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Turkey v Belgium : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Nov, 17:00 BST, Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir), İzmir

Mark van Bommel pays counterpart Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın a visit on Thursday evening in the UEFA Nations League, as their Belgium and Turkey charges go head to head at the Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir). The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this UEFA Nations League clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Belgium coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Turkey
28%
3.50
17%
-
Draw
22%
3.80
5%
-
Belgium
50%
1.90
12%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00
6%
-
Belgium 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
-
Belgium 1-0
7%
11.00-
Turkey 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
-
Belgium 2-0
7%
12.00
9%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
12.00-
Belgium 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
-
Turkey 1-0
5%
17.00
11%
-
Belgium 3-0
4%
17.00
13%
-
Belgium 3-2
4%
19.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
19.00-
Turkey 2-0
4%
21.00
19%
-
Turkey 3-1
3%
23.00
21%
-
Turkey 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
-
Belgium 4-1
3%
26.00
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1.50-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2.50-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.67
6%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
19.00-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.50-
BTTS - No
36%
2.50-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.50
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.20
11%
-
Home/draw
50%
1.91
9%
-
Away/draw
72%
1.29
6%
-
Home/away
78%
1.25
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.14-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
2.20-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1.62-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3.75-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.10-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.00-
Home DNB
44%
2.63
23%
-
Away DNB
65%
1.44
11%
-
Turkey win to nil
11%
8.00
20%
-
Belgium win to nil
21%
4.00
14%
-
Turkey / Turkey
15%
5.50
21%
-
Turkey / Belgium
4%
19.00-
Turkey / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Turkey
10%
8.50
15%
-
Draw / Belgium
15%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
7.00-
Belgium / Turkey
3%
26.00
10%
-
Belgium / Belgium
27%
3.00
15%
-
Belgium / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win form
4
Turkey have lost 4 consecutive games
Turkey 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Turkey1 - 4Italy
Turkey0 - 1France
Turkey3 - 2USA
Turkey0 - 1Paraguay
Turkey4 - 0Macedonia
Turkey1 - 0Romania
Turkey2 - 0Bulgaria
Turkey4 - 1Georgia
Turkey0 - 6Spain
Turkey3 - 1Hungary
Turkey0 - 0Wales
Turkey1 - 0Montenegro
Turkey3 - 1Iceland
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Turkey3 - 1Georgia
Turkey4 - 0Latvia
Turkey1 - 1Armenia
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Turkey2 - 1Czech Rep
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATurkey1 - 3Italy
ATurkey0 - 3Belgium
HTurkey1 - 4Italy
HTurkey0 - 1France
HTurkey3 - 2USA
HTurkey0 - 1Paraguay
ATurkey0 - 2Australia
ATurkey2 - 1Venezuela
HTurkey4 - 0Macedonia
ATurkey1 - 0Kosovo
HTurkey1 - 0Romania
ATurkey2 - 2Spain
HTurkey2 - 0Bulgaria
HTurkey4 - 1Georgia
ATurkey6 - 1Bulgaria
HTurkey0 - 6Spain
ATurkey3 - 2Georgia
ATurkey0 - 1Mexico
ATurkey2 - 1USA
ATurkey3 - 0Hungary
Belgium 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
France4 - 1Belgium
Italy0 - 2Belgium
Spain2 - 1Belgium
USA1 - 4Belgium
New Zealand1 - 5Belgium
Croatia0 - 2Belgium
Mexico1 - 1Belgium
USA2 - 5Belgium
Kazakhstan1 - 1Belgium
Wales2 - 4Belgium
Liechtenstein0 - 6Belgium
Macedonia1 - 1Belgium
Ukraine3 - 1Belgium
Israel1 - 0Belgium
Italy2 - 2Belgium
France2 - 0Belgium
France1 - 0Belgium
Ukraine0 - 0Belgium
England2 - 2Belgium
Ireland0 - 0Belgium
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABelgium1 - 4France
HBelgium3 - 0Turkey
HBelgium0 - 1France
ABelgium2 - 0Italy
ABelgium1 - 2Spain
ABelgium4 - 1USA
HBelgium2 - 2Senegal
ABelgium5 - 1New Zealand
HBelgium0 - 0Iran
HBelgium1 - 1Egypt
HBelgium5 - 0Tunisia
ABelgium2 - 0Croatia
ABelgium1 - 1Mexico
ABelgium5 - 2USA
HBelgium7 - 0Liechtenstein
ABelgium1 - 1Kazakhstan
ABelgium4 - 2Wales
HBelgium0 - 0Macedonia
HBelgium6 - 0Kazakhstan
ABelgium6 - 0Liechtenstein
Goal Statistics

Belgium's defensive record is very strong, M. van Bommel's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Turkey makes sense in this context.

Belgium's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Turkey have conceded in each of their last 8 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.9 for M. van Bommel's side suggests that run should continue.

Turkey 4th Belgium 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Turkey will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Belgium will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Turkey have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Belgium’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Turkey
PG (predicted goals)
Belgium
1.4
1.9
Attack rating
TUR
BEL
28%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score6
3
Scored first8
10
Goals scored35
56
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.8
Avg. shots per game12
14
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
21
Avg. XG for1.6
2.3
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
TUR
BEL
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded31
18
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against18%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Turkey v Belgium will show here when available.

Turkey UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
96222015
H Calhanoglu H Calhanoglu H Calhanoglu H Calhanoglu 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Calhanoglu  MID1072220
15
-
M Demiral DEF6864
12
-
Z Celik DEF6632
12
-
O Kökcü MID54410
8
-
U Cakir GLK451
3
1
B Yılmaz FWD4163
5
1
I Yüksek MID3812
8
-
S Özcan MID3611
6
-
A Güler MID3678
8
-
F Kadioglu DEF352
1
-
A Bardakci DEF3422
10
-
E Ünal  FWD3433
1
-
O Kabak DEF332
7
-
E Elmali  DEF283
1
-
Y Akgün FWD2342
2
-
O Aydın FWD166
1
-
D Gül FWD142
1
-
C Uzun MID1011
1
-
M Eskihellac DEF3
1
-
A Şimşir FWD31
-
B Özer GLK2
-
E Topçu DEF2
-
I. Fakili FWD2
-
Belgium UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11190459
K BruyneR Lukaku K BruyneK Bruyne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Bruyne MID1174045
9
-
R Lukaku  FWD1139015
8
-
Y Tielemans MID921516
8
-
T Castagne DEF7329
8
-
L Trossard FWD59148
2
-
J Doku FWD48714
1
-
H Vanaken MID44810
1
-
C Ketelaere MID3996
3
-
D Lukébakio FWD3784
3
-
A Theate DEF3612
4
-
M Cuyper DEF2843
3
-
N Raskin MID2222
3
-
B Mechele DEF191
1
-
N Ngoy  DEF12
1
1
J. Seys DEF8
1
-
D Moreira MID7
3
-
S Lammens GLK6
-
M Godts FWD61
-
R Lavia MID51
2
-
M Keita MID2
-
M Vandevoordt GLK1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Turkey v Belgium
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
Armenia v Cyprus
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Belarus
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Latvia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Finland
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Spain
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
England v Croatia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Fri 13th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Gibraltar
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Faroes
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Estonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Iceland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Macedonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovenia v Switzerland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Greece
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Germany
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Israel
Sat 14th Nov, 14:00
Georgia v Hungary
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Norway v Wales
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Portugal v Denmark
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Ukraine
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Bosnia
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Austria v Ireland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Poland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Cyprus v Montenegro
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Belarus v Albania
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Finland v San Marino
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Spain v England
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Belgium v Italy
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Czech Rep
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
France v Turkey
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Iceland v Luxembourg
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Estonia v Bulgaria
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Scotland
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v N Ireland
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45