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Romania v Poland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Nov, 19:45 BST, National Arena, Bucuresti

Romania are in UEFA Nations League action on Saturday evening, as Gheorghe Hagi attempts to outsmart Jan Urban and his Poland side at the National Arena. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Romania or Poland are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Poland coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Romania 27%	3.80 6%	-
Draw 24%	3.50	-
Poland 50%	1.95 3%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	-
Poland 2-1 10%	8.50 6%	-
Poland 1-0 9%	8.50	-
Poland 2-0 8%	10.00	-
Romania 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Romania 1-0 6%	13.00 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	-
Poland 3-1 6%	15.00	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12.00	-
Poland 3-0 5%	17.00	-
Romania 2-0 4%	21.00 11%	-
Poland 3-2 3%	23.00	-
Romania 3-1 3%	29.00 12%	-
Poland 4-1 2%	29.00 15%	-
Romania 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	1.80	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	2.00	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.30 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 53%	1.67 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12.00	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	1.67	-
BTTS - No 42%	2.10	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	7.00 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 25%	3.75	-
Home/draw 50%	1.80	-
Away/draw 73%	1.25 3%	-
Home/away 76%	1.29	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.22	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	2.75	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1.40	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5.50	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1.14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	11.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.05	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12.00	-
Home DNB 43%	2.75 5%	-
Away DNB 66%	1.40 3%	-
Romania win to nil 12%	7.00	-
Poland win to nil 25%	3.50 7%	-
Romania / Romania 14%	6.00 9%	-
Romania / Poland 4%	21.00	-
Romania / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Romania 10%	8.00	-
Draw / Poland 17%	5.00 9%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00	-
Poland / Romania 3%	29.00	-
Poland / Poland 27%	3.10 3%	-
Poland / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Romania have lost 4 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Romania	0 - 1	Sweden
Romania	2 - 4	Bosnia
Romania	2 - 1	Wales
Romania	7 - 1	San Marino
Romania	1 - 0	Austria
Romania	2 - 1	Moldova
Romania	0 - 3	Canada
Romania	2 - 0	Cyprus
Romania	0 - 1	Bosnia
Romania	4 - 1	Cyprus
Romania	0 - 0	Kosovo
Romania	3 - 1	Lithuania
Romania	0 - 3	Netherlands
Romania	3 - 0	Ukraine
Romania	0 - 0	Liechtenstein
Romania	0 - 0	Bulgaria
Romania	1 - 1	N Ireland
Romania	1 - 0	Switzerland
Romania	4 - 0	Andorra
Romania	2 - 0	Kosovo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Romania	0 - 1	Sweden
A	Romania	0 - 6	Poland
H	Romania	2 - 4	Bosnia
A	Romania	1 - 2	Sweden
H	Romania	2 - 1	Wales
A	Romania	1 - 1	Georgia
A	Romania	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Romania	0 - 1	Turkey
H	Romania	7 - 1	San Marino
A	Romania	1 - 3	Bosnia
H	Romania	1 - 0	Austria
H	Romania	2 - 1	Moldova
A	Romania	2 - 2	Cyprus
H	Romania	0 - 3	Canada
H	Romania	2 - 0	Cyprus
A	Romania	1 - 2	Austria
A	Romania	5 - 1	San Marino
H	Romania	0 - 1	Bosnia
H	Romania	4 - 1	Cyprus
H	Romania	0 - 0	Kosovo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bosnia	1 - 0	Poland
Sweden	3 - 1	Poland
Sweden	3 - 2	Poland
Malta	2 - 3	Poland
Lithuania	0 - 2	Poland
Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
Finland	2 - 1	Poland
Portugal	5 - 1	Poland
Croatia	1 - 0	Poland
Scotland	2 - 3	Poland
France	1 - 1	Poland
Wales	0 - 0	Poland
Faroes	0 - 2	Poland
Albania	2 - 0	Poland
Moldova	3 - 2	Poland
Czech Rep	3 - 1	Poland
France	3 - 1	Poland
Mexico	0 - 0	Poland
Wales	0 - 1	Poland
Netherlands	2 - 2	Poland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Poland	0 - 1	Bosnia
H	Poland	6 - 0	Romania
A	Poland	1 - 3	Sweden
H	Poland	0 - 0	Bosnia
H	Poland	2 - 2	Nigeria
H	Poland	0 - 2	Ukraine
A	Poland	2 - 3	Sweden
H	Poland	2 - 1	Albania
A	Poland	3 - 2	Malta
H	Poland	1 - 1	Netherlands
A	Poland	2 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	1 - 0	New Zealand
H	Poland	3 - 1	Finland
A	Poland	1 - 1	Netherlands
A	Poland	1 - 2	Finland
H	Poland	2 - 0	Moldova
H	Poland	2 - 0	Malta
H	Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	1 - 2	Scotland
A	Poland	1 - 5	Portugal

Goal Statistics

Poland's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Romania have conceded in each of their last 10 UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 1.7 for J. Urban's side suggests that run should continue.

	Romania 4th	Poland 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Romania will score no more than 1 goal	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Poland will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Romania have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-14 Poland have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ROU

POL

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		17
Failed to score	6		3
Scored first	8		9
Goals scored	31		32
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+10%

ROU

POL

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		13
Clean sheets	3		7
Conceded first	10		10
Goals conceded	30		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+14%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Romania v Poland will show here when available.

Romania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
76	15	11	17
N Stanciu	N Stanciu	R Marin	N Bancu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Stanciu MID	89	15	7	12 -
R Marin MID	78	12	11	11 -
I Hagi MID	56	8	5	6 -
N Bancu DEF	55	2	11	17 -
D Man FWD	48	12	7	4 -
A Rațiu DEF	41	2	3	3 -
A Cicaldau MID	40	5	1	2 -
V Mihăilă FWD	39	5	3	5 1
M Marin MID	35			10 -
R Drăguşin DEF	31	1		4 1
F Tanase MID	31	5	3	2 1
D Olaru MID	30		1	1 -
O Morutan FWD	18	1	6	2 -
T Băluță MID	15			2 -
I Radu GLK	11			-
V Ghiţă DEF	11	1		2 -
V Dragomir MID	11			1 -
D Birligea FWD	11	3	1	-
V Screciu DEF	9			2 -
L Munteanu FWD	7	3		-
A Coubis DEF	6			1 -
B Racovitan DEF	6			1 -
L. Eissat DEF	5		1	-
R Oprut DEF	5			-
C Cîrjan MID	4			1 -
O Hindrich GLK	3			-
M Ilie DEF	3			1 -
A Borza DEF	2			1 -
T Strata DEF	2			-
D. Matei MID	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	38	11	16
N Stanciu	N Stanciu	R Marin	N Stanciu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Stanciu MID	15	38	7	16
R Marin MID	12	31	11	13
D Man FWD	12	30	7	10
I Hagi MID	8	22	5	9
A Cicaldau MID	5	12	1	1
V Mihăilă FWD	5	13	3	5
F Tanase MID	5	8	3	2
D Birligea FWD	3	10	1	1
L Munteanu FWD	3	5
N Bancu DEF	2	7	11	10
A Rațiu DEF	2	8	3	7
R Drăguşin DEF	1	2
O Morutan FWD	1	2	6	5
V Ghiţă DEF	1	1		1
M Marin MID				3
D Olaru MID		4	1	3
T Băluță MID		3
V Dragomir MID		1		2
L. Eissat DEF			1	1
C Cîrjan MID				1
D. Matei MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2218	114	220
R Marin	N Bancu	N Stanciu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Marin MID	2218	59	154
N Stanciu MID	2100	69	220
N Bancu DEF	1985	114	217
A Rațiu DEF	1409	76	171
I Hagi MID	1051	45	152
D Man FWD	1014	36	151
R Drăguşin DEF	994	16	93
M Marin MID	918	66	138
A Cicaldau MID	651	29	72
V Mihăilă FWD	501	23	72
D Olaru MID	427	18	51
F Tanase MID	402	19	47
T Băluță MID	385	18	45
V Ghiţă DEF	366	9	23
V Screciu DEF	360	14	31
O Morutan FWD	325	10	48
L. Eissat DEF	295	4	19
I Radu GLK	288		4
V Dragomir MID	270	4	20
A Coubis DEF	227	5	10
M Ilie DEF	193	5	10
D Birligea FWD	161	7	36
B Racovitan DEF	93		4
R Oprut DEF	65	1	6
O Hindrich GLK	64
C Cîrjan MID	58	4	6
L Munteanu FWD	51	2	13
A Borza DEF	46		1
T Strata DEF	31
D. Matei MID	21	1	2

Poland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
114	77	25	18
R Lewandowski	R Lewandowski	R Lewandowski	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Lewandowski FWD	120	77	25	12 -
P Zielinski MID	108	17	17	6 -
J Bednarek DEF	78	2		18 -
S Szymanski MID	57	7	8	2 -
P Frankowski DEF	55	3	6	5 -
K Swiderski FWD	54	14	2	5 -
J Kiwior DEF	48	2	1	3 -
N Zalewski MID	39	4	8	6 -
T Kedziora DEF	38	1	2	5 -
M Cash DEF	29	4		5 -
T Puchacz DEF	16		2	5 -
M Skóraś FWD	16		2	-
K Urbański MID	14		3	-
K Piatkowski DEF	8	1	1	1 -
B Dragowski GLK	4			-
W. Nowak MID	4			-
M Żukowski FWD	4			-
K. Potulski DEF	2	1		-
M. Reguła MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
77	75	25	23
R Lewandowski	R Lewandowski	R Lewandowski	P Zielinski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Lewandowski FWD	77	75	25	21
P Zielinski MID	17	35	17	23
K Swiderski FWD	14	36	2	10
S Szymanski MID	7	19	8	20
N Zalewski MID	4	13	8	13
M Cash DEF	4	13		3
P Frankowski DEF	3	10	6	13
J Bednarek DEF	2	7		1
J Kiwior DEF	2	8	1	6
T Kedziora DEF	1	2	2	2
K Piatkowski DEF	1	3	1	2
K. Potulski DEF	1
T Puchacz DEF			2	4
M Skóraś FWD		2	2	1
K Urbański MID		2	3	4
W. Nowak MID		1		1
M Żukowski FWD		1
M. Reguła MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3320	104	364
J Bednarek	S Szymanski	R Lewandowski

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bednarek DEF	3320	64	255
P Zielinski MID	3290	51	202
J Kiwior DEF	2388	70	176
T Kedziora DEF	1585	50	111
R Lewandowski FWD	1469	38	364
P Frankowski DEF	1369	72	136
S Szymanski MID	1021	104	221
N Zalewski MID	971	30	169
M Cash DEF	712	30	76
K Swiderski FWD	596	16	145
K Piatkowski DEF	422	18	29
T Puchacz DEF	336	14	44
M Skóraś FWD	277	18	54
K Urbański MID	221	8	26
W. Nowak MID	139	15	32
B Dragowski GLK	63		4
K. Potulski DEF	45		2
M Żukowski FWD	39	1	1
M. Reguła MID	14		2