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Italy v France : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Nov, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Italy and their boss Roberto Mancini will be hoping for victory against Zinédine Zidane and his France side on Thursday evening, as the pair clash at the Giuseppe Meazza in the UEFA Nations League. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This UEFA Nations League tie, with Italy and France going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Forwards at both clubs will look to take advantage of an open match and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of France coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
26%
14/5
5%
-
Draw
22%
14/5
1%
-
France
52%
5/6-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
France 2-1
10%
15/2-
France 1-0
8%
17/2-
France 2-0
8%
9/1-
Italy 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
-
France 3-1
6%
12/1-
Italy 1-0
5%
14/1-
France 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
France 3-2
4%
20/1-
Italy 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
France 4-1
3%
25/1-
Italy 3-1
3%
28/1-
Italy 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
3/5
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/10
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/13-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
9/4
4%
-
Home/draw
48%
10/11-
Away/draw
74%
1/4
2%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
42%
2/1
9%
-
Away DNB
67%
4/11
3%
-
Italy win to nil
11%
7/1-
France win to nil
24%
11/4-
Italy / Italy
13%
11/2
8%
-
Italy / France
4%
20/1-
Italy / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Italy
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw / France
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
France / Italy
3%
28/1-
France / France
29%
15/8-
France / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Italy 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy3 - 1Turkey
Italy0 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 0N Ireland
Italy1 - 4Norway
Italy3 - 0Israel
Italy5 - 0Estonia
Italy2 - 0Moldova
Italy1 - 2Germany
Italy1 - 3France
Italy4 - 1Israel
Italy2 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 1Albania
Italy1 - 0Bosnia
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Italy2 - 1Venezuela
Italy5 - 2Macedonia
Italy4 - 0Malta
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Italy1 - 2England
Italy1 - 0England
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HItaly3 - 1Turkey
AItaly1 - 1France
AItaly4 - 1Turkey
HItaly0 - 2Belgium
AItaly1 - 0Greece
AItaly1 - 0Luxembourg
AItaly1 - 1Bosnia
HItaly2 - 0N Ireland
HItaly1 - 4Norway
AItaly2 - 0Moldova
HItaly3 - 0Israel
AItaly3 - 1Estonia
AItaly5 - 4Israel
HItaly5 - 0Estonia
HItaly2 - 0Moldova
AItaly0 - 3Norway
AItaly3 - 3Germany
HItaly1 - 2Germany
HItaly1 - 3France
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
France 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium0 - 1France
Turkey0 - 1France
Paraguay0 - 1France
Norway1 - 4France
Colombia1 - 3France
Brazil1 - 2France
Azerbaijan1 - 3France
Iceland2 - 2France
Ukraine0 - 2France
Germany0 - 2France
Spain5 - 4France
Croatia2 - 0France
Italy1 - 3France
Belgium1 - 2France
Israel1 - 4France
Spain2 - 1France
Portugal0 - 0France
Netherlands0 - 0France
Austria0 - 1France
Greece2 - 2France
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFrance4 - 1Belgium
HFrance1 - 1Italy
AFrance1 - 0Belgium
AFrance1 - 0Turkey
HFrance4 - 6England
HFrance0 - 2Spain
HFrance2 - 0Morocco
AFrance1 - 0Paraguay
HFrance3 - 0Sweden
AFrance4 - 1Norway
HFrance3 - 0Iraq
HFrance3 - 1Senegal
HFrance3 - 1N Ireland
HFrance1 - 2Cote d'Ivoire
AFrance3 - 1Colombia
AFrance2 - 1Brazil
AFrance3 - 1Azerbaijan
HFrance4 - 0Ukraine
AFrance2 - 2Iceland
HFrance3 - 0Azerbaijan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Italy since 2006
Italy
France
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
FRA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Italy
1 - 3France
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at France since 2000
France
Italy
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
ITA
2
D
2
FRA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT France
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Italy
0 - 2Italy
France3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

France have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Italy on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Italy 2nd France 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Italy will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that France will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
France’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
France
1.3
1.9
Attack rating
ITA
FRA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score2
1
Scored first14
15
Goals scored40
48
Avg. goals scored2
2.4
Avg. shots per game12
14
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2
2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
ITA
FRA
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v France will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
85101112
G DonnarummaN Barella N Barella N Barella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK87
6
-
N Barella  MID731011
12
-
A Bastoni DEF465
8
1
F Dimarco DEF38310
2
-
D Frattesi MID3893
3
-
S Tonali MID3646
6
-
G Scamacca FWD252
1
-
N Zaniolo FWD1921
6
-
R Calafiori DEF1711
2
-
F. Esposito FWD1371
1
-
G Scalvini DEF11
2
-
S Ricci MID11
-
N Fagioli MID8
2
-
G Vicario GLK5
-
I. Doumbia MID4
-
N Pisilli MID41
1
-
M Kayode DEF311
-
A. Romano MID31
-
N Cambiaghi FWD3
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
1
-
M Palestra DEF2
-
A Vergara MID2
1
-
S Esposito FWD2
-
L Koleosho FWD2
-
France UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
92673911
K MbappéK MbappéK MbappéK Mbappé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mbappé FWD1076739
11
-
A Rabiot MID6975
11
-
M Maignan  GLK51
2
-
A Tchouameni MID5034
7
1
D Upamecano DEF4821
5
1
M Thuram FWD3534
2
-
E Camavinga MID3321
6
-
B Barcola FWD3263
1
-
I Konaté DEF301
3
-
M Olise FWD291111
1
-
D Doué FWD1943
1
-
R Cherki MID1833
-
M Gusto DEF163
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID131
-
P Kalulu DEF5
1
-
A Truffert DEF3
-
L Cunha MID31
-
J Jacquet DEF2
-
A Diouf MID2
-
G. Restes GLK1
-
L Yoro DEF1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Turkey v Belgium
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
Armenia v Cyprus
Thu 12th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Belarus
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Latvia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Finland
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Spain
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England v Croatia
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Thu 12th Nov, 19:45
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Fri 13th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Gibraltar
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Faroes
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Estonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Iceland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Macedonia
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Slovenia v Switzerland
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Greece
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Germany
Fri 13th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Israel
Sat 14th Nov, 14:00
Georgia v Hungary
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Norway v Wales
Sat 14th Nov, 17:00
Portugal v Denmark
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Ukraine
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Bosnia
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Austria v Ireland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Poland
Sat 14th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Cyprus v Montenegro
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Belarus v Albania
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Finland v San Marino
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Spain v England
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Belgium v Italy
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Czech Rep
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
France v Turkey
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Iceland v Luxembourg
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Estonia v Bulgaria
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Scotland
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v N Ireland
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45