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Germany v Netherlands : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Oct, 19:45 BST, Allianz Arena, München

It's a long trek for Ronald Koeman's Netherlands side on Monday evening, as they make their way to the Allianz Arena for a UEFA Nations League clash with Julian Nagelsmann's Germany. Statistics for our tip of over 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this UEFA Nations League tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Germany
53%
1.801.83
2%
Draw
22%
3.703.90
3%
Netherlands
25%
4.33
3%
3.90
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
7.507.00
Germany 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Germany 1-0
8%
10.008.50
6%
Germany 2-0
7%
11.009.50
6%
Netherlands 2-1
6%
15.0011.00
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Germany 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
Netherlands 1-0
5%
17.0013.00
8%
Germany 3-0
5%
15.0013.00
Germany 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0012.00
9%
Netherlands 2-0
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Germany 4-1
3%
23.0019.00
Netherlands 3-1
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Netherlands 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.571.55
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.352.30
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.60-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
62%
1.531.55
3%
BTTS - No
38%
2.382.30
5%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.203.10
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.40
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.505.75
12%
Home/draw
75%
1.20
2%
1.25
2%
Away/draw
47%
1.951.95
3%
Home/away
78%
1.291.25
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.18
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.50
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.382.30
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.531.55
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.004.00
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.221.22
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03
1%
1.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
12.00
9%
Home DNB
68%
1.331.36
2%
Away DNB
41%
3.252.88
4%
Germany win to nil
23%
3.75-
Netherlands win to nil
10%
9.00-
Germany / Germany
28%
2.882.80
4%
Germany / Netherlands
3%
29.0023.00
12%
Germany / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Germany
16%
5.004.80
4%
Draw / Netherlands
9%
9.008.00
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.505.75
5%
Netherlands / Germany
4%
19.0017.00
Netherlands / Netherlands
13%
6.506.00
8%
Netherlands / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
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Win / draw / win form
12
Germany have not lost in 12 consecutive games
Germany
20 league games
Home
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Germany5 - 0Hungary
Germany2 - 0Denmark
Germany2 - 0Hungary
Germany5 - 1Scotland
Germany2 - 1Greece
Germany0 - 0Ukraine
Germany2 - 1Netherlands
Germany2 - 3Turkey
Germany2 - 1France
Germany1 - 4Japan
Germany0 - 2Colombia
Germany3 - 3Ukraine
Germany2 - 3Belgium
Germany2 - 0Peru
Germany1 - 2Japan
Germany0 - 1Hungary
Germany5 - 2Italy
Germany1 - 1England
Germany2 - 0Israel
Germany9 - 0Liechtenstein
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGermany2 - 1Bosnia
AGermany2 - 2Netherlands
HGermany5 - 0Hungary
AGermany1 - 1Spain
HGermany2 - 0Denmark
AGermany1 - 1Switzerland
HGermany2 - 0Hungary
HGermany5 - 1Scotland
HGermany2 - 1Greece
HGermany0 - 0Ukraine
HGermany2 - 1Netherlands
AGermany2 - 0France
AGermany0 - 2Austria
HGermany2 - 3Turkey
AGermany2 - 2Mexico
AGermany3 - 1USA
HGermany2 - 1France
HGermany1 - 4Japan
HGermany0 - 2Colombia
AGermany0 - 1Poland
Netherlands
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hungary1 - 1Netherlands
Romania0 - 3Netherlands
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Germany2 - 1Netherlands
Gibraltar0 - 6Netherlands
Greece0 - 1Netherlands
Ireland1 - 2Netherlands
France4 - 0Netherlands
Senegal0 - 2Netherlands
Poland0 - 2Netherlands
Wales1 - 2Netherlands
Belgium1 - 4Netherlands
Montenegro2 - 2Netherlands
Latvia0 - 1Netherlands
Norway1 - 1Netherlands
Macedonia0 - 3Netherlands
Gibraltar0 - 7Netherlands
Turkey4 - 2Netherlands
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
Italy1 - 1Netherlands
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANetherlands1 - 1Hungary
HNetherlands2 - 2Germany
HNetherlands5 - 2Bosnia
HNetherlands1 - 2England
HNetherlands2 - 1Turkey
ANetherlands3 - 0Romania
HNetherlands2 - 3Austria
HNetherlands0 - 0France
ANetherlands2 - 1Poland
HNetherlands4 - 0Iceland
HNetherlands4 - 0Canada
ANetherlands1 - 2Germany
HNetherlands4 - 0Scotland
ANetherlands6 - 0Gibraltar
HNetherlands1 - 0Ireland
ANetherlands1 - 0Greece
HNetherlands1 - 2France
ANetherlands2 - 1Ireland
HNetherlands3 - 0Greece
HNetherlands3 - 0Gibraltar
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Germany since 2004
Germany
Netherlands
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
NED
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Germany
2 - 4Netherlands
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Netherlands since 2012
Netherlands
Germany
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
GER
2
D
1
NED
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Netherlands
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Germany
Netherlands3 - 0
1 - 2Germany
Goal Statistics

Germany have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Netherlands on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Germany Netherlands
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Germany will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Netherlands will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Germany’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Netherlands’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275037/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Germany
PG (predicted goals)
Netherlands
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
GER
NED
27%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score4
1
Scored first9
13
Goals scored36
48
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for2.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
GER
NED
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
10
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded24
17
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Germany v Netherlands will show here when available.

Germany UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
91192011
J KimmichK HavertzJ KimmichJ Kimmich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Kimmich MID94720
11
-
K Havertz FWD531913
4
-
E Can MID4622
6
1
M Stegen GLK39
-
J Musiala MID3667
1
-
J Tah DEF32
5
-
D Raum DEF264
4
-
F Wirtz MID2647
2
-
N Füllkrug FWD22142
1
-
B Henrichs DEF173
1
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF162
5
-
R Andrich MID13
4
-
P Groß MID111
1
-
R Koch DEF10
2
-
M Mittelstädt DEF912
2
-
C Führich MID7
-
W Anton DEF6
-
D Undav FWD531
1
-
M Beier FWD4
-
A Pavlović MID31
-
A Stiller MID2
-
A Nübel GLK1
-
Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
76131310
V Dijk W WeghorstD DumfriesD Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF769
8
-
D Dumfries DEF61813
10
-
N Aké  DEF5353
4
-
M Ligt DEF4723
4
2
W Weghorst FWD40132
5
-
D Malen FWD3896
2
-
C Gakpo FWD33136
2
-
X Simons MID2333
3
-
T Reijnders MID1832
-
J Timber DEF171
1
-
B Verbruggen GLK16
-
J Veerman MID1614
2
-
R Gravenberch MID1511
1
-
L Geertruida DEF13
2
-
J Schouten MID132
1
-
M Flekken GLK7
-
J Frimpong MID711
-
B Brobbey FWD51
-
Q Timber MID4
-
J Zirkzee FWD411
-
J Hato DEF21
-
J Hecke DEF1
-