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Belgium v Italy : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Nov, 19:45 BST, ,

It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Belgium
50%
--
Draw
23%
--
Italy
27%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Belgium 2-1
10%
--
Belgium 1-0
9%
--
Belgium 2-0
8%
--
Italy 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Italy 1-0
6%
--
Belgium 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Belgium 3-0
5%
--
Italy 2-0
4%
--
Belgium 3-2
4%
--
Italy 3-1
3%
--
Belgium 4-1
3%
--
Italy 3-2
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Belgium win to nil
24%
--
Italy win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Belgium 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium3 - 0Turkey
Belgium0 - 1France
Belgium2 - 2Senegal
Belgium0 - 0Iran
Belgium1 - 1Egypt
Belgium5 - 0Tunisia
Belgium7 - 0Liechtenstein
Belgium0 - 0Macedonia
Belgium6 - 0Kazakhstan
Belgium4 - 3Wales
Belgium3 - 0Ukraine
Belgium0 - 1Italy
Belgium1 - 2France
Belgium3 - 1Israel
Belgium2 - 0Romania
Belgium0 - 1Slovakia
Belgium3 - 0Luxembourg
Belgium2 - 0Montenegro
Belgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
Belgium1 - 0Serbia
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABelgium1 - 4France
HBelgium3 - 0Turkey
HBelgium0 - 1France
ABelgium2 - 0Italy
ABelgium1 - 2Spain
ABelgium4 - 1USA
HBelgium2 - 2Senegal
ABelgium5 - 1New Zealand
HBelgium0 - 0Iran
HBelgium1 - 1Egypt
HBelgium5 - 0Tunisia
ABelgium2 - 0Croatia
ABelgium1 - 1Mexico
ABelgium5 - 2USA
HBelgium7 - 0Liechtenstein
ABelgium1 - 1Kazakhstan
ABelgium4 - 2Wales
HBelgium0 - 0Macedonia
HBelgium6 - 0Kazakhstan
ABelgium6 - 0Liechtenstein
Italy 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
France1 - 1Italy
Turkey1 - 4Italy
Greece0 - 1Italy
Luxembourg0 - 1Italy
Bosnia1 - 1Italy
Moldova0 - 2Italy
Estonia1 - 3Italy
Israel4 - 5Italy
Norway3 - 0Italy
Germany3 - 3Italy
Belgium0 - 1Italy
Israel1 - 2Italy
France1 - 3Italy
Switzerland2 - 0Italy
Croatia1 - 1Italy
Spain1 - 0Italy
Ecuador0 - 2Italy
Ukraine0 - 0Italy
England3 - 1Italy
Macedonia1 - 1Italy
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HItaly3 - 1Turkey
AItaly1 - 1France
AItaly4 - 1Turkey
HItaly0 - 2Belgium
AItaly1 - 0Greece
AItaly1 - 0Luxembourg
AItaly1 - 1Bosnia
HItaly2 - 0N Ireland
HItaly1 - 4Norway
AItaly2 - 0Moldova
HItaly3 - 0Israel
AItaly3 - 1Estonia
AItaly5 - 4Israel
HItaly5 - 0Estonia
HItaly2 - 0Moldova
AItaly0 - 3Norway
AItaly3 - 3Germany
HItaly1 - 2Germany
HItaly1 - 3France
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Belgium since 2016
Belgium
Italy
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
ITA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Belgium
0 - 1Italy
1 - 2Italy
0 - 2Italy
League games at Italy since 2000
Italy
Belgium
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BEL
1
D
1
ITA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Italy
0 - 2Belgium
Draw2 - 2Draw
Italy2 - 1
Italy2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Belgium's defensive record is to be admired, M. van Bommel's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Italy makes sense in this context.

Belgium 3rd Italy 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Belgium will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Italy will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Belgium’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Italy’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Belgium
PG (predicted goals)
Italy
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
2%
better
BEL
ITA
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first10
14
Goals scored56
40
Avg. goals scored2.8
2
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
17
Avg. XG for2.3
2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
12%
better
BEL
ITA
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded18
26
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Belgium v Italy will show here when available.

Belgium UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11190459
K BruyneR Lukaku K BruyneK Bruyne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Bruyne MID1174045
9
-
R Lukaku  FWD1139015
8
-
Y Tielemans MID921516
8
-
T Castagne DEF7329
8
-
L Trossard FWD59148
2
-
J Doku FWD48714
1
-
H Vanaken MID44810
1
-
C Ketelaere MID3996
3
-
D Lukébakio FWD3784
3
-
A Theate DEF3612
4
-
M Cuyper DEF2843
3
-
N Raskin MID2222
3
-
B Mechele DEF191
1
-
N Ngoy  DEF12
1
1
J. Seys DEF8
1
-
D Moreira MID7
3
-
S Lammens GLK6
-
M Godts FWD61
-
R Lavia MID51
2
-
M Keita MID2
-
M Vandevoordt GLK1
-
Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
85101112
G DonnarummaN Barella N Barella N Barella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK87
6
-
N Barella  MID731011
12
-
A Bastoni DEF465
8
1
F Dimarco DEF38310
2
-
D Frattesi MID3893
3
-
S Tonali MID3646
6
-
G Scamacca FWD252
1
-
N Zaniolo FWD1921
6
-
R Calafiori DEF1711
2
-
F. Esposito FWD1371
1
-
G Scalvini DEF11
2
-
S Ricci MID11
-
N Fagioli MID8
2
-
G Vicario GLK5
-
N Pisilli MID41
1
-
I. Doumbia MID4
-
M Kayode DEF311
-
A. Romano MID31
-
N Cambiaghi FWD3
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
1
-
M Palestra DEF2
-
A Vergara MID2
1
-
S Esposito FWD2
-
L Koleosho FWD2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Turkey v Belgium
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
Armenia v Cyprus
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Belarus
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Latvia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Finland
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Spain
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
England v Croatia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Fri 13th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Gibraltar
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Faroes
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Estonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Iceland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Macedonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovenia v Switzerland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Greece
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Germany
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Israel
Sat 14th Nov, 14:00
Georgia v Hungary
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Norway v Wales
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Portugal v Denmark
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Ukraine
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Bosnia
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Austria v Ireland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Poland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Cyprus v Montenegro
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Belarus v Albania
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Finland v San Marino
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Spain v England
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Belgium v Italy
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Czech Rep
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
France v Turkey
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Iceland v Luxembourg
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Estonia v Bulgaria
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Scotland
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v N Ireland
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45