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Montenegro v Latvia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Nov, 19:45 BST, ,

Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Montenegro to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this game, and it's Montenegro. Their recent form statistics show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Latvia too. The odds point towards Mirko Vučinić's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Thursday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montenegro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Montenegro
72%
1/3
4%
-
Draw
18%
7/2
4%
-
Latvia
10%
7/1
7%
-
Montenegro 2-0
14%
5/1-
Montenegro 1-0
13%
11/2
8%
-
Montenegro 3-0
10%
7/1
6%
-
Montenegro 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
6%
-
Montenegro 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Montenegro 4-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Latvia 1-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Montenegro 4-1
4%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Latvia 2-1
3%
25/1
13%
-
Montenegro 5-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Montenegro 3-2
2%
33/1-
Montenegro 5-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/3
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
11/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
11/8
8%
-
BTTS - No
57%
8/15
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/4
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
16/1
13%
-
Home/draw
90%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
28%
15/8
4%
-
Home/away
82%
1/8
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
85%
1/10
3%
-
Away DNB
23%
11/2
18%
-
Montenegro win to nil
45%
10/11
9%
-
Latvia win to nil
6%
12/1-
Montenegro / Montenegro
43%
10/11
7%
-
Montenegro / Latvia
2%
40/1
20%
-
Montenegro / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw / Montenegro
21%
3/1-
Draw / Latvia
5%
14/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Latvia / Montenegro
4%
22/1-
Latvia / Latvia
5%
14/1
15%
-
Latvia / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Montenegro 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montenegro0 - 0Armenia
Montenegro2 - 1Cyprus
Montenegro2 - 3Slovenia
Montenegro2 - 0Andorra
Montenegro2 - 3Croatia
Montenegro2 - 1Liechtenstein
Montenegro0 - 2Czech Rep
Montenegro2 - 2Armenia
Montenegro1 - 0Faroes
Montenegro3 - 1Gibraltar
Montenegro3 - 1Turkey
Montenegro0 - 2Iceland
Montenegro1 - 2Wales
Montenegro1 - 3Georgia
Montenegro1 - 0Macedonia
Montenegro2 - 0Lithuania
Montenegro3 - 2Lebanon
Montenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
Montenegro1 - 4Czech Rep
Montenegro0 - 0Hungary
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontenegro0 - 0Armenia
AMontenegro2 - 1Latvia
AMontenegro3 - 2Armenia
HMontenegro2 - 1Cyprus
AMontenegro2 - 2Slovakia
AMontenegro1 - 0Bulgaria
HMontenegro2 - 3Slovenia
HMontenegro2 - 0Andorra
HMontenegro2 - 3Croatia
AMontenegro2 - 1Gibraltar
HMontenegro2 - 1Liechtenstein
AMontenegro0 - 4Faroes
AMontenegro0 - 4Croatia
HMontenegro0 - 2Czech Rep
HMontenegro2 - 2Armenia
AMontenegro0 - 2Czech Rep
HMontenegro1 - 0Faroes
HMontenegro3 - 1Gibraltar
HMontenegro3 - 1Turkey
HMontenegro0 - 2Iceland
Latvia 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cyprus2 - 1Latvia
Armenia2 - 0Latvia
Gibraltar0 - 1Latvia
Serbia2 - 1Latvia
Albania1 - 0Latvia
England3 - 0Latvia
Andorra0 - 1Latvia
Macedonia1 - 0Latvia
Faroes1 - 1Latvia
Armenia4 - 1Latvia
Cyprus1 - 1Latvia
Poland2 - 0Latvia
Turkey4 - 0Latvia
Croatia5 - 0Latvia
Armenia2 - 1Latvia
Wales1 - 0Latvia
Ireland3 - 2Latvia
Andorra1 - 1Latvia
Liechtenstein0 - 2Latvia
Moldova2 - 4Latvia
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALatvia1 - 2Cyprus
HLatvia1 - 2Montenegro
HLatvia0 - 0Cyprus
ALatvia0 - 2Armenia
HLatvia1 - 0Gibraltar
ALatvia1 - 0Gibraltar
ALatvia1 - 2Serbia
HLatvia0 - 5England
HLatvia2 - 2Andorra
ALatvia0 - 1Albania
HLatvia0 - 1Serbia
HLatvia1 - 1Albania
HLatvia0 - 0Azerbaijan
ALatvia0 - 3England
ALatvia1 - 0Andorra
HLatvia1 - 2Armenia
ALatvia0 - 1Macedonia
ALatvia1 - 1Faroes
HLatvia0 - 3Macedonia
HLatvia1 - 0Faroes
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Latvia fans, as should a 8 UEFA Nations League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Montenegro 1st Latvia 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Montenegro will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Latvia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Montenegro have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-37
Latvia have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Montenegro
PG (predicted goals)
Latvia
2.2
0.7
Attack rating
41%
better
MNE
LVA
view stats
Games scored14
9
Failed to score6
9
Scored first8
4
Goals scored29
10
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.5
Avg. shots per game11
6
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
MNE
LVA
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded32
28
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Montenegro v Latvia will show here when available.

Montenegro UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
67271820
S Savic S Jovetic S Jovetic S Savic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Jovetic  FWD722718
6
-
S Savic  DEF6771
20
-
M Jankovic MID65110
13
1
M Vesovic DEF6322
19
-
I Vujacic DEF471
15
-
R Radunovic DEF4514
5
-
M Osmajic FWD39101
7
-
N Krstovic FWD38104
6
-
S Haksabanovic FWD3516
-
S Loncar MID30
4
1
D Petkovic GLK29
-
M Brnović MID17
4
-
S Rubezic DEF141
3
-
M Vukotic MID13
1
-
A. Bulatović MID111
2
-
V Adžić MID104
-
I Nikić GLK9
1
-
M. Roganović DEF9
-
V Đukanović FWD91
-
B. Popović GLK8
-
O Gašević DEF61
1
-
M Perovic MID5
-
M. Šimun MID5
1
-
S Milic DEF2
-
A. Đurić DEF21
-
A Latkovic MID21
2
-
D. Vukanić MID1
-
Latvia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6614617
A CiganiksV GutkovskisR SavalnieksA Ciganiks
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ciganiks DEF7243
17
-
R Savalnieks DEF6726
9
-
J Ikaunieks MID6691
15
-
V Gutkovskis FWD64146
10
1
R Jurkovskis DEF591
4
-
R Uldrikis FWD5573
8
-
A Cernomordijs DEF4931
13
-
E Emsis MID3212
10
-
D Zelenkovs MID2811
2
-
E Daskevics FWD281
3
-
D Balodis DEF271
2
-
L Vapne MID221
1
-
R Matrevics GLK21
-
D Melniks MID15
2
-
M Tonisevs DEF8
-
M. Strods MID41
-
N Purins GLK3
-
O. Vientiess DEF3
-
D Cirkin DEF3
-
D. Patijčuks FWD3
1
-
K. Grabovskis MID2
-
K Cudars MID21
-
A. Aleksanjan FWD2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Turkey v Belgium
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San Marino v Belarus
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Montenegro v Latvia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Finland
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Czech Rep v Spain
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England v Croatia
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Italy v France
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Moldova v Kazakhstan
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Andorra v Gibraltar
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Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
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Slovakia v Faroes
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Estonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Iceland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Macedonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovenia v Switzerland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Greece
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Germany
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Israel
Sat 14th Nov, 14:00
Georgia v Hungary
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Norway v Wales
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Portugal v Denmark
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Ukraine
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Bosnia
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Austria v Ireland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Poland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Cyprus v Montenegro
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Belarus v Albania
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Finland v San Marino
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Spain v England
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Belgium v Italy
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Czech Rep
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
France v Turkey
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Iceland v Luxembourg
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Estonia v Bulgaria
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Scotland
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v N Ireland
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45