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Poland v Sweden : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Nov, 19:45 BST, Tarczyński Arena, Wroclaw

Graham Potter is aiming for a precious away win in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday evening, as he takes his Sweden side to the Tarczyński Arena to visit Poland and Jan Urban. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to UEFA Nations League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Poland
49%
--
Draw
23%
--
Sweden
28%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Poland 2-1
9%
--
Poland 1-0
8%
--
Poland 2-0
7%
--
Sweden 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Sweden 1-0
6%
--
Poland 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Poland 3-0
4%
--
Sweden 2-0
4%
--
Poland 3-2
4%
--
Sweden 3-1
3%
--
Sweden 3-2
3%
--
Poland 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Poland win to nil
23%
--
Sweden win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Poland 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland6 - 0Romania
Poland0 - 0Bosnia
Poland2 - 2Nigeria
Poland0 - 2Ukraine
Poland2 - 1Albania
Poland1 - 1Netherlands
Poland1 - 0New Zealand
Poland3 - 1Finland
Poland2 - 0Moldova
Poland2 - 0Malta
Poland1 - 0Lithuania
Poland1 - 2Scotland
Poland3 - 3Croatia
Poland1 - 3Portugal
Poland1 - 3Austria
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Poland2 - 1Turkey
Poland3 - 1Ukraine
Poland5 - 1Estonia
Poland2 - 0Latvia
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APoland0 - 1Bosnia
HPoland6 - 0Romania
APoland1 - 3Sweden
HPoland0 - 0Bosnia
HPoland2 - 2Nigeria
HPoland0 - 2Ukraine
APoland2 - 3Sweden
HPoland2 - 1Albania
APoland3 - 2Malta
HPoland1 - 1Netherlands
APoland2 - 0Lithuania
HPoland1 - 0New Zealand
HPoland3 - 1Finland
APoland1 - 1Netherlands
APoland1 - 2Finland
HPoland2 - 0Moldova
HPoland2 - 0Malta
HPoland1 - 0Lithuania
HPoland1 - 2Scotland
APoland1 - 5Portugal
Sweden 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Romania0 - 1Sweden
Bosnia1 - 1Sweden
France3 - 0Sweden
Japan1 - 1Sweden
Netherlands5 - 1Sweden
Norway3 - 1Sweden
Ukraine1 - 3Sweden
Switzerland4 - 1Sweden
Kosovo2 - 0Sweden
Slovenia2 - 2Sweden
Hungary0 - 2Sweden
Luxembourg1 - 0Sweden
Estonia0 - 3Sweden
Slovakia2 - 2Sweden
Azerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
Denmark2 - 1Sweden
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
Azerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
Belgium1 - 1Sweden
Estonia0 - 5Sweden
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASweden1 - 0Romania
ASweden1 - 1Bosnia
HSweden3 - 1Poland
HSweden2 - 1Romania
ASweden0 - 3France
ASweden1 - 1Japan
ASweden1 - 5Netherlands
HSweden5 - 1Tunisia
HSweden2 - 2Greece
ASweden1 - 3Norway
HSweden3 - 2Poland
ASweden3 - 1Ukraine
HSweden1 - 1Slovenia
ASweden1 - 4Switzerland
HSweden0 - 1Kosovo
HSweden0 - 2Switzerland
ASweden0 - 2Kosovo
ASweden2 - 2Slovenia
HSweden4 - 3Algeria
ASweden2 - 0Hungary
Goal Statistics

Poland's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Sweden have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League matches. A PG of 1.8 for J. Urban's side suggests that run should continue.

Poland 3rd Sweden 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Poland will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sweden will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Poland have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Sweden’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Poland
PG (predicted goals)
Sweden
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
POL
SWE
3%
better
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first9
10
Goals scored32
33
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.7
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for13
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
22%
better
POL
SWE
view stats
Games conceded13
18
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded26
36
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Poland v Sweden will show here when available.

Poland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
114772518
R Lewandowski R Lewandowski R Lewandowski J Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lewandowski  FWD1207725
12
-
P Zielinski MID1081717
6
-
J Bednarek DEF782
18
-
S Szymanski MID5778
2
-
P Frankowski DEF5536
5
-
K Swiderski FWD54142
5
-
J Kiwior DEF4821
3
-
N Zalewski MID3948
6
-
T Kedziora DEF3812
5
-
M Cash DEF294
5
-
T Puchacz DEF162
5
-
M Skóraś FWD162
-
K Urbański MID143
-
K Piatkowski DEF811
1
-
B Dragowski GLK4
-
W. Nowak MID4
-
M Żukowski FWD4
-
K. Potulski DEF21
-
M. Reguła MID2
-
Sweden UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
812596
V LindelöfV GyökeresV GyökeresV Lindelöf
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Lindelöf DEF8432
6
-
A Isak FWD61188
5
-
V Gyökeres FWD41259
2
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF32
4
-
J Karlström MID291
5
-
Y Ayari MID2764
3
-
C Starfelt DEF22
1
-
D Svensson DEF19
2
-
L Bergvall MID182
2
-
A Bernhardsson FWD182
2
-
B Nygren MID1743
-
V Johansson GLK16
1
-
E Holm DEF1622
1
-
G Lagerbielke DEF1521
2
-
H Ekdal DEF141
2
-
H Larsson MID14
-
S Nanasi FWD1434
-
B Zeneli MID131
1
-
E Stroud FWD6
-
H Bolin FWD3
-
E. Skoglund DEF2
-
W Swedberg FWD2
-
P Wålemark FWD21
-
F Beijmo DEF1
1
-
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Belgium v Italy
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Croatia v Czech Rep
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France v Turkey
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Kazakhstan v Slovakia
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Faroes v Moldova
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Iceland v Luxembourg
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Estonia v Bulgaria
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Lithuania v Liechtenstein
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Gibraltar v Malta
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Switzerland v Scotland
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Macedonia v Slovenia
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Germany v Netherlands
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Greece v Serbia
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Israel v Austria
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Ukraine v Georgia
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Ireland v Kosovo
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Poland v Sweden
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Wales v Portugal
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