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Moldova v Kazakhstan : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Nov, 17:00 BST, Stadionul CPTF, Chişinău

Lilian Popescu's Moldova side will have home backing in the UEFA Nations League on Friday evening, as John van 't Schip's Kazakhstan arrive at the Stadionul CPTF. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Moldova and Kazakhstan have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Moldova are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

	Moldova 3rd	Kazakhstan 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Moldova will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Kazakhstan will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Moldova’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+4 Kazakhstan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	2.6 conceded

Games scored	12		13
Failed to score	8		5
Scored first	3		7
Goals scored	16		19
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	10		8
Conversion rate for	10		13
Avg. XG for	0.8		1
KickOff rating		+23%

Games conceded	19		15
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	17		11
Goals conceded	53		35
Avg. goals conceded	2.7		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		6
Conversion rate against	22%		16%
Avg. XG against	2.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+32%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Reabciuk DEF	66			19 -
V Rata MID	66	3	3	19 -
N Moțpan MID	35	3		7 -
V Stina MID	31	4	2	3 1
V Babohlo DEF	30	3		8 -
C Dros MID	19		1	2 -
D Celeadnic GLK	15			-
D Dumbravanu DEF	14			1 -
S Cojocari MID	13		1	-
S Bodisteanu FWD	13	1		1 -
S. Perciun MID	12	1	1	1
N Clescenco FWD	11	1		-
M. Gherasimencov DEF	9			-
I Iovu DEF	8			1 -
V. Fratea FWD	8			1 -
D Mandricenco FWD	8	1		1 -
M Stefan DEF	7			1 -
D Forov MID	7		1	-
A. Kozhukhar GLK	6			-
P. Popescu FWD	6	2		1 -
I Turcan FWD	6			-
E Tîmbur GLK	3			-
C. Cucoș DEF	2			-
O. David MID	1			-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Reabciuk DEF	1573	84	284
V Rata MID	1570	96	213
V Babohlo DEF	758	34	92
N Moțpan MID	516	47	108
C Dros MID	364	10	21
M. Gherasimencov DEF	310	6	24
D Celeadnic GLK	222		2
V Stina MID	214	7	26
S. Perciun MID	197	5	17
I Iovu DEF	195	7	18
D Dumbravanu DEF	181	4	13
V. Fratea FWD	134	1	13
S Bodisteanu FWD	129	7	29
C. Cucoș DEF	104	1	5
I Turcan FWD	101	3	8
D Forov MID	92	14	25
A. Kozhukhar GLK	86		2
D Mandricenco FWD	77		12
P. Popescu FWD	69	4	30
N Clescenco FWD	59	3	7
S Cojocari MID	48	11	20
M Stefan DEF	47	1	5
E Tîmbur GLK	33	1	1
O. David MID	3

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Kuat MID	70	6	2	26 -
S Maliy DEF	66	3	2	18 1
Y Vorogovskiy DEF	63	5	5	9 -
N Alip DEF	54	2	1	11 -
B Islamkhan MID	50	2	10	5 1
R Orazov MID	40	1	2	8 -
M Samorodov FWD	32	6	4	8 -
S Pokatilov GLK	28			2 -
T Erlanov DEF	22	2		5 -
I Chesnokov FWD	22	3		5 1
E Tapalov DEF	21		1	3 -
A Kasym DEF	16	2		4 -
A Abiken MID	15	1		7 -
Ğ. Kenjebek FWD	15	3	1	3 -
V Vassiljev MID	12		1	4 -
D. Karaman MID	9	1		-
N. Zhagorov DEF	8		1	-
R Karimov FWD	8	1		2 -
A Mrynskiy DEF	5			-
Z. Amir FWD	4		1	-
A Zarutskiy GLK	3			-
A. Zhumakhanov DEF	3			1 -
A. Ashirbek DEF	3			1 -
I. Bekbolat FWD	3			-
B Shayzada GLK	1			-
A. Tuyakbayev MID	1			-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Alip DEF	2194	117	262
Y Vorogovskiy DEF	1695	91	218
S Maliy DEF	1671	68	251
I Kuat MID	1053	39	109
B Islamkhan MID	875	18	67
T Erlanov DEF	776	31	71
R Orazov MID	683	43	95
A Kasym DEF	468	8	38
A Abiken MID	419	26	66
S Pokatilov GLK	402		5
M Samorodov FWD	335	24	75
E Tapalov DEF	297	22	47
I Chesnokov FWD	284	32	98
D. Karaman MID	211	14	25
V Vassiljev MID	186	3	13
Ğ. Kenjebek FWD	171	15	47
N. Zhagorov DEF	128	10	17
A Mrynskiy DEF	89	9	11
R Karimov FWD	52	4	20
A. Zhumakhanov DEF	40	6	8
A. Ashirbek DEF	33	10	13
A Zarutskiy GLK	31
Z. Amir FWD	26		6
I. Bekbolat FWD	25	4	5
A. Tuyakbayev MID	25	1	4

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Moldova 37%	6/4 5%	-
Draw 28%	21/10	-
Kazakhstan 35%	7/4 5%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2 8%	-
Moldova 1-0 12%	11/2 7%	-
Kazakhstan 1-0 11%	6/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	6/1	-
Moldova 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Kazakhstan 2-1 8%	11/1 9%	-
Moldova 2-0 7%	10/1 8%	-
Kazakhstan 2-0 6%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	-
Moldova 3-1 3%	22/1 12%	-
Kazakhstan 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Moldova 3-0 3%	22/1 12%	-
Kazakhstan 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	-
Moldova 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Kazakhstan 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	11/8	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	8/15	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	1/1 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10 2%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 53%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1 8%	-
Home/draw 65%	2/5 3%	-
Away/draw 63%	1/2 4%	-
Home/away 72%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	4/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	7/2 4%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	15/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/12	-

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moldova	0 - 4	Slovakia
Moldova	1 - 1	Faroes
Moldova	2 - 2	Bulgaria
Moldova	0 - 2	Lithuania
Moldova	0 - 2	Italy
Moldova	0 - 4	Israel
Moldova	2 - 3	Estonia
Moldova	0 - 5	Norway
Moldova	2 - 0	Andorra
Moldova	1 - 0	San Marino
Moldova	2 - 0	Malta
Moldova	0 - 4	Ukraine
Moldova	3 - 2	Cyprus
Moldova	1 - 1	Albania
Moldova	3 - 2	Poland
Moldova	0 - 0	Czech Rep
Moldova	1 - 1	Faroes
Moldova	0 - 5	Romania
Moldova	1 - 2	Azerbaijan
Moldova	2 - 0	Liechtenstein

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Moldova	0 - 4	Slovakia
A	Moldova	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
H	Moldova	1 - 1	Faroes
A	Moldova	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Armenia
H	Moldova	2 - 2	Bulgaria
A	Moldova	2 - 3	Cyprus
H	Moldova	0 - 2	Lithuania
A	Moldova	1 - 4	Israel
H	Moldova	0 - 2	Italy
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Estonia
A	Moldova	1 - 2	Romania
A	Moldova	1 - 11	Norway
H	Moldova	0 - 4	Israel
A	Moldova	0 - 2	Italy
A	Moldova	0 - 2	Poland
H	Moldova	2 - 3	Estonia
H	Moldova	0 - 5	Norway
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Gibraltar
A	Moldova	1 - 0	Andorra

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slovakia	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
Faroes	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
Hungary	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
Armenia	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
Macedonia	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
Belgium	6 - 0	Kazakhstan
Belarus	4 - 1	Kazakhstan
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Kazakhstan
Wales	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
Norway	5 - 0	Kazakhstan
Austria	4 - 0	Kazakhstan
Slovenia	3 - 0	Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan	3 - 2	Kazakhstan
Armenia	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
Luxembourg	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
Greece	5 - 0	Kazakhstan
Slovenia	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
Finland	1 - 2	Kazakhstan
Denmark	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
N Ireland	0 - 1	Kazakhstan

Moldova v Kazakhstan : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

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