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Serbia v Germany : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Nov, 19:45 BST, Rajko Mitic Stadium, Belgrade

Friday evening sees Veljko Paunovic’s Serbia and Jürgen Klopp’s Germany go head to head in a UEFA Nations League battle at the Rajko Mitic Stadium. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Germany to win

The turnout should be good at Rajko Mitic Stadium on Friday evening but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be coming away disappointed. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Germany getting the better of hosts Serbia. It could be a bruising afternoon for home gaffer Veljko Paunovic but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookie odds of 1.25 to back the away win.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 75% chance of Germany coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Serbia 11%	8.00 11%	-
Draw 15%	6.50 7%	-
Germany 75%	1.29 3%	-
Germany 2-0 9%	8.50 6%	-
Germany 2-1 9%	9.00 5%	-
Germany 3-0 9%	9.00 6%	-
Germany 3-1 8%	10.00	-
Germany 1-0 7%	11.00	-
Draw 1-1 7%	13.00	-
Germany 4-0 6%	13.00 8%	-
Germany 4-1 6%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	21.00	-
Germany 3-2 4%	21.00	-
Germany 5-0 3%	23.00 10%	-
Serbia 2-1 3%	21.00 9%	-
Germany 5-1 3%	23.00	-
Germany 4-2 3%	29.00	-
Draw 0-0 3%	26.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 71%	1.36	-
Under 2.5 Goals 29%	3.10	-
Home 1st Goal 39%	3.25 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 60%	1.33 2%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	26.00	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	1.73 4%	-
BTTS - No 43%	2.00 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 7%	12.00 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 12%	7.50 6%	-
BTTS - Away Win 39%	2.40 4%	-
Home/draw 25%	3.50 7%	-
Away/draw 89%	1.08 1%	-
Home/away 85%	1.11 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 88%	1.11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 12%	6.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 50%	1.91	-
Under 3.5 Goals 50%	1.80	-
Over 4.5 Goals 31%	3.25	-
Under 4.5 Goals 69%	1.33	-
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	5.50	-
Under 5.5 Goals 83%	1.14	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.01	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	23.00 12%	-
Home DNB 21%	6.50 7%	-
Away DNB 85%	1.11 1%	-
Serbia win to nil 4%	17.00	-
Germany win to nil 36%	2.38 6%	-
Serbia / Serbia 5%	17.00 11%	-
Serbia / Germany 5%	17.00	-
Serbia / Draw 4%	21.00	-
Draw / Serbia 4%	19.00 10%	-
Draw / Germany 21%	4.00	-
Draw / Draw 8%	10.00	-
Germany / Serbia 2%	41.00	-
Germany / Germany 46%	1.80 4%	-
Germany / Draw 4%	19.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Serbia have lost 6 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Serbia	1 - 2	Netherlands
Serbia	1 - 2	Greece
Serbia	2 - 1	Saudi Arabia
Serbia	2 - 1	Latvia
Serbia	0 - 1	Albania
Serbia	0 - 5	England
Serbia	3 - 0	Andorra
Serbia	2 - 0	Austria
Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
Serbia	2 - 0	Switzerland
Serbia	0 - 0	Spain
Serbia	0 - 1	England
Serbia	2 - 2	Bulgaria
Serbia	3 - 1	Montenegro
Serbia	1 - 2	Hungary
Serbia	3 - 2	Jordan
Serbia	2 - 0	Lithuania
Serbia	2 - 3	Switzerland
Serbia	4 - 1	Sweden
Serbia	4 - 1	Slovenia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Serbia	1 - 2	Netherlands
A	Serbia	0 - 2	Germany
H	Serbia	1 - 2	Netherlands
H	Serbia	1 - 2	Greece
A	Serbia	1 - 5	Mexico
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Cape Verde
H	Serbia	2 - 1	Saudi Arabia
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Spain
H	Serbia	2 - 1	Latvia
A	Serbia	0 - 2	England
A	Serbia	3 - 1	Andorra
H	Serbia	0 - 1	Albania
H	Serbia	0 - 5	England
A	Serbia	1 - 0	Latvia
H	Serbia	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Serbia	0 - 0	Albania
H	Serbia	2 - 0	Austria
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Austria
H	Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Switzerland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greece	0 - 0	Germany
Netherlands	1 - 1	Germany
Ecuador	2 - 1	Germany
USA	1 - 2	Germany
Switzerland	3 - 4	Germany
Luxembourg	0 - 2	Germany
N Ireland	0 - 1	Germany
Slovakia	2 - 0	Germany
Italy	1 - 2	Germany
Hungary	1 - 1	Germany
Bosnia	1 - 2	Germany
Netherlands	2 - 2	Germany
Spain	1 - 1	Germany
Switzerland	1 - 1	Germany
France	0 - 2	Germany
Austria	2 - 0	Germany
Mexico	2 - 2	Germany
USA	1 - 3	Germany
Poland	1 - 0	Germany
Costa Rica	2 - 4	Germany

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Germany	0 - 0	Greece
H	Germany	2 - 0	Serbia
H	Germany	0 - 1	Greece
A	Germany	1 - 1	Netherlands
H	Germany	1 - 1	Paraguay
A	Germany	1 - 2	Ecuador
H	Germany	2 - 1	Cote d'Ivoire
H	Germany	7 - 1	Curacao
A	Germany	2 - 1	USA
H	Germany	4 - 0	Finland
H	Germany	2 - 1	Ghana
A	Germany	4 - 3	Switzerland
H	Germany	6 - 0	Slovakia
A	Germany	2 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Germany	1 - 0	N Ireland
H	Germany	4 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
A	Germany	0 - 2	Slovakia
H	Germany	0 - 2	France
H	Germany	1 - 2	Portugal

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Serbia of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Germany.

Serbia have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. This run could continue, with Germany's PG an impressive 2.7.

	Serbia 4th	Germany 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	2.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Serbia scoring 1 goal or less	1 18% 2 24% 3 22% 4 15% 5+ 21% There is a 82% probability that Germany will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Serbia have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-36 Germany have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

SRB

GER

42%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		16
Failed to score	8		4
Scored first	5		13
Goals scored	19		43
Avg. goals scored	1		2.2
Avg. shots per game	9		14
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		15
Avg. XG for	1.4		2.2
KickOff rating		+42%

SRB

GER

26%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		13
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	13		6
Goals conceded	32		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+26%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Serbia v Germany will show here when available.

Serbia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
88	64	37	23
A Mitrović	A Mitrović	D Tadić	A Mitrović

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Mitrović FWD	104	64	4	23 -
D Tadić MID	102	19	37	8 -
F Kostić DEF	75	3	11	3 -
N Milenković DEF	71	3	1	13 2
S Lukic MID	66	2	5	13 -
N Maksimovic MID	64	1	1	7 -
A Zivkovic FWD	64	2	14	6 -
S Pavlovic DEF	59	5	1	17 1
S Milinković-Savić MID	58	9	6	5 -
L Jović FWD	56	12	3	3 -
D Vlahović FWD	41	16	8	-
L Samardžić MID	30	1	1	1 -
S Eraković DEF	25	1		3 -
V Milinković-Savić GLK	23			1 -
A Terzić DEF	17	1	2	3 -
K. Nedeljković DEF	14			1 -
Đorđe Petrović GLK	13			-
S Babic DEF	13	1		-
A Stankovic MID	10	1		-
M. Cvetković FWD	5	1		-
V. Kostov MID	4			-
N. Simić DEF	3			-
V Lucic FWD	3			-
F Stankovic GLK	2			-
V. Dragojević MID	2			2 -
D Rosic GLK	1			-
P. Sukacev DEF	1			-
S. Gudelj DEF	1			1 -
S. Dzodic MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
64	91	37	33
A Mitrović	A Mitrović	D Tadić	D Tadić

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Mitrović FWD	64	91	4	8
D Tadić MID	19	17	37	33
D Vlahović FWD	16	36	8	6
L Jović FWD	12	27	3	3
S Milinković-Savić MID	9	22	6	10
S Pavlovic DEF	5	12	1	4
F Kostić DEF	3	17	11	17
N Milenković DEF	3	3	1	1
S Lukic MID	2	5	5	2
A Zivkovic FWD	2	7	14	18
N Maksimovic MID	1	3	1	1
L Samardžić MID	1	6	1	3
S Eraković DEF	1			2
A Terzić DEF	1	1	2	7
S Babic DEF	1	1
A Stankovic MID	1	1		2
M. Cvetković FWD	1	2
K. Nedeljković DEF		1		2
S. Gudelj DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3135	120	354
N Milenković	S Pavlovic	S Pavlovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Milenković DEF	3135	86	293
S Pavlovic DEF	2821	120	354
S Lukic MID	1946	71	145
S Milinković-Savić MID	1838	54	232
D Tadić MID	1637	36	174
N Maksimovic MID	1329	50	105
A Mitrović FWD	1199	30	353
F Kostić DEF	1138	72	130
A Zivkovic FWD	1120	56	130
S Eraković DEF	732	32	59
V Milinković-Savić GLK	664	1	14
D Vlahović FWD	481	8	124
L Jović FWD	471	5	100
L Samardžić MID	452	25	66
S Babic DEF	326	9	24
A Terzić DEF	324	13	25
Đorđe Petrović GLK	321		5
A Stankovic MID	304	14	29
K. Nedeljković DEF	108	10	19
N. Simić DEF	57	4	6
V Lucic FWD	53		6
M. Cvetković FWD	35	2	9
S. Gudelj DEF	28	1	2
F Stankovic GLK	20
D Rosic GLK	17
S. Dzodic MID	13	1	2
V. Kostov MID	11	1	1
V. Dragojević MID	11
P. Sukacev DEF		1	1

Germany UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
113	25	31	11
J Kimmich	K Havertz	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Kimmich MID	116	10	31	11 -
K Havertz FWD	63	25	16	5 -
J Tah DEF	53	1		9 -
F Wirtz MID	48	12	16	4 -
M Stegen GLK	42			-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	30	1	4	9 -
N Füllkrug FWD	24	14	2	2 -
W Anton DEF	17			2 -
A Pavlović MID	17	1	1	1 -
M Mittelstädt DEF	16	1	3	3 -
F Nmecha MID	14	3	1	1 -
N Brown DEF	10	1	1	-
M Thiaw DEF	9			3 -
A Nübel GLK	4			-
L. Karl MID	4		1	-
P Treu DEF	3			1 -
T Bischof MID	3	1		-
J Urbig GLK	2			-
S. El Mala FWD	2			-
D Scherhant FWD	2			-
Y Ebnoutalib FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
25	55	31	48
K Havertz	K Havertz	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Havertz FWD	25	55	16	10
N Füllkrug FWD	14	23	2	11
F Wirtz MID	12	30	16	27
J Kimmich MID	10	34	31	48
F Nmecha MID	3	9	1	2
J Tah DEF	1	5		5
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1	6	4	6
A Pavlović MID	1	2	1	2
M Mittelstädt DEF	1	6	3	12
N Brown DEF	1	2	1	5
T Bischof MID	1	2
W Anton DEF		2		2
M Thiaw DEF		2
L. Karl MID		2	1	3
P Treu DEF				2
D Scherhant FWD		2		1
Y Ebnoutalib FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
6250	115	298
J Kimmich	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	6250	115	298
J Tah DEF	3273	41	119
F Wirtz MID	2016	53	155
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1781	45	130
K Havertz FWD	1475	38	168
A Pavlović MID	1151	25	54
M Mittelstädt DEF	684	26	52
W Anton DEF	675	9	39
M Stegen GLK	650		7
F Nmecha MID	522	27	66
M Thiaw DEF	443	14	38
N Brown DEF	312	26	34
N Füllkrug FWD	215	3	47
T Bischof MID	151	5	7
P Treu DEF	141	7	15
L. Karl MID	127	9	16
A Nübel GLK	116		1
J Urbig GLK	50
D Scherhant FWD	50	3	7
Y Ebnoutalib FWD	27	1	5
S. El Mala FWD	25	2	5