádio Municipal de Braga crowd welcome Denmark's travelling contingent on Saturday evening, as Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus's Portugal take on Brian Riemer's charges in the UEFA Nations League. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head history, will update as you click through each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our predictions will too.


Best Tip: Portugal to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Portugal. Their recent form stats show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Denmark too. The odds point towards Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
66%
1.45
7%
-
Draw
19%
4.75
5%
-
Denmark
15%
5.75
18%
-
Portugal 2-0
10%
8.00
7%
-
Portugal 2-1
10%
8.50-
Portugal 1-0
9%
8.50-
Draw 1-1
9%
9.50
5%
-
Portugal 3-0
8%
11.00
16%
-
Portugal 3-1
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
11%
-
Denmark 2-1
4%
17.00
19%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Portugal 4-0
4%
19.00
12%
-
Denmark 1-0
4%
19.00
10%
-
Portugal 4-1
4%
19.00-
Portugal 3-2
3%
21.00-
Denmark 2-0
2%
34.00
17%
-
Portugal 4-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.57-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.35-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.44
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.75
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.73
4%
-
BTTS - No
45%
2.00
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.00-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9.50
14%
-
Home/draw
85%
1.14
4%
-
Away/draw
34%
2.63
12%
-
Home/away
81%
1.18
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.53-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.33
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.07-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00-
Home DNB
79%
1.18
4%
-
Away DNB
29%
4.50
18%
-
Portugal win to nil
34%
2.63
5%
-
Denmark win to nil
7%
11.00
15%
-
Portugal / Portugal
38%
2.20
10%
-
Portugal / Denmark
2%
41.00-
Portugal / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
-
Draw / Portugal
19%
4.33-
Draw / Denmark
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
7%
-
Denmark / Portugal
4%
19.00-
Denmark / Denmark
8%
11.00
8%
-
Denmark / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
-
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Win / draw / win form
4
Portugal have won 4 consecutive games
Portugal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal2 - 1Norway
Portugal1 - 0Wales
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
Portugal1 - 1Congo DR
Portugal2 - 1Nigeria
Portugal2 - 1Chile
Portugal9 - 1Armenia
Portugal2 - 2Hungary
Portugal1 - 0Ireland
Portugal2 - 2Spain
Portugal3 - 2Denmark
Portugal5 - 1Poland
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortugal2 - 1Norway
APortugal4 - 2Denmark
APortugal2 - 1Norway
HPortugal1 - 0Wales
HPortugal0 - 1Spain
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
APortugal0 - 0Colombia
HPortugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
HPortugal1 - 1Congo DR
HPortugal2 - 1Nigeria
HPortugal2 - 1Chile
APortugal2 - 0USA
APortugal0 - 0Mexico
HPortugal9 - 1Armenia
APortugal0 - 2Ireland
HPortugal2 - 2Hungary
HPortugal1 - 0Ireland
APortugal3 - 2Hungary
APortugal5 - 0Armenia
HPortugal2 - 2Spain
Denmark 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wales0 - 1Denmark
Norway3 - 2Denmark
Congo DR0 - 0Denmark
Czech Rep1 - 1Denmark
Scotland4 - 2Denmark
Belarus0 - 6Denmark
Greece0 - 3Denmark
Portugal3 - 2Denmark
Serbia0 - 0Denmark
Switzerland2 - 2Denmark
Spain1 - 0Denmark
Germany2 - 0Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
N Ireland2 - 0Denmark
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
Finland0 - 1Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
Kazakhstan3 - 2Denmark
Australia1 - 0Denmark
France2 - 1Denmark
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADenmark1 - 0Wales
HDenmark2 - 4Portugal
HDenmark2 - 0Wales
ADenmark2 - 3Norway
ADenmark0 - 0Congo DR
ADenmark1 - 1Czech Rep
HDenmark4 - 0Macedonia
ADenmark2 - 4Scotland
HDenmark2 - 2Belarus
HDenmark3 - 1Greece
ADenmark6 - 0Belarus
ADenmark3 - 0Greece
HDenmark0 - 0Scotland
HDenmark5 - 0Lithuania
HDenmark2 - 1N Ireland
ADenmark2 - 3Portugal
HDenmark1 - 0Portugal
ADenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 2Spain
ADenmark2 - 2Switzerland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portugal since 2010
Portugal
Denmark
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
POR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Portugal3 - 2
Portugal1 - 0
Portugal3 - 1
League games at Denmark since 1996
Denmark
Portugal
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
POR
3
D
1
DEN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Denmark
2 - 4Portugal
Denmark1 - 0
0 - 1Portugal
2 - 3Portugal
Denmark2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Portugal's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Portugal's defensive record is to be admired, J. Pinheiro de Jesus's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Denmark makes sense in this context.

Portugal 1st Denmark 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Denmark scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Portugal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Denmark have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Denmark
2.2
1
Attack rating
1%
better
POR
DEN
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first11
9
Goals scored45
41
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
2%
better
POR
DEN
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded18
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Denmark will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
93292814
B SilvaB FernandesB SilvaJ Cancelo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID1151428
10
-
B Fernandes MID972928
12
-
R Dias DEF8431
12
-
J Cancelo DEF77149
14
-
R Neves MID7216
8
-
J Félix FWD61156
6
-
D Costa GLK52
-
R Leão FWD5168
3
1
Vitinha MID4714
3
-
D Dalot DEF4035
3
-
J Palhinha MID4021
9
-
P Neto FWD3336
4
-
G Ramos FWD31145
-
J Neves MID304
2
-
R Veiga DEF221
4
-
F Trincão FWD2231
-
A Silva DEF201
-
T Araújo DEF7
1
-
N Tavares DEF5
1
-
R Silva GLK3
-
M Fernandes MID1
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-
C. Borges FWD1
-
Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
88161412
P HöjbjergR HöjlundM DamsgaardJ Andersen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Höjbjerg MID981113
11
-
J Maehle DEF62118
6
-
J Andersen DEF5423
12
-
M Damsgaard MID431014
1
-
A Olsen FWD4189
-
R Höjlund FWD38162
3
-
R Kristensen DEF372
5
-
M Jensen MID3213
3
-
M Hjulmand MID3111
6
-
A Bah DEF2211
1
-
G Isaksen FWD1971
2
-
V Nelsson DEF18
3
-
J Lindström FWD181
-
V. Froholdt MID1513
1
-
M Daramy FWD1312
2
-
A Grönbaek MID101
1
-
O Provstgaard DEF6
-
F Jörgensen GLK4
-
M Hermansen GLK4
1
-
M Bidstrup MID1
-
W Osula FWD1
-
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