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England v Croatia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Nov, 19:45 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

Thomas Tuchel and Slaven Bilić clash in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday evening, as England face Croatia at the Wembley Stadium. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: England to win

As training goes on this week and the England players prepare themselves for this match, the bookies have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Wembley Stadium hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Croatia in the past, and we expect more of the same come Thursday evening. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
England
76%
1/4
2%
-
Draw
15%
6/1-
Croatia
9%
15/2
6%
-
England 2-0
11%
6/1-
England 3-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
England 2-1
9%
17/2-
England 1-0
8%
8/1-
England 3-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1-
England 4-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
England 4-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
25/1-
England 5-0
3%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1-
England 3-2
3%
25/1-
Croatia 2-1
3%
22/1-
England 5-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Croatia 1-0
3%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
19/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
8/5-
Home 1st Goal
61%
3/10
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
12/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
35%
7/4-
BTTS - Draw
11%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
12/1
13%
-
Home/draw
91%
1/12
1%
-
Away/draw
24%
11/4
6%
-
Home/away
85%
1/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
8/13-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Home DNB
86%
1/10
2%
-
Away DNB
19%
6/1
13%
-
England win to nil
41%
11/10
5%
-
Croatia win to nil
4%
14/1-
England / England
48%
8/11
4%
-
England / Croatia
2%
40/1-
England / Draw
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw / England
21%
3/1-
Draw / Croatia
4%
20/1-
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2-
Croatia / England
4%
18/1-
Croatia / Croatia
4%
18/1
10%
-
Croatia / Draw
4%
22/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
England have won 3 consecutive games
3
Croatia have lost 3 consecutive games
3
England have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive games
England 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
England3 - 0Czech Rep
England2 - 3Spain
England1 - 2Argentina
England2 - 1Congo DR
England0 - 0Ghana
England4 - 2Croatia
England3 - 0Costa Rica
England1 - 0New Zealand
England0 - 1Japan
England1 - 1Uruguay
England2 - 0Serbia
England3 - 0Wales
England2 - 0Andorra
England1 - 3Senegal
England3 - 0Latvia
England2 - 0Albania
England5 - 0Ireland
England1 - 2Greece
England2 - 0Finland
England1 - 1Switzerland
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEngland3 - 0Czech Rep
AEngland7 - 0Croatia
AEngland2 - 0Czech Rep
HEngland2 - 3Spain
AEngland6 - 4France
HEngland1 - 2Argentina
AEngland1 - 1Norway
AEngland3 - 2Mexico
HEngland2 - 1Congo DR
AEngland2 - 0Panama
HEngland0 - 0Ghana
HEngland4 - 2Croatia
HEngland3 - 0Costa Rica
HEngland1 - 0New Zealand
HEngland0 - 1Japan
HEngland1 - 1Uruguay
AEngland2 - 0Albania
HEngland2 - 0Serbia
AEngland5 - 0Latvia
HEngland3 - 0Wales
Croatia 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spain4 - 1Croatia
Czech Rep1 - 2Croatia
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Panama0 - 1Croatia
England4 - 2Croatia
Brazil3 - 1Croatia
Colombia1 - 2Croatia
Montenegro2 - 3Croatia
Czech Rep0 - 0Croatia
Faroes0 - 1Croatia
Gibraltar0 - 7Croatia
France2 - 0Croatia
Scotland1 - 0Croatia
Poland3 - 3Croatia
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Egypt2 - 4Croatia
Tunisia0 - 0Croatia
Latvia0 - 2Croatia
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCroatia1 - 2Spain
HCroatia0 - 7England
ACroatia1 - 4Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Czech Rep
ACroatia1 - 2Portugal
HCroatia2 - 1Ghana
ACroatia1 - 0Panama
ACroatia2 - 4England
HCroatia2 - 1Slovenia
HCroatia0 - 2Belgium
ACroatia1 - 3Brazil
ACroatia2 - 1Colombia
ACroatia3 - 2Montenegro
HCroatia3 - 1Faroes
HCroatia3 - 0Gibraltar
ACroatia0 - 0Czech Rep
HCroatia4 - 0Montenegro
ACroatia1 - 0Faroes
HCroatia5 - 1Czech Rep
ACroatia7 - 0Gibraltar
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at England since 2007
England
Croatia
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
ENG
3
CRO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT England
England4 - 2
England1 - 0
England2 - 1
2 - 3Croatia
League games at Croatia since 2004
Croatia
England
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
ENG
2
D
2
CRO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Croatia
0 - 7England
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Croatia2 - 0
2 - 4England
Goal Statistics

England's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Thursday evening.

With a PG of just 0.8, Croatia look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that England have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches, and it could be a long evening for S. Bilić's men.

England 2nd Croatia 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that England will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
England have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
England
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
2.6
0.8
Attack rating
17%
better
ENG
CRO
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score2
3
Scored first15
11
Goals scored50
41
Avg. goals scored2.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for2
2.1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
38%
better
ENG
CRO
view stats
Games conceded9
14
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded17
32
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
20%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+38%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between England v Croatia will show here when available.

England UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111912010
H KaneH KaneH KaneJ Bellingham
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Kane FWD1259120
6
-
J Pickford GLK93
1
-
D Rice MID8088
8
-
J Bellingham MID601412
10
-
M Guéhi DEF4115
6
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF3546
1
-
E Konsa DEF3021
1
-
A Gordon FWD2876
1
-
M Rogers MID2623
-
E Eze MID2531
-
E Anderson MID212
1
-
D Spence DEF141
1
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD144
1
-
M. A. Lewis-Skelly DEF101
2
-
M Gibbs-White MID101
-
J Quansah DEF91
1
1
L Hall DEF71
-
B White DEF61
1
-
J Garner MID5
-
J Trafford GLK4
-
J Branthwaite DEF3
1
-
R. Ngumoha FWD3
-
Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131393322
L ModricI PerisicI PerisicI Perisic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID1492322
11
-
I Perisic FWD1483933
21
1
M Kovacic MID11446
17
-
M Pasalic MID92126
4
-
D Livakovic GLK82
4
1
N Vlasic MID69113
3
-
J Gvardiol DEF5641
4
-
A Budimir FWD4475
7
-
J Sutalo DEF40
-
J Stanisic DEF385
5
-
D Caleta-Car DEF3811
12
-
M Baturina MID2521
2
-
L Sučić MID231
1
-
M Pašalić FWD2023
1
-
K Jakic MID1921
1
-
P. Sučić MID1811
4
-
I Matanovic FWD1521
-
L. Vušković DEF101
2
-
D Kotarski GLK4
-
D Beljo FWD41
-
I Smolcic DEF3
-
J Misic MID2
1
-
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Romania v Poland
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Cyprus v Montenegro
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Belgium v Italy
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Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
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Iceland v Luxembourg
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Estonia v Bulgaria
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Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
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Switzerland v Scotland
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Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
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